Equatorial-Oak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$85

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$24.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$414

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 07-27 04:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

74% 22% -$6

Sports

19% 100% +$100

Politics

7% 0% -$4

Crypto

0% 33% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nikita bier out as head of product at x by march 31	6	$3.5K	1,756	1,756	+0	No	+$4	03-28 16:22
will kpop demon hunters be the top us netflix movie this week 925	6	$3.5K	1,745	1,745	+0	No	-$6	03-28 07:19
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	5	$3.1K	1,573	1,573	+0	No	-$1	04-09 15:42
Will Brentford finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	4	$3.0K	1,506	1,506	+0	No	+$0	04-12 11:20
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	3	$1.8K	888	888	+0	No	-$2	04-09 18:30
howard lutnick out as secretary of commerce by march 31	3	$1.7K	870	870	+0	No	+$1	03-28 09:19
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?	3	$1.7K	860	860	+0	No	-$4	03-28 14:49
Will Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$1.7K	848	848	+0	No	-$1	03-28 14:14
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$1.6K	819	819	+0	No	+$1	04-12 09:21
will norway join the board of peace	3	$1.6K	805	805	+0	No	-$1	03-28 18:51
will mrbeast hit 477 million subscribers by march 31 246 645 675 153 553	3	$1.5K	761	761	+0	No	-$1	03-28 13:42
nba hou nop 2026 03 29 total 224pt5	1	$108	207	0	+207	Over	+$100	03-29 11:56
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	06-13 10:53
xrp up or down march 1 1am et	2	$16	31	0	+31	Down	+$16	02-28 21:09
solana up or down february 28 1pm et	1	$14	28	0	+28	Up	+$14	02-28 11:15
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	07-27 04:15
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	07-07 04:15
xrp up or down february 22 4am et	2	$10	20	0	+20	Up	-$10	02-22 03:06
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	05-13 07:14
solana up or down february 23 9pm et	1	$9	18	0	+18	Down	-$9	02-23 18:23
xrp up or down february 19 10pm et	1	$7	13	0	+13	Down	-$7	02-19 18:22
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-21 05:00 UTC	1	$6	12	0	+12	Up	-$6	02-21 01:12
solana up or down february 24 10pm et	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	02-24 20:16
solana up or down february 27 12am et	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	02-27 00:25
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-01 21:00 UTC	1	$4	9	0	+9	Up	-$4	03-01 18:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 04:15:03	Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x210024…
07-27 03:45:33	Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbeb2dc…
07-07 04:15:32	Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x78adf4…
07-07 03:45:14	Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb29964…
06-13 10:53:51	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x83e2f5…
06-13 10:45:27	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf68e5c…
05-13 07:14:33	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x399aad…
05-13 06:45:48	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x67e714…
04-12 11:20:43	Will Brentford finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	751	99¢	$746	0x943e63…
04-12 11:14:29	Will Brentford finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	751	100¢	$748	0x6f7513…
04-12 10:06:23	Will Brentford finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	755	100¢	$752	0xd9d951…
04-12 10:00:21	Will Brentford finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	755	99¢	$750	0xe0ed9b…
04-12 09:21:25	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	819	99¢	$808	0xf6c4a5…
04-12 09:15:29	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	819	99¢	$807	0x591e3e…
04-09 18:30:57	Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0xb93f40…
04-09 18:30:57	Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	866	98¢	$853	0x10b840…
04-09 18:26:41	Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	888	99¢	$876	0x8264ed…
04-09 15:42:29	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	759	98¢	$746	0x937ef9…
04-09 15:38:15	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	759	98¢	$748	0x3932b4…
04-09 12:52:01	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	755	98¢	$743	0x879d68…
