Hidden-Convention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

315

Trades

816

lifetime

Volume

$1.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 05-17 22:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 51% $-3

Other

43% — —

Politics

5% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	3	$59	32	32	+0	open	—	04-15 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$49	35	35	+0	Down	+$17	05-13 22:59
highest temperature in wuhan on april 12 2026 24c	4	$47	30	29	+0	open	—	04-12 11:29
highest temperature in wuhan on april 11 2026 21c	4	$42	24	24	+0	open	—	04-10 16:08
highest temperature in shanghai on april 16 2026 18c	4	$38	24	24	+0	open	—	04-16 01:46
highest temperature in wuhan on april 10 2026 28corhigher	4	$37	22	21	+0	open	—	04-10 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$32	68	0	+68	Down	+$36	05-12 21:11
atp ribecai harris 2026 04 06	2	$31	17	17	+0	open	—	04-07 15:01
highest temperature in wuhan on april 13 2026 22c	4	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	04-13 16:51
atp cilic shevche 2026 04 07	3	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	04-07 12:04
highest temperature in wuhan on april 16 2026 22c	4	$23	36	6	+30	open	—	04-16 07:50
atp zhou hussey 2026 04 05	5	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	04-07 07:57
highest temperature in wuhan on april 14 2026 19c	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-14 12:08
highest temperature in wuhan on april 7 2026 25c	3	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	04-06 08:52
highest temperature in wuhan on april 9 2026 20c	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	04-08 16:14
highest temperature in wuhan on april 9 2026 21c	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-08 23:04
highest temperature in wuhan on april 15 2026 21corbelow	3	$19	12	12	+0	open	—	04-15 13:51
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 17 2026 31c	2	$19	9	9	+0	open	—	04-17 06:53
highest temperature in wuhan on april 8 2026 21c	2	$19	14	13	+0	open	—	04-07 06:50
highest temperature in wuhan on april 14 2026 18c	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	04-14 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$16	18	0	+18	Down	+$2	05-13 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$16	28	0	+28	Up	$-16	05-12 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$16	22	0	+22	Up	+$6	05-14 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$16	31	0	+31	Down	$-16	05-14 02:50
highest temperature in shanghai on april 16 2026 19c	5	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-16 05:51
highest temperature in beijing on april 17 2026 24c	4	$14	14	14	+0	open	—	04-17 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$13	12	12	+0	Up	$-3	05-12 06:08
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 19c	6	$13	14	14	+0	open	—	04-15 07:02
highest temperature in wuhan on april 19 2026 30c	4	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	04-19 14:47
highest temperature in denver on april 19 2026 72 73f	3	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	04-19 23:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 22:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x09b2e6…
05-17 22:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe2d6f1…
05-17 22:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xb7b26a…
05-17 22:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xfb3ae6…
05-17 22:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfed7e0…
05-17 21:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x58eb38…
05-17 21:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x616e99…
05-17 21:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x46792e…
05-17 21:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6b77c6…
05-17 21:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x7e6e03…
05-17 21:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x59bf3f…
05-17 16:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0x4b4cc5…
05-17 16:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x204495…
05-17 16:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7aa2cd…
05-17 16:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd097cd…
05-17 16:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0d03f2…
05-17 16:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5d460f…
05-17 16:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xad677b…
05-17 16:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe6fa2c…
05-17 06:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x4d27c2…
05-17 06:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xaf2ed8…
05-17 06:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x94b52e…
05-17 06:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xe60566…
05-17 06:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xe517de…
05-17 06:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbf7b72…
05-17 03:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7e554a…
05-17 03:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x50dea0…
05-17 03:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbf6736…
05-17 03:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x223cf7…
05-17 03:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf91555…
05-17 01:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x55275f…
05-16 22:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x2cd1aa…
05-16 22:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb510fb…
05-16 22:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x77b6e8…
05-16 22:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x57d089…
05-16 21:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x613aeb…
05-16 21:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1e6136…
05-16 21:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7bc623…
05-16 21:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x153d86…
05-16 20:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x503545…
05-16 19:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2ac860…
05-16 19:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x15a9fa…
05-16 19:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd8400a…
05-16 19:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbe6a9a…
05-16 18:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9ea092…
05-16 18:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x387d60…
05-16 18:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x44f775…
05-16 15:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8ab2e0…
05-16 15:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdfb448…
05-16 14:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xd534c8…
05-16 14:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf53bb8…
05-16 13:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf7073c…
05-16 13:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x61f1b2…
05-16 12:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0e5385…
05-16 12:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2202b8…
05-16 12:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x5ac942…
05-16 12:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7cc387…
05-16 12:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x66bd93…
05-16 12:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd26db1…
05-16 12:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x4b7be8…
05-16 12:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4e32ba…
05-16 12:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2274a7…
05-16 11:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x3cb386…
05-16 11:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7b032e…
05-16 11:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x55ebd1…
05-16 11:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xeac470…
05-16 04:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x23d061…
05-16 04:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2b2c41…
05-16 04:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x86fadd…
05-16 04:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x705d16…
05-16 04:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x17e2bc…
05-16 03:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x09041b…
05-16 03:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x8f1ecb…
05-16 03:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x6df40a…
05-16 03:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe0c1a9…
05-16 03:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xb9ca58…
05-16 02:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x385151…
05-16 02:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x95dbd0…
05-16 02:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x195992…
05-16 02:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x61d027…
05-16 02:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x20e575…
05-16 01:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xaa4e26…
05-16 01:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x99269a…
05-16 01:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x732a21…
05-15 23:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf18e3b…
05-15 23:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x78361f…
05-15 23:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9967f5…
05-15 23:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x74eb40…
05-15 19:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc8b642…
05-15 19:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4d0fd7…
05-15 18:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x37ada9…
05-15 18:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x38dd81…
05-15 18:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xf6d7d3…
05-15 18:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbf4c15…
05-15 17:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x13c3c8…
05-15 17:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xda3aff…
05-15 17:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf32133…
05-15 17:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xef3f1f…
05-15 17:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe119d0…
05-15 17:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3641eb…