Clumsy-Sum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$817

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

46.4%

Resolved

538

Trades

1,130

lifetime

Volume

$26.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-06 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 147 days

Categories

Other

80% 40% -$971

Politics

12% 48% $0

Sports

5% 63% +$104

Crypto

2% 89% +$41

Pop-Culture

1% 50% -$1

Tech

0% 50% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	No		+29	$20	2¢	$0	-$20	06-09 16:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	Arizona Wildcats	+$0	03-27 06:27
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Alabama Crimson Tide	+$30	03-22 02:55
cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	2	$920	1,000	1,000	+0	Iowa Hawkeyes	+$0	03-26 17:46
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	5	$601	400	400	+0	No	+$65	03-26 03:39
epl che mac 2026 04 12 che	16	$580	1,185	1,000	+185	No	-$40	04-12 07:47
highest temperature in seoul on march 28 2026 12c	1	$500	503	0	+503	Yes	+$3	03-28 07:53
cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29	5	$500	1,000	1,000	+0	Michigan Wolverines	-$20	03-28 17:21
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$378	400	400	+0	Yes	-$10	03-28 13:26
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$282	200	200	+0	No	+$10	03-19 03:30
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	7	$270	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	03-31 04:12
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 spread home 2pt5	5	$240	334	0	+334	Real Madrid CF	+$93	04-15 10:08
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	2	$233	120	120	+0	No	+$7	03-31 04:34
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	5	$206	572	572	+0	No	$0	04-15 10:13
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 total 3pt5	1	$200	500	0	+500	Over	-$200	04-15 03:35
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$198	100	100	+0	No	+$0	03-31 07:13
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	5	$187	150	200	-50	No	-$21	05-26 14:27
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	13	$183	213	213	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 07:50
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	8	$180	150	150	+0	Yes	+$0	04-13 21:06
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?	2	$174	154	154	+0	Yes	+$134	05-04 16:09
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	2	$156	100	100	+0	No	+$0	04-09 15:19
will zelenskyy attend the world economic forum	2	$153	99	99	+0	Yes	$0	01-22 03:47
spx opens up or down on march 27 2026	3	$142	100	100	+0	Down	+$4	03-27 04:01
wti up or down on april 13 2026	3	$137	146	146	+0	Up	$0	04-11 15:29
maduro trial scheduled by january 31	5	$134	90	90	+0	No	+$33	01-06 03:46
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$131	100	100	+0	Yes	+$7	03-18 12:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	8	$120	168	168	+0	Yes	+$1	04-28 16:46
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	2	$118	100	100	+0	Yes	+$78	04-04 18:53
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	1	$116	455	0	+455	No	-$116	07-19 19:08
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	10	$108	99	70	+29	open	—	06-09 16:08
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	9	$105	80	80	+0	Yes	+$0	06-02 11:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 17:17:09	Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x27acbf…
10-06 17:16:57	Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x50f8ac…
10-06 17:16:45	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	SELL	51	80¢	$41	0x28e5bf…
09-06 07:18:55	Will Lacy and Marlon have between 100 and 149 Warzone deaths during the marathon?	No	SELL	13	72¢	$9	0x24b70c…
09-06 07:18:46	Will Lacy and Marlon have between 100 and 149 Warzone deaths during the marathon?	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xbdd6d4…
09-06 07:18:43	Will Lacy and Marlon have between 100 and 149 Warzone deaths during the marathon?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$3	0x4826ce…
09-05 06:40:00	Will Lacy and Marlon have between 100 and 149 Warzone deaths during the marathon?	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x9752ce…
09-05 06:39:58	Will Lacy and Marlon have between 100 and 149 Warzone deaths during the marathon?	No	BUY	9	71¢	$7	0x5466c8…
09-05 05:24:21	Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x37912b…
09-05 05:20:39	Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x43143e…
08-11 05:33:31	Will Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x8aaf2b…
07-19 19:08:21	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	455	25¢	$116	0xed05ad…
07-15 17:12:58	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	138	36¢	$50	0xbb5278…
07-14 19:28:29	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	115	22¢	$25	0xf6579e…
07-14 17:09:10	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xf5b6bf…
07-14 07:24:22	will sentinels qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715581	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xbf837d…
07-14 07:23:59	will dplus kia qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715571	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xf17728…
07-14 06:26:11	will g2 esports qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715575	Yes	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x98992e…
07-14 06:25:40	will g2 esports qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715575	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xabd575…
07-14 06:13:29	will the announcers say suspension or suspended during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716368	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe99e8d…
07-14 04:42:01	will agptal qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715573	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xa4a2e2…
07-14 04:37:43	will agptal qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715573	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x5a07b0…
07-14 04:20:13	will dplus kia qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715571	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xb0aac0…
07-14 04:17:11	will agptal qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715573	No	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0xe43e4e…
07-14 04:02:53	will sentinels qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715581	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xff4859…
07-14 03:29:19	will the announcers say vertical or verticality during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716367	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x2b6380…
07-14 03:29:14	will the announcers say vertical or verticality during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716367	No	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xe95dba…
07-14 03:19:14	will sentinels qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715581	No	SELL	12	73¢	$9	0x15d913…
07-14 03:17:20	will sentinels qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715581	No	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xbd6cb7…
07-11 22:42:07	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0xeb3ad2…
07-11 13:16:56	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	164	30¢	$50	0xd574ef…
07-11 13:16:04	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xd7ac0e…
07-10 20:27:10	will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xf109ed…
07-10 20:22:59	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xb1909a…
07-10 20:22:43	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 spread home 1pt5	Spain	SELL	140	16¢	$23	0x7171fc…
07-10 17:39:34	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	140	36¢	$50	0x443ef2…
07-10 08:48:43	will the announcers say golden goal during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543756	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x0863a5…
07-10 04:55:52	will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x333573…
07-10 03:55:17	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543746	Yes	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x580f29…
07-10 03:42:25	will the announcers say shot 20 times during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543747	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x44b563…
07-10 03:23:55	will the announcers say shot 20 times during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543747	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x54446d…