04-09 12:51:59	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0x62737e…
04-09 12:47:57	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	814	98¢	$800	0x593489…
03-29 11:56:00	nba hou nop 2026 03 29 total 224pt5	Over	BUY	207	52¢	$108	0x1d20f0…
03-28 18:51:54	will norway join the board of peace	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2c9b51…
03-28 18:51:52	will norway join the board of peace	No	SELL	790	100¢	$786	0x2f7278…
03-28 18:47:25	will norway join the board of peace	No	BUY	805	100¢	$801	0xfefaeb…
03-28 16:22:53	nikita bier out as head of product at x by march 31	No	SELL	824	99¢	$819	0x8332e4…
03-28 16:22:53	nikita bier out as head of product at x by march 31	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x832b1a…
03-28 16:18:25	nikita bier out as head of product at x by march 31	No	BUY	858	99¢	$851	0xd8d583…
03-28 15:26:41	nikita bier out as head of product at x by march 31	No	SELL	815	99¢	$809	0xbe9a0e…
03-28 15:26:39	nikita bier out as head of product at x by march 31	No	SELL	83	99¢	$83	0x711c63…
03-28 15:20:59	nikita bier out as head of product at x by march 31	No	BUY	898	99¢	$889	0x57b5bb…
03-28 14:49:21	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0xd0ab37…
03-28 14:44:51	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?	No	SELL	770	99¢	$762	0x8bd964…
03-28 14:40:11	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?	No	BUY	860	100¢	$856	0xacca9d…
03-28 14:14:19	Will Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	848	99¢	$840	0xf41dec…
03-28 14:09:53	Will Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	848	99¢	$840	0x9006a2…
03-28 13:42:59	will mrbeast hit 477 million subscribers by march 31 246 645 675 153 553	No	SELL	750	99¢	$746	0x74c522…
03-28 13:42:57	will mrbeast hit 477 million subscribers by march 31 246 645 675 153 553	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x33da1e…
03-28 13:39:15	will mrbeast hit 477 million subscribers by march 31 246 645 675 153 553	No	BUY	761	99¢	$757	0x9cf81a…
03-28 09:19:31	howard lutnick out as secretary of commerce by march 31	No	SELL	859	99¢	$853	0x72cf12…
03-28 09:19:29	howard lutnick out as secretary of commerce by march 31	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x05997f…
03-28 09:12:55	howard lutnick out as secretary of commerce by march 31	No	BUY	870	99¢	$863	0xb0d431…
03-28 07:19:13	will kpop demon hunters be the top us netflix movie this week 925	No	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0xb4e1c3…
03-28 07:19:11	will kpop demon hunters be the top us netflix movie this week 925	No	SELL	840	99¢	$832	0x70eb3c…
03-28 07:14:55	will kpop demon hunters be the top us netflix movie this week 925	No	BUY	876	99¢	$868	0x445f03…
03-28 06:42:03	will kpop demon hunters be the top us netflix movie this week 925	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xa3b831…
03-28 06:42:01	will kpop demon hunters be the top us netflix movie this week 925	No	SELL	841	99¢	$833	0x786cb9…
03-28 06:38:11	will kpop demon hunters be the top us netflix movie this week 925	No	BUY	868	100¢	$865	0x6bc2e5…
03-01 18:14:57	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-01 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x9d4765…
02-28 21:09:09	xrp up or down march 1 1am et	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x5fdaf4…
02-28 21:09:05	xrp up or down march 1 1am et	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xb5d127…
02-28 11:15:09	solana up or down february 28 1pm et	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x35c47f…
02-27 00:25:16	solana up or down february 27 12am et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5146b4…
02-24 20:16:26	solana up or down february 24 10pm et	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf1818c…
02-23 18:23:00	solana up or down february 23 9pm et	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x8fe76f…
02-22 03:06:24	xrp up or down february 22 4am et	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf8d596…
02-22 03:06:22	xrp up or down february 22 4am et	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2139a2…
02-21 01:12:50	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-21 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xcc304b…
02-19 18:22:56	xrp up or down february 19 10pm et	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x4acd82…