Worrisome-Hybridization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-26 10:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 91% -$5

Other

42% 100% +$2

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+15	$15	97¢	$15	$0	10-26 10:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 60k on march 1	1	$94	94	+94	Yes	+$0	03-01 03:35
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 360 379	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	01-07 08:37
bitcoin above 84k on january 2	1	$92	92	+92	Yes	+$0	01-02 09:51
bitcoin above 94k on january 11	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	01-11 10:43
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 480 499	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	02-15 05:21
bitcoin above 100k on january 16	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	01-16 10:47
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	05-27 09:20
bitcoin above 68k on june 7 2026	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	06-07 06:18
bitcoin above 64k on march 5	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	03-05 10:53
bitcoin above 60k on june 15 2026	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	06-15 03:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	05-23 08:03
Netanyahu out by May 31?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	05-30 10:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 17?	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	05-16 09:30
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 620 639	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	01-25 01:50
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	05-14 02:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	06-02 10:52
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	05-11 09:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	05-07 10:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	05-02 03:40
bitcoin above 58k on april 4	1	$89	89	+89	Yes	+$0	04-03 06:42
bitcoin above 78k on february 9	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	02-09 02:06
will bitcoin dip to 55k in january 2026	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	01-29 08:18
will the us next strike iran on january 19 2026 et 726	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	01-20 08:47
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-30 03:48
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 540 559	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-11 10:43
bitcoin above 66k on march 16	1	$87	87	+87	Yes	+$0	03-16 02:17
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 420 439	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	03-25 09:09
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	03-20 07:35
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 190 214	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	04-09 06:42
bitcoin above 86k on february 2	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	02-02 06:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 10:35:56	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6976a8…
09-26 14:53:59	dtrump out as president by september 30	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd23e7b…
09-26 14:52:51	bkfr1 cha lim 2026 09 26	Chalon/Saone	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x2f35bf…
08-08 07:25:43	will wti dip to 30 in august 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x44d5b2…
06-15 03:15:25	bitcoin above 60k on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xc5e9c0…
06-07 06:18:09	bitcoin above 68k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x15571d…
06-02 10:52:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x132cdc…
05-30 10:29:59	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xdb5e16…
05-27 09:20:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x99b5a0…
05-23 08:03:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x891000…
05-16 09:30:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xa5ccdd…
05-14 02:42:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x62b289…
05-11 09:47:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x3571bf…
05-07 10:51:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x28724c…
05-02 03:40:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x84f8e6…
04-27 03:52:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x91d5f3…
04-22 06:37:56	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x71e9c3…
04-18 03:35:46	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 420 439	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xc2cb56…
04-13 09:18:37	ethereum above 2400 on april 13	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x6b29ac…
04-13 09:18:27	Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbac9fd…
04-13 09:18:17	Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x14ec01…
04-09 06:42:17	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 190 214	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xacc5da…
04-09 06:42:03	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xff30af…
04-09 06:41:47	will a dozen eggs cost between 3pt754pt00 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x87d95c…
04-09 06:41:29	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0831d4…
04-03 06:42:41	bitcoin above 58k on april 4	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xd5a82b…
03-30 03:48:46	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x536c1b…
03-25 09:09:31	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 420 439	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x35b3d7…
03-20 07:35:21	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x4264f1…
03-16 02:17:55	bitcoin above 66k on march 16	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x0f7ef1…
03-11 10:43:43	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 540 559	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x1e3922…
03-11 10:41:21	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x501b2c…
03-05 10:54:21	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 6	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x78988e…
03-05 10:54:11	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1a9332…
03-05 10:53:59	bitcoin above 64k on march 5	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x26d0b4…
03-01 03:35:19	bitcoin above 60k on march 1	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xdfdfdc…
02-15 05:21:19	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 480 499	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xf2d7c1…
02-09 02:06:45	bitcoin above 78k on february 9	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x92c753…
02-09 02:06:17	will meituan have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa53e41…
02-09 02:06:05	will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd9065b…
02-02 06:37:30	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x055eb9…
02-02 06:37:10	will moonshot have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf3eb92…
02-02 06:36:12	will tonalenergy tuner metronome be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 6	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd290d8…
01-29 08:18:20	will bitcoin dip to 55k in january 2026	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x475080…
01-29 08:18:02	will upscrolled be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b0621…
01-29 08:17:48	will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc5b747…
01-25 01:50:08	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 620 639	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xfb8aad…
01-20 08:47:14	will the us next strike iran on january 19 2026 et 726	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x4fb793…
01-20 08:47:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 20	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x897224…
01-20 08:46:48	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf00c47…
01-16 10:47:22	bitcoin above 100k on january 16	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x8d15c6…
01-16 10:47:10	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 16	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x626f3b…
01-11 10:43:50	bitcoin above 94k on january 11	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x8c5590…
01-11 10:43:36	will whatnot shop sell collect be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x90232c…
01-11 10:43:26	another us strike on venezuela on january 11	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4fdf17…
01-07 08:37:47	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 360 379	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x8314f5…
01-02 09:51:03	bitcoin above 84k on january 2	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x70104f…
01-02 09:50:55	highest temperature in london on january 2 6c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb6af3f…
01-02 09:50:43	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9d140b…