Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.3%

Resolved

109

Trades

328

lifetime

Volume

$931

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-20

last 10-21 16:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 44% -$29

Other

2% 0% -$1

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 272 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	18	$41	86	0	+86	Down	-$1	10-21 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	16	$39	80	0	+80	Down	-$4	10-21 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	12	$28	55	0	+55	Down	-$3	10-21 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	12	$28	55	0	+55	Up	-$3	10-21 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	11	$26	53	0	+53	Up	+$2	10-21 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	10	$24	45	0	+45	Up	+$1	10-21 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	12	$24	45	0	+45	Down	-$4	10-21 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	8	$21	40	0	+40	Up	+$4	10-21 09:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	9	$21	45	0	+45	Down	-$1	10-21 10:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	8	$20	40	0	+40	Up	+$5	10-21 09:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-21 08:40 UTC	10	$18	30	0	+30	Up	+$2	10-21 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	7	$16	32	0	+32	Down	-$1	10-21 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	6	$16	30	0	+30	Down	-$1	10-21 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	6	$15	30	0	+30	Up	$0	10-21 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	7	$15	33	0	+33	Down	$0	10-21 08:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-21 09:10 UTC	7	$15	30	0	+30	Up	+$5	10-21 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	7	$15	30	0	+30	Up	-$5	10-21 09:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-21 09:00 UTC	8	$14	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	10-21 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	6	$14	30	0	+30	Up	+$1	10-21 10:23
Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$13	17	17	+0	Yes	-$1	10-21 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	6	$13	30	0	+30	Down	-$3	10-21 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	5	$12	25	0	+25	Up	-$2	10-21 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	6	$12	30	0	+30	Up	-$2	10-21 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	4	$11	20	0	+20	Up	-$1	10-21 08:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	5	$10	25	0	+25	Down	$0	10-21 08:57
Solana Up or Down - October 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Up	-$10	10-20 19:09
XRP Up or Down - October 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Up	-$10	10-20 18:39
Solana Up or Down - October 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Up	-$10	10-20 19:53
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Up	-$10	10-20 20:39
Solana Up or Down - October 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Up	-$10	10-20 21:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 16:02:27	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x8f9322…
10-21 16:02:23	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xb0546d…
10-21 16:02:18	Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	17	38¢	$6	0xade5cd…
10-21 13:50:38	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?	No	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xc641b8…
10-21 13:50:36	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?	No	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0xafd6cb…
10-21 13:48:36	Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0xfe664d…
10-21 13:47:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x17da64…
10-21 11:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x61ef76…
10-21 11:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xeac60a…
10-21 11:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x1f1802…
10-21 11:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6c5c92…
10-21 11:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xed79b9…
10-21 11:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x26e365…
10-21 11:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbb0749…
10-21 11:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x682c21…
10-21 11:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x4cfb35…
10-21 11:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x6f4b75…
10-21 11:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x7a96eb…
10-21 11:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x8b8eed…
10-21 11:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7cdb9e…
10-21 11:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa0d9c6…
10-21 11:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x19e8da…
10-21 11:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0735eb…
10-21 11:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x64872f…
10-21 11:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x74db33…
10-21 11:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5afd6a…
10-21 11:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd2d054…
10-21 11:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf8f158…
10-21 11:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe65562…
10-21 10:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3bb8dd…
10-21 10:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x72fdab…
10-21 10:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x95db39…
10-21 10:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x35e0aa…
10-21 10:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbdffd9…
10-21 10:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf81bee…
10-21 10:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb61f0b…
10-21 10:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd34075…
10-21 10:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xcfa06f…
10-21 10:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x780fb5…
10-21 10:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x82ebd4…
10-21 10:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa8e594…
10-21 10:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6ad3b5…
10-21 10:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa62cb3…
10-21 10:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x797497…
10-21 10:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x6dc00d…
10-21 10:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x096b7f…
10-21 10:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf310b1…
10-21 10:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8a976e…
10-21 10:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x4556c0…
10-21 10:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x58e68a…
10-21 10:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xf6caf8…
10-21 10:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x59d912…
10-21 10:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3d40aa…
10-21 10:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe9ac66…
10-21 10:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x13aeef…
10-21 10:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5835cd…
10-21 10:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xdc5b00…
10-21 10:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x6c1dca…
10-21 10:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x93a948…
10-21 10:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xf13894…
10-21 10:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x9450d0…
10-21 10:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x55ee96…
10-21 10:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb8a71e…
10-21 10:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x1bd404…
10-21 10:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x420241…
10-21 10:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd45274…
10-21 10:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4384c5…
10-21 10:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc3d59c…
10-21 10:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf4ed21…
10-21 10:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x388fb3…
10-21 10:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x20a35f…
10-21 10:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xdb5f34…
10-21 10:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x02cf67…
10-21 10:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xa1bf5e…
10-21 10:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1cd5af…
10-21 10:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x17a47d…
10-21 10:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x67df93…
10-21 10:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xdd80a0…
10-21 10:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x831605…
10-21 10:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x11c5f8…
10-21 10:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xeb5750…
10-21 10:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xc24dfc…
10-21 10:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbb48b7…
10-21 10:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x08ddd4…
10-21 10:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd5c3f9…
10-21 10:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x4dc7b0…
10-21 10:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe7843b…
10-21 10:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xef6ff8…
10-21 10:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2e498c…
10-21 10:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5be9bd…
10-21 10:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x455204…
10-21 10:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x223afe…
10-21 10:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x141d0a…
10-21 10:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x90721a…
10-21 10:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x29325e…
10-21 10:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xbd40c3…
10-21 10:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x80ca82…
10-21 10:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x2e5951…
10-21 10:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x61864c…
10-21 10:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x07436b…