Willing-Transformation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

91.1%

Resolved

2,666

Trades

4,325

lifetime

Volume

$19.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-26

last 11-10 16:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 89% -$11

Other

0% 96% +$6

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No		+2	$1	95¢	$1	$0	11-10 16:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:00 UTC	11	$47	25	23	+2	Up	$0	03-04 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 17:45 UTC	6	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$0	02-28 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 06:20 UTC	6	$39	21	21	+0	Up	-$1	02-28 06:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 13:15 UTC	4	$28	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	03-03 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 02:10 UTC	4	$28	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	02-27 02:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 14:00 UTC	4	$28	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	03-02 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 14:30 UTC	4	$28	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	02-26 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 06:20 UTC	4	$28	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	03-02 06:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 09:10 UTC	4	$28	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	02-27 09:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 13:35 UTC	4	$28	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	02-27 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 01:15 UTC	4	$28	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	02-27 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 18:55 UTC	4	$28	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	03-02 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 18:25 UTC	4	$28	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	03-02 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 20:10 UTC	4	$28	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	03-01 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 17:40 UTC	4	$28	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	02-28 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 15:45 UTC	5	$28	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	03-03 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 01:35 UTC	4	$28	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	03-01 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 01:50 UTC	4	$28	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	03-01 01:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 08:15 UTC	4	$28	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	03-02 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 10:45 UTC	4	$28	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	03-03 10:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 15:35 UTC	4	$28	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	03-02 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 17:20 UTC	4	$28	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	03-02 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 16:30 UTC	4	$27	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	03-02 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 17:35 UTC	4	$27	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	02-27 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 17:20 UTC	4	$25	14	14	+0	Down	-$2	02-27 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 15:10 UTC	4	$25	15	14	+0	Up	-$2	02-26 15:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 14:30 UTC	4	$25	14	14	+0	Up	-$2	02-27 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 18:35 UTC	4	$25	15	14	+0	Up	-$2	03-03 18:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 13:45 UTC	4	$25	14	14	+0	Down	-$2	03-03 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 12:00 UTC	4	$25	14	14	+0	Up	-$2	02-26 12:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 16:05:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x98017a…
11-09 19:25:07	England Lions Tour of West Indies Unofficial ODIs: West Indies A vs England Lions	England Lions	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xde1895…
11-09 17:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x626af1…
11-08 16:52:31	BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0xbcbe19…
11-07 19:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xc5ad39…
11-02 05:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x92f3e6…
10-31 21:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x692dd6…
10-30 17:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x70de22…
10-29 17:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x3d6bac…
10-28 17:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa8bfac…
10-28 01:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7ddbf3…
10-26 21:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x087c7f…
10-26 07:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x23b43a…
10-24 19:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xd81a7d…
10-23 19:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0e337c…
10-22 21:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2d1521…
10-19 07:31:30	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0xbe2e8a…
10-17 07:16:27	Mississippi State vs. LSU	LSU	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf03103…
10-16 09:33:31	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xfabfbc…
10-15 12:28:17	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x802e17…
10-08 13:37:36	Braga: Ryan Nijboer vs Marvin Moeller	Marvin Moeller	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdfeb9b…
10-07 07:52:14	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamoto	Rei Sakamoto	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdd19d0…
09-17 10:58:48	Exact Score: DPR Korea 0 - 2 Japan?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x33e187…
09-16 13:50:07	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5d1384…
09-16 07:27:37	Will AZ win on 2026-09-16?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0xba4dd1…
09-15 17:10:34	Szczecin: Dali Blanch vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x571ac5…
09-01 23:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7db0a6…
08-30 02:34:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x68c71a…
08-29 05:29:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x52cbba…
08-28 06:29:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x82c5aa…
08-27 09:19:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1229cf…
08-26 10:39:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf25dfb…
08-25 06:24:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1e95cf…
08-24 01:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x4a3940…
08-23 05:18:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x52bd78…
08-22 08:08:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xbc8531…
08-21 09:28:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x216b5b…
08-20 13:08:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xb0e37a…
08-19 20:38:13	mlb cws chc 2026 08 19	Chicago White Sox	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x7bdabb…
08-19 17:08:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x463e73…
08-18 17:17:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb1f3c5…
08-18 01:51:45	Exact Score: CF Pachuca 3 - 1 Club Puebla?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd1aa1e…
08-17 12:51:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0eb9a7…
08-16 01:19:54	Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-08-16?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0x010fd4…
08-15 07:57:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x828e42…
08-13 20:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xede978…
08-12 18:13:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa95984…
08-12 01:20:09	mlb chc wsh 2026 08 11	Chicago Cubs	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2be327…
08-11 19:17:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9273ca…
08-10 12:51:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1fb134…
08-09 21:45:34	mlb lad ari 2026 08 09	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x54a019…
08-08 04:07:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7cbabc…
08-06 23:23:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x85c048…
08-06 01:07:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6ac11b…
08-05 02:22:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x95e7be…
08-04 02:38:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa04740…
08-03 05:01:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x29cd2a…
08-02 04:57:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x50e790…
08-02 03:46:09	mlb det oak 2026 08 01	Detroit Tigers	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x684b11…
08-01 06:22:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe30a2c…
07-31 06:36:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe57b29…
07-31 03:33:05	mlb sea lad 2026 07 30	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x92a45e…
07-30 05:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe7db24…
07-29 04:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9db9af…
07-28 17:46:22	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa23968…
07-28 04:53:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5b1ee2…
07-27 03:01:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x728e7b…
07-26 07:02:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xab8c6e…
07-26 05:02:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7c9628…
07-24 19:56:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3d1ce4…
07-24 18:30:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x3ecfb0…
07-23 18:01:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x1086a8…
07-22 20:47:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc21f8c…
07-22 19:32:03	cs2 qua1 sawy 2026 07 22	QUAZAR	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0xa8d73c…
07-21 17:52:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x2e2e65…
07-20 19:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xa5f7ed…
07-20 14:54:03	swe kal mal 2026 07 20 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4b4fb1…
07-19 17:17:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9d986d…
07-18 20:21:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa8bc68…
07-17 22:27:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x02697c…
07-16 18:36:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xfb0445…
07-15 21:11:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7cbed9…
07-14 22:12:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0f0bb3…
07-13 19:51:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5f1441…
07-12 21:22:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x154be8…
07-11 20:41:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8e1ea4…
07-10 20:22:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x806270…
06-29 05:56:17	will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x6d04dd…
06-23 07:48:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xf09994…
06-23 04:30:17	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0xea91d6…
06-22 20:01:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x2cb44e…
06-22 16:46:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0xe037c4…
06-22 07:11:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x40f97a…
06-21 16:09:11	dota2 navi modus 2026 06 21	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x2bdf0d…
06-21 16:04:46	Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x8aee78…
06-21 15:12:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x48593c…
06-21 04:21:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x4591b9…
06-20 12:10:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x542e58…
06-19 23:59:55	Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0xd37abe…
06-19 10:11:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x437d9e…