Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$166

Unrealized P&L

+$151

Hit rate

76.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$165

Open exposure

$551

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-26 18:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Politics

49% 75% +$632

Other

30% 60% -$216

Crypto

13% 70% -$257

Tech

5% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	+244	$100	100¢	$244	+$144	09-14 05:44
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+319	$100	34¢	$107	+$7	10-26 18:45
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	+123	$100	86¢	$107	+$7	10-21 04:47
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+145	$100	64¢	$94	-$6	10-21 04:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$951	656	656	+0	Yes	+$151	03-03 13:41
will iran strike israel on march 10	1	$400	445	0	+445	Yes	+$45	03-09 12:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$400	449	0	+449	No	+$49	03-06 22:49
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	1	$400	455	0	+455	Yes	+$55	05-17 07:35
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$351	1,571	1,571	+0	No	+$131	03-05 08:21
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$300	717	0	+717	No	-$300	07-16 18:48
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	1	$300	566	0	+566	open	—	10-22 05:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$300	357	0	+357	No	+$57	05-08 11:27
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	1	$300	585	0	+585	Yes	+$285	02-23 18:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$300	385	0	+385	Yes	+$85	02-28 13:56
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$300	394	0	+394	Yes	+$94	03-03 21:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 16:00 UTC	2	$300	358	0	+358	Up	-$87	02-20 16:03
spx opens up or down on january 22 2026	2	$231	132	132	+0	Up	+$31	01-22 19:56
spx up or down on january 22 2026	2	$227	130	130	+0	Up	+$27	01-22 19:56
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$207	108	108	+0	Yes	+$7	02-19 19:39
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	1	$200	299	0	+299	open	—	10-26 18:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 20:10 UTC	1	$200	860	0	+860	Down	-$200	02-19 20:15
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$200	345	0	+345	Yes	+$145	02-19 18:46
spx opens up or down on february 12 2026	1	$200	244	0	+244	Up	+$44	02-12 10:23
will trump say middle east during speech to the nation 20260713200621425	1	$200	335	0	+335	No	-$200	07-16 18:50
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$200	271	0	+271	No	+$71	02-13 08:47
spx opens up or down on february 13 2026	1	$200	281	0	+281	Up	-$200	02-13 12:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	1	$200	220	0	+220	No	+$20	02-28 14:42
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$138	151	151	+0	No	-$62	03-29 10:27
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	1	$110	324	0	+324	No	-$110	03-09 13:00
will trump say hamas during board of peace events on february 19	1	$110	124	0	+124	Yes	+$14	02-18 15:54
will trump say venezuela during cabinet meeting 20260727172357451	1	$100	400	0	+400	Yes	-$100	07-31 12:55
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	1	$100	145	0	+145	open	—	10-21 04:47
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$100	156	0	+156	Yes	+$56	03-29 10:26
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	1	$100	244	0	+244	open	—	09-14 05:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:45:54	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	319	31¢	$100	0x6195e5…
10-26 18:45:29	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	299	67¢	$200	0xa8013f…
10-22 05:35:31	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	566	53¢	$300	0xd23e66…
10-21 04:47:56	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x49d846…
10-21 04:47:47	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x15d08c…
10-21 04:46:23	Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xc6d026…
09-14 05:44:18	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x7f7858…
07-31 12:55:57	will trump say data center during cabinet meeting 20260727172357448	No	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0xc14b5c…
07-31 12:55:51	will trump say venezuela during cabinet meeting 20260727172357451	No	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x6cfd43…
07-16 18:50:10	will trump say middle east during speech to the nation 20260713200621425	Yes	BUY	335	60¢	$200	0x15f104…
07-16 18:48:13	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	717	42¢	$300	0xb57d18…
05-17 07:35:53	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	455	88¢	$400	0xe20468…
05-08 11:27:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	357	84¢	$300	0xc3861e…
03-29 17:23:22	cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29	Tennessee Volunteers	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x3cab88…
03-29 10:27:06	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	151	25¢	$38	0x9af4c0…
03-29 10:26:26	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x0960e4…
03-14 08:30:01	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0x18599a…
03-09 20:06:25	will trump say khamenei or ayatollah during monday press conference	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xaac76b…
03-09 20:06:07	will trump say bibi or netanyahu during monday press conference	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x9e67cb…
03-09 20:06:01	will trump say hormuz during monday press conference	Yes	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x2b344b…
03-09 13:00:47	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	324	34¢	$110	0x0428f2…
03-09 12:59:51	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	445	90¢	$400	0x88698b…
03-06 22:49:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	449	89¢	$400	0xad013c…
03-05 08:21:57	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	1,571	15¢	$241	0x831d9b…
03-04 18:06:57	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	1,571	7¢	$110	0x0e2548…
03-03 21:20:21	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	394	76¢	$300	0x115398…
03-03 13:41:23	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	656	84¢	$551	0x9bb6c2…
03-02 20:19:41	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	656	61¢	$400	0x052000…
02-28 14:42:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x66cda3…
02-28 13:56:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	385	78¢	$300	0xaa1d2c…
02-23 18:11:50	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	585	51¢	$300	0xdfb17b…
02-20 18:43:30	spx up or down on february 20 2026	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x2f9966…
02-20 16:03:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x410754…
02-20 16:00:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x4ee041…
02-20 15:20:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xf93f8d…
02-19 21:23:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x8f7ec4…
02-19 21:12:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x2d8be6…
02-19 20:38:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x50cfa1…
02-19 20:29:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xaed15a…
02-19 20:15:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	860	23¢	$200	0xc16a1b…
02-19 20:09:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x7d2edf…
02-19 20:00:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x8d82c3…
02-19 19:40:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0x73baf4…
02-19 19:39:30	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	108	100¢	$107	0x83530d…
02-19 18:46:40	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0xec5644…
02-18 15:54:50	will trump say hamas during board of peace events on february 19	Yes	BUY	124	89¢	$110	0x002f76…
02-17 15:53:29	spx up or down on february 17 2026	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x941726…
02-13 12:17:27	spx opens up or down on february 13 2026	Down	BUY	281	71¢	$200	0xf92f86…
02-13 08:47:15	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	271	74¢	$200	0x64b7db…
02-12 10:23:39	spx opens up or down on february 12 2026	Up	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0xb128a4…
02-12 09:15:31	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x1973af…
01-24 19:17:08	will alphabet googl be the top performing magnificent 7 company during the week of january 26	Yes	BUY	168	60¢	$100	0xc2e4af…
01-24 19:15:32	ice quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 05 2026 1pt67	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x1244e2…
01-22 19:56:38	spx up or down on january 22 2026	Up	SELL	130	98¢	$127	0x519193…
01-22 19:56:36	spx opens up or down on january 22 2026	Up	SELL	132	100¢	$131	0x3ecf05…
01-22 15:04:42	spx up or down on january 22 2026	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x2e75ff…
01-22 05:38:30	will trump say putin or zelenskyy during the board of peace charter announcement	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x2c4dd6…
01-22 05:34:18	spx opens up or down on january 22 2026	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x686b52…
01-20 19:38:30	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 20 2026 0pt55	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xb57643…