Reckless-Airforce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

3,345

Trades

3,747

lifetime

Volume

$51.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-28 08:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 93% +$82

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	14	$368	383	190	+193	Down	+$171	05-13 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:10 UTC	2	$193	175	87	+88	Up	+$64	09-28 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$187	208	104	+104	Up	+$1	05-13 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$172	152	80	+72	Down	+$54	05-16 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	3	$150	151	75	+76	Down	+$61	05-13 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$150	138	60	+78	Up	+$45	05-17 13:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$148	198	0	+198	Down	+$50	05-08 21:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	7	$143	141	70	+71	Up	+$56	05-14 19:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$140	228	0	+228	Up	-$140	05-08 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$131	129	65	+64	Up	+$61	05-03 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$130	126	63	+63	Up	+$48	05-18 18:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$122	223	0	+223	Up	-$122	05-20 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$110	186	0	+186	Down	+$76	05-01 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$106	106	50	+56	Up	+$14	05-03 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$102	372	0	+372	Up	-$102	05-13 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$100	105	0	+105	Up	+$5	05-17 18:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 16:00 UTC	1	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-13 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 18:35 UTC	1	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	03-18 18:40
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	04-28 16:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 18:15 UTC	1	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-18 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	5	$92	134	0	+134	Down	+$42	05-07 06:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$92	96	0	+96	Down	+$4	05-20 19:54
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$90	60	60	+0	Down	-$4	09-20 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$80	131	0	+131	Up	-$80	05-01 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	5	$79	107	0	+107	Up	+$28	05-02 18:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$70	79	39	+40	Up	+$40	05-14 17:31
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 17:15 UTC	2	$69	70	0	+70	Down	+$1	03-13 17:28
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 17:45 UTC	4	$69	70	0	+70	Down	+$1	03-27 17:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 13:15 UTC	3	$69	70	0	+70	Down	+$1	03-25 13:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 16:45 UTC	6	$69	70	0	+70	Up	+$1	03-23 16:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xcfa039…
10-28 08:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	87	41¢	$36	0x10c99a…
10-28 08:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	52	40¢	$21	0x1cac17…
10-28 08:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0xebb2d2…
10-27 12:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x3657ef…
10-27 12:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xfd4d04…
10-26 16:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xd2f580…
10-26 16:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	44	52¢	$23	0x22f9b1…
10-26 16:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x8c208c…
10-25 05:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x98be8f…
10-25 05:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	54	42¢	$23	0x728c41…
10-25 05:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x8409b1…
10-22 02:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x33b927…
10-22 02:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x250f3f…
10-20 21:23:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x1974da…
10-20 21:20:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	52	76¢	$40	0xdd0403…
10-20 21:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x713ae1…
10-15 15:44:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x779279…
10-15 15:40:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0x95a516…
10-15 15:35:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0xe283fd…
10-15 15:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x23b991…
10-15 15:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	69	56¢	$39	0x2cd93d…
10-15 15:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x19fc72…
10-15 15:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x1f35e8…
10-12 17:39:09	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xff201b…
10-11 16:09:09	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x398e4f…
10-11 16:05:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	21	65¢	$14	0xa91152…
10-10 08:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x9334da…
10-10 08:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xcce24b…
10-10 08:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x8e39a8…
10-10 08:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	61¢	$12	0x995acd…
10-07 16:05:07	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	60	41¢	$24	0x134d6f…
10-07 16:00:07	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0x23bbe7…
10-07 15:55:11	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x597383…
10-07 15:55:11	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1a8cfa…
10-04 04:57:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xfa01a7…
10-04 04:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xc55480…
09-29 15:33:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x8eb5c6…
09-29 15:32:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x6cc5d0…
09-29 15:30:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x921944…
09-29 15:30:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1859d6…
09-29 15:25:08	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x027541…
09-29 15:25:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x4b5967…
09-29 15:20:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x4b7b04…
09-28 22:14:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:10 UTC	Up	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x212c37…
09-28 22:13:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:10 UTC	Up	SELL	87	97¢	$84	0x2c806d…
09-28 22:10:14	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xf88e29…
09-28 22:10:14	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	47	37¢	$17	0x19f39c…
09-28 22:10:14	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x19d8a5…
09-28 22:10:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	175	62¢	$108	0x57f5a7…
09-28 22:05:08	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	37	32¢	$12	0xd062bb…
09-28 22:05:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xf3f459…
09-28 22:05:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	57	49¢	$28	0x77529c…
09-28 22:00:08	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0xc063f8…
09-28 22:00:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x55a13b…
09-28 22:00:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0x1d87a4…
09-28 22:00:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$7	0x1ab4b8…
09-28 21:55:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x5ce488…
09-28 21:55:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xe29ca8…
09-25 21:11:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7acfe3…
09-25 21:09:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3a1055…
09-25 21:05:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0227cf…
09-22 18:58:33	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x433726…
09-22 18:57:57	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc62fdb…
09-21 09:35:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0xa4e03d…
09-21 09:35:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x5504d4…
09-21 09:35:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	72	34¢	$24	0x16f908…
09-21 09:35:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xf318f7…
09-21 08:45:08	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xfc757f…
09-21 08:45:08	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb4eee0…
09-21 08:45:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xab9b87…
09-21 08:45:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	46	70¢	$32	0x671f2b…
09-21 08:45:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x4a7d03…
09-21 08:45:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0x282e2b…
09-21 08:40:06	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xbaa0aa…
09-21 08:40:06	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x96882b…
09-21 08:40:06	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0x6e21c8…
09-21 08:40:06	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x62e147…
09-21 08:40:06	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x035902…
09-21 08:35:08	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xf62961…
09-20 14:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xba9bc7…
09-20 14:06:33	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	23	70¢	$16	0x9e958c…
09-20 14:06:10	XRP Up or Down - September 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xe69e1f…
09-20 14:05:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	60	72¢	$43	0xbb7f32…
09-20 14:05:12	XRP Up or Down - September 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x3a5e4e…
09-20 14:05:12	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x22d274…
09-20 14:05:09	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf573da…
09-20 14:05:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	60	78¢	$47	0x0db461…
09-20 14:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x5f99a2…
09-20 13:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xd516ca…
09-20 13:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0xfbb7cc…
09-20 13:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xb73ed9…
09-20 13:43:37	XRP Up or Down - September 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xb98880…
09-20 13:43:36	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa91c28…
09-20 13:40:25	XRP Up or Down - September 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	65¢	$0	0x4ab483…
09-20 13:40:24	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x961125…
09-20 13:40:24	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0x7b0577…
09-20 13:40:24	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x31664c…
09-20 13:40:21	XRP Up or Down - September 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xfa828f…
09-20 13:40:18	XRP Up or Down - September 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x5c6a28…