Elastic-Discretion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,930

lifetime

Volume

$22.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 06-01 20:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

90% — —

Other

10% 50% $-40

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 462 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 27?	3	$487	293	290	+3	open	—	04-27 19:46
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?	4	$463	233	233	+0	open	—	04-27 18:59
Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be at least 250k?	10	$320	180	180	+0	open	—	04-27 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$262	133	133	+0	open	—	05-26 19:39
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	2	$239	213	213	+1	open	—	04-27 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	29	$238	143	143	+0	open	—	05-22 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	7	$234	200	170	+31	open	—	05-22 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	5	$209	108	108	+0	open	—	05-26 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	11	$205	127	127	+0	open	—	05-26 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	5	$205	111	103	+8	open	—	05-26 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	4	$204	106	106	+0	open	—	05-28 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$201	102	102	+0	open	—	05-26 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$201	102	102	+0	open	—	05-26 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	16	$178	163	159	+4	open	—	05-22 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	3	$171	126	126	+0	open	—	05-27 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	28	$166	101	101	+0	open	—	05-22 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	12	$164	114	114	+0	open	—	05-22 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	8	$157	115	115	+0	open	—	05-22 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$141	72	72	+0	open	—	05-28 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	8	$139	86	86	+0	open	—	05-26 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	12	$135	225	225	+0	open	—	05-23 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	7	$132	75	75	+0	open	—	05-26 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	5	$130	63	73	-10	open	—	05-31 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	5	$130	71	71	+0	open	—	05-26 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	5	$128	68	68	+0	open	—	05-26 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$127	70	76	-6	open	—	05-26 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$118	101	101	+0	open	—	05-29 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	10	$117	93	93	+0	open	—	05-25 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	6	$112	89	89	+0	open	—	05-22 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	3	$111	56	56	+0	open	—	05-31 12:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 20:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	32	66¢	$21	0x5d116e…
06-01 20:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x84c7ef…
06-01 20:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x7a94a5…
06-01 20:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x5bf961…
06-01 20:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5f4344…
06-01 20:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x6ab774…
06-01 20:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x526cc3…
06-01 20:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfc7717…
06-01 20:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0x8c70e8…
06-01 20:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x0b7440…
06-01 20:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x8dacc4…
06-01 20:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x895dcc…
06-01 20:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xccb661…
06-01 20:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x3ca2c7…
06-01 19:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x31056a…
06-01 19:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb467a0…
06-01 19:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdb3452…
06-01 19:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8cab6e…
06-01 19:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf34ced…
06-01 19:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xc90b3e…
06-01 19:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6abb75…
06-01 19:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xff58d3…
06-01 19:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x7aa4a5…
06-01 19:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x2b8676…
06-01 19:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0xb8d65a…
06-01 19:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x560e43…
06-01 19:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x075839…
06-01 19:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xdadcfe…
06-01 19:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2d73de…
06-01 19:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xf7545c…
06-01 19:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x286d9b…
06-01 19:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5d55b1…
06-01 19:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x320b56…
06-01 19:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x92f4f8…
06-01 19:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x10cca5…
06-01 19:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	39	57¢	$22	0x9eed85…
06-01 19:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xf82614…
06-01 19:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	22	94¢	$20	0x49427b…
06-01 19:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x7b1d28…
06-01 19:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0x3ebe13…
06-01 19:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	35	57¢	$20	0x99f130…
06-01 19:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x4261fd…
06-01 19:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xdb738d…
06-01 19:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0f581b…
06-01 19:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x2023c1…
06-01 19:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xab8a6e…
06-01 19:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xba0538…
06-01 19:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xa3bea7…
06-01 19:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x511eef…
06-01 19:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2b6c37…
06-01 19:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe4053b…
06-01 19:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x72fb2c…
06-01 18:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd2e4ef…
06-01 18:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x489bd8…
06-01 18:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x8e5801…
06-01 18:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0a9a9e…
06-01 18:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcf5e4e…
06-01 18:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x989014…
06-01 18:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2f49a3…
06-01 18:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x94d2ad…
06-01 18:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb88f44…
06-01 18:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe943db…
06-01 18:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe5d8be…
06-01 18:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa465fc…
06-01 18:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8bfeba…
06-01 18:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x427430…
06-01 18:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xec2725…
06-01 18:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc72297…
06-01 18:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4d40c6…
06-01 18:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa79c1c…
06-01 18:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x121d39…
06-01 18:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0aa538…
06-01 18:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe732b0…
06-01 18:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8f0b22…
06-01 18:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2929f5…
06-01 18:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x98368d…
06-01 18:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xfc15de…
06-01 18:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x062d83…
06-01 18:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xbde95a…
06-01 18:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x6bcf5f…
06-01 18:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xda1433…
06-01 18:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x46b300…
06-01 18:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe57e1d…
06-01 18:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xb1d1c9…
06-01 18:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6e0063…
06-01 18:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x15efbc…
06-01 18:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x357623…
06-01 18:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x833168…
06-01 18:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	28	2¢	$1	0x6534f9…
06-01 18:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x41d78d…
06-01 18:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc48a2e…
06-01 18:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x452a4d…
06-01 18:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe2f868…
06-01 18:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0xe964fb…
06-01 18:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xee9d96…
06-01 18:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x784d31…
06-01 18:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xdd8594…
06-01 18:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xebf9f3…
06-01 18:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x991241…
06-01 18:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x93b5a2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	770	$748.0K	28,485	06-01 20:50
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	759	$205.9K	62,211	06-01 20:49
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	758	$203.7K	62,810	06-01 20:49
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	758	$198.3K	34,818	06-01 20:49
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	757	$252.6K	68,947	06-01 20:49
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	757	$233.8K	43,523	06-01 20:49
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	755	$135.7K	23,626	06-01 20:49
(anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b	751	$164.1K	29,717	06-01 20:49