(anonymous) 0x571c14…9bb9f9 Create alert
bot cold 28L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.08K
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
7.1%
Resolved
890
Trades
5,288
lifetime
Volume
$82.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$856
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-21
last 11-05 23:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
63% 11% -$2,910
Politics
33% 11% -$899
Crypto
2% 3% -$176
Sports
1% 0% -$92
Tech
1% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 470 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026? No +110 $59 93¢ $102 +$42 11-03 12:47
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +100 $49 62¢ $63 +$14 11-02 15:05
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026? No +70 $25 84¢ $59 +$34 11-05 08:23
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +150 $90 38¢ $56 -$34 11-05 15:11
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026? No — +50 $44 98¢ $49 +$5 11-02 21:31
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026? No +50 $33 98¢ $49 +$16 11-02 09:49
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? No +50 $44 90¢ $45 +$2 10-30 06:51
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026? No +50 $43 89¢ $44 +$1 11-01 04:33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +57 $42 77¢ $44 +$2 11-01 04:46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +50 $33 69¢ $34 +$2 10-29 23:04
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026? No +35 $11 94¢ $33 +$22 11-05 19:29
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? Yes +40 $28 74¢ $30 +$2 11-04 10:17
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? Yes +50 $30 52¢ $26 -$4 11-02 03:46
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? No +41 $17 62¢ $26 +$9 10-31 17:13
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? No +53 $25 48¢ $26 +$1 11-05 11:59
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026? No +20 $14 100¢ $20 +$6 11-02 16:13
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? Yes +23 $19 80¢ $19 $0 11-04 18:32
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? Yes +20 $18 94¢ $19 +$1 11-05 15:31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +50 $17 31¢ $16 -$2 11-05 18:50
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? Yes +41 $23 38¢ $15 -$8 11-05 21:07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +57 $17 23¢ $13 -$4 11-05 15:41
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? Yes +23 $10 56¢ $13 +$3 11-05 18:50
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026? Yes +70 $44 16¢ $11 -$33 11-05 22:03
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? No +23 $16 44¢ $10 -$6 11-01 03:04
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? No +35 $10 26¢ $9 -$1 11-04 01:03
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026? Yes +110 $49 7¢ $8 -$41 11-05 19:59
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026? Yes +52 $13 11¢ $6 -$7 11-01 16:18
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? Yes +50 $13 10¢ $5 -$8 11-05 18:50
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? No +23 $14 20¢ $5 -$9 11-05 18:50
next astra model 6pt1 released by november 6 2026 Yes +35 $19 6¢ $2 -$16 11-05 07:43