07-10 03:22:53	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543746	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xbacea0…
07-10 03:22:52	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543746	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x09d5d1…
07-09 20:02:19	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	138	36¢	$50	0xd69df5…
07-07 13:59:13	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	174	43¢	$75	0x8da4d8…
07-07 13:59:05	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	156	48¢	$75	0x613899…
07-07 05:17:23	will the announcers say var during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260706213736121	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x582495…
07-06 16:28:05	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x0661a0…
07-06 16:27:29	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xa10e73…
07-05 16:47:50	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0xf7680c…
07-05 16:47:19	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x0370fa…
07-05 16:47:08	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x843800…
07-05 08:14:01	us government removes public access to another major ai model in 2026 20260703202936862	No	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0x75332e…
07-04 17:17:14	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 btts	Yes	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x6f5471…
07-04 17:17:04	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x8fabe4…
07-04 13:05:56	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	40	76¢	$30	0x4327e1…
07-04 11:46:49	will the announcers say ronaldo during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750051	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x53f506…
07-04 08:47:38	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0xfec5ea…
07-04 07:35:29	will the announcers say foul 5 times during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750031	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x0a641b…
07-04 07:32:26	will the announcers say extra time during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750039	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x0ec2b3…
07-04 07:22:47	will the announcers say ronaldo during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750051	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2739c2…
07-04 07:15:02	will the announcers say extra time during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750039	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x0cede3…
07-04 07:14:05	will the announcers say ref or referee 10 times during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750029	Yes	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0xc3d3a1…
07-04 07:09:26	will the announcers say var during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750038	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xa3f142…
07-04 07:05:32	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x13f55e…
07-04 05:36:41	us government removes public access to another major ai model in 2026 20260703202936862	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xc1fbc0…
07-04 05:36:23	us government removes public access to another major ai model in 2026 20260703202936862	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xb598d3…
07-04 05:34:52	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x2c287a…
07-04 05:34:49	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x723815…
07-04 04:19:08	will the announcers say what a save during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750045	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xb0e145…
07-04 04:09:31	will the announcers say extra time during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750039	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x4d98c5…
07-04 04:07:01	will the announcers say messi during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750050	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xa13e1d…
07-04 04:04:20	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750028	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xa19e8f…
07-04 03:08:53	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 btts	Yes	SELL	122	20¢	$24	0x688a79…
07-03 12:00:44	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032809	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd04417…
07-03 11:57:11	will the announcers say dream or dreaming during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236633	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xef8343…
07-03 11:55:59	will the announcers say messi during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032828	No	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x9aec8c…
07-03 11:54:56	will the announcers say messi during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032828	No	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0xe57dc3…
07-03 11:54:10	will the announcers say messi during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032828	No	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xa73e0f…
07-03 11:45:01	will the announcers say england during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402817	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x1b4e04…
07-03 11:35:53	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032807	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x5749e5…
07-03 11:22:14	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402807	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xaeeca9…
07-03 11:17:37	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236627	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x2b78df…
07-03 11:14:08	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402807	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x71558d…
07-03 10:47:40	will the announcers say messi during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032828	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x91ebef…
07-03 10:27:44	will the announcers say quality during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402816	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xe01223…
07-03 09:46:41	will the announcers say england during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402817	No	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x67e1f2…
07-03 09:40:04	will the announcers say goalkeeper 8 times during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236630	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xdb042e…
07-03 09:39:47	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236627	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xe468f2…
07-03 09:38:14	will the announcers say england during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402817	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x0d01d1…
07-03 09:37:25	will the announcers say england during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402817	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x285967…
07-03 09:23:40	will the announcers say goalkeeper 8 times during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236630	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x96e633…
07-03 09:16:14	will the announcers say pyramid during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032815	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x929cbf…
07-03 09:05:26	will the announcers say goalkeeper 8 times during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236630	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x95d4b5…
07-03 08:41:22	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032809	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbb1ebd…
07-03 08:40:58	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236626	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x06260d…
07-03 08:39:20	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 btts	Yes	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x87be9e…
07-03 08:38:49	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 btts	Yes	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x04b60b…
07-03 08:38:25	Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x0e9c23…
07-03 07:14:37	will the announcers say messi during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032828	No	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x2f6b1c…