Hidden-Convention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$158

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

4,081

Trades

5,280

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 10-29 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Other

55% 72% -$14

Crypto

44% 52% -$146

Politics

1% 38% +$2

Sports

0% 67% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 13?	6	$103	62	62	+0	No	+$8	07-13 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	1	$93	113	0	+113	Up	+$19	10-27 02:12
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 21?	3	$89	3	88	-85	Yes	+$1	07-21 10:02
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 23?	2	$73	0	110	-110	Yes	-$37	07-23 10:11
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 23?	7	$72	39	135	-96	No	+$7	07-23 10:02
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 20?	2	$69	3	68	-64	Yes	+$2	07-20 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	3	$68	82	0	+82	Up	+$14	10-26 00:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 03:20 UTC	4	$67	49	49	+0	Up	+$18	08-31 03:23
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 19?	2	$66	6	64	-58	Yes	+$3	07-19 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	1	$64	76	0	+76	Up	+$11	10-25 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$64	73	0	+73	Up	+$9	10-25 23:43
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	6	$63	19	64	-45	Yes	-$6	07-12 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	3	$60	71	0	+71	Up	+$11	10-24 23:58
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	3	$59	32	32	+0	No	+$1	04-15 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$57	70	0	+70	Up	+$13	10-23 06:14
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 17?	1	$56	0	59	-59	Yes	-$2	07-17 08:48
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 23?	3	$56	55	55	-1	No	+$4	07-23 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 19?	1	$56	56	0	+56	No	+$0	07-19 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$55	65	0	+65	Up	+$10	10-24 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	1	$54	65	0	+65	Up	+$11	10-24 01:42
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 22?	2	$51	4	50	-46	Yes	+$2	07-22 10:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$50	58	0	+58	Up	+$8	10-24 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$49	62	0	+62	Up	+$13	10-23 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$49	35	35	+0	Down	+$17	05-13 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$49	59	0	+59	Up	+$10	10-24 06:29
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 5?	1	$48	49	0	+49	No	+$1	08-04 11:16
highest temperature in wuhan on april 12 2026 24c	4	$47	30	29	+0	No	+$4	04-12 11:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	1	$47	63	0	+63	Down	-$47	10-26 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$47	41	31	+10	Up	+$16	07-29 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$45	56	0	+56	Up	+$11	10-27 14:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 14:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4179fb…
10-29 13:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x5c08a9…
10-29 13:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x337a84…
10-27 19:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xd9d586…
10-27 19:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	82¢	$29	0x498156…
10-27 18:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0xaf4e22…
10-27 17:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x72b33f…
10-27 16:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	87¢	$32	0xb6724f…
10-27 16:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	83¢	$23	0xb0a560…
10-27 15:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	46	82¢	$38	0x2f3f18…
10-27 14:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	56	81¢	$45	0x03abdf…
10-27 13:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	53	81¢	$43	0x79c857…
10-27 09:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	49	83¢	$41	0x38db5b…
10-27 06:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	53	78¢	$41	0xbd6c93…
10-27 03:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa793b4…
10-27 02:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	113	83¢	$93	0x7360d5…
10-26 09:13:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	63	75¢	$47	0xb3adf9…
10-26 02:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x33eb08…
10-26 02:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd6baf2…
10-26 02:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x617134…
10-26 02:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf2357a…
10-26 02:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xeeac51…
10-26 01:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4d0dc6…
10-26 00:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	80	83¢	$66	0x268d36…
10-26 00:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd8b611…
10-26 00:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x15ba0e…
10-25 23:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x9cf2c5…
10-25 23:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	73	88¢	$64	0x240463…
10-25 23:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x002e56…
10-25 23:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x20fab5…
10-25 23:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xac3beb…
10-25 22:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x934e79…
10-25 22:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4baafa…
10-25 22:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xddac31…
10-25 22:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x64d2b4…
10-25 22:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1fcaac…
10-25 21:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0x08c0e5…
10-25 20:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	82¢	$29	0xe39dc9…
10-25 18:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	88¢	$38	0x8783ea…
10-25 18:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	75	45¢	$34	0x59561d…
10-25 09:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	76	85¢	$64	0xed3b56…
10-25 03:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9da178…
10-25 03:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5f1106…
10-25 03:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcc21ac…
10-25 02:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf65094…
10-25 02:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe0d914…
10-25 01:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x238522…
10-25 00:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	83¢	$41	0x5b3605…
10-25 00:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcf8d0c…
10-24 23:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	69	84¢	$58	0xe8ff1d…
10-24 23:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1168b5…
10-24 23:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xab8246…
10-24 23:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0x6dd403…
10-24 23:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	65	84¢	$55	0x377357…
10-24 22:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	43	80¢	$35	0x6ad32b…
10-24 20:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x786337…
10-24 20:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	82¢	$42	0x2d7033…
10-24 19:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0xed8231…
10-24 18:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	85¢	$39	0xc16bb8…
10-24 14:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc046fc…
10-24 13:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x369eea…
10-24 13:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1ef726…
10-24 11:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x28d9f3…
10-24 10:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x27b2bc…
10-24 09:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x3e1f08…
10-24 08:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x2d2a41…
10-24 08:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xb89527…
10-24 07:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	83¢	$17	0x19ec28…
10-24 07:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xa31915…
10-24 06:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$24	0x60e4b1…
10-24 06:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	59	82¢	$49	0x0b918c…
10-24 04:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x07c06d…
10-24 02:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0x5eb7fd…
10-24 01:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	65	83¢	$54	0x396a3e…
10-23 22:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0x2f06aa…
10-23 09:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xee1094…
10-23 09:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x55887e…
10-23 08:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	54	82¢	$44	0x85ff01…
10-23 07:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	46	83¢	$38	0x30384e…
10-23 07:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2b2ead…
10-23 07:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x836024…
10-23 07:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xed6849…
10-23 06:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	87¢	$37	0xb36198…
10-23 06:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc7efe2…
10-23 06:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x78d208…
10-23 06:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xeb0aaf…
10-23 06:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	70	82¢	$57	0x99e915…
10-23 06:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2a8d7b…
10-23 05:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7ff60c…
10-23 05:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xaa6e62…
10-23 04:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0x961f32…
10-23 04:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7de385…
10-23 04:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x609c5b…
10-23 04:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd770b5…
10-23 03:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	62	79¢	$49	0x1a0f05…
10-23 03:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4432fe…
10-23 00:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9a5d71…
10-22 23:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7ea944…
10-22 23:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5c78c3…
10-22 18:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x36aa65…