Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$535

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.8%

Resolved

207

Trades

817

lifetime

Volume

$40.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-10

last 11-09 08:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

94% 48% -$442

Politics

6% 22% -$93

Crypto

0% 92% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	8	$1.1K	749	749	+0	No	-$31	09-29 20:23
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	21	$895	808	808	+0	Yes	-$57	10-29 22:43
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	12	$858	685	685	+0	Yes	-$27	09-30 15:35
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	14	$850	1,152	1,152	+0	No	-$73	09-21 00:07
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	15	$833	950	906	+45	No	-$116	09-22 15:16
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	16	$692	662	662	+0	Yes	+$19	10-19 15:46
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	16	$681	876	876	+0	No	-$39	09-25 07:52
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	15	$558	537	537	+0	Yes	-$46	10-23 15:19
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	14	$557	497	497	+0	Yes	-$37	10-09 14:47
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	6	$555	380	380	+0	No	-$17	09-29 18:09
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	7	$553	453	453	+0	Yes	+$14	09-28 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	6	$553	314	314	+0	No	+$13	09-19 15:44
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	11	$521	388	388	+0	Yes	-$8	09-14 15:52
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	10	$519	406	406	+0	Yes	+$22	09-09 15:24
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	6	$507	433	331	+102	No	-$145	11-09 08:40
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	6	$495	309	309	+0	Yes	+$19	10-10 15:32
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	4	$473	261	261	+0	No	+$13	10-28 03:06
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	6	$455	287	287	+0	Yes	+$30	11-04 03:46
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	4	$433	238	238	+0	Yes	+$13	11-09 02:34
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	6	$429	245	245	+0	No	+$9	09-02 15:25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	4	$428	248	248	+0	No	-$9	10-11 02:42
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	6	$425	301	301	+0	Yes	+$18	09-16 15:39
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	6	$420	742	742	+0	No	-$69	09-14 00:33
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	4	$418	221	221	+0	No	$0	10-26 02:56
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	6	$414	242	242	+0	No	+$4	11-07 08:06
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	8	$405	289	289	+0	No	-$13	10-22 15:48
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	10	$399	792	792	+0	No	+$1	09-15 18:46
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	6	$398	269	269	+0	No	-$3	09-15 12:20
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	6	$396	316	316	+0	Yes	+$11	09-23 15:10
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	8	$393	294	294	+0	Yes	-$4	10-03 05:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 08:40:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	64¢	$65	0xf3d04d…
11-09 08:40:16	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	85	79¢	$67	0xc41c1b…
11-09 03:37:55	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	85	82¢	$70	0x8bd9b0…
11-09 03:24:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	152	48¢	$72	0x590235…
11-09 02:37:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	73¢	$111	0x15dbc4…
11-09 02:34:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	114	98¢	$112	0x3e93ec…
11-08 18:24:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	114	90¢	$103	0x3d3218…
11-08 18:21:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	152	69¢	$105	0xef5be4…
11-08 16:30:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	152	71¢	$108	0x64b61f…
11-08 16:28:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	124	89¢	$110	0xb08df3…
11-08 09:09:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	124	86¢	$107	0xb74871…
11-08 09:04:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	180	61¢	$109	0x0d48e5…
11-08 06:24:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x474567…
11-07 22:57:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x4d0c66…
11-07 21:52:00	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	1¢	$1	0x1d3810…
11-07 21:51:49	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	11¢	$9	0xaeab2a…
11-07 21:51:28	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	151	86¢	$129	0x2d54c9…
11-07 21:45:51	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x78c5f7…
11-07 18:56:49	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0xb1b56e…
11-07 18:55:52	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	141	85¢	$121	0x1a7a3d…
11-07 18:51:37	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0xbbb012…
11-07 18:34:15	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	18¢	$15	0x6b613a…
11-07 18:34:04	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x604baf…
11-07 15:55:04	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	141	92¢	$130	0xa2ecba…
11-07 15:11:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0xb87d97…
11-07 12:53:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x7c9a2a…
11-07 12:49:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	78¢	$94	0x42f5bf…
11-07 08:08:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xb1d963…
11-07 08:06:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x1127d5…
11-07 03:51:07	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7b8308…
11-07 03:50:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	71¢	$30	0xd2b397…
11-07 03:08:39	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	No	SELL	58	15¢	$9	0xd55d4e…
11-07 03:08:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xea7946…
11-07 01:51:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	135	97¢	$130	0xd8f3eb…
11-07 01:51:12	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x46fd6c…
11-06 22:44:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xe459bc…
11-06 22:44:25	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	112	89¢	$100	0x535c6b…
11-06 16:33:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xf2b276…
11-06 04:44:10	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x85fb7c…
11-06 04:37:00	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xe82cfa…
11-06 04:35:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	110	96¢	$106	0xfc6c3b…
11-05 23:45:18	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x44114d…
11-05 23:42:06	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	47	79¢	$37	0x63eb41…
11-05 18:00:03	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	No	BUY	48	25¢	$12	0x30be91…
11-05 17:54:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x0da3e9…
11-05 17:51:39	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x446ba3…
11-05 17:50:58	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	46¢	$18	0xdd745f…
11-05 17:50:39	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	5¢	$4	0x9241f4…
11-05 17:49:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	131	68¢	$89	0x736365…
11-05 15:39:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	131	71¢	$92	0x725401…
11-05 15:37:34	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	83	98¢	$81	0xefe387…
11-05 01:40:25	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xc7d080…
11-05 01:38:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xc1bec2…
11-05 01:36:45	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	5¢	$4	0x40d312…
11-04 13:44:24	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	65¢	$20	0x46ca09…
11-04 10:35:01	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	83	84¢	$70	0x5eb4fa…
11-04 10:33:40	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x312450…
11-04 10:33:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	41	87¢	$36	0xabbff3…
11-04 05:15:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x3a6733…
11-04 05:09:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	65	68¢	$44	0xed3ba4…
11-04 04:02:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	65	61¢	$40	0x2a2297…
11-04 03:58:42	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x67e62b…
11-04 03:58:04	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x37fea3…
11-04 03:48:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0x5cb39d…
11-04 03:46:27	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	119	100¢	$118	0x1a9b60…
11-02 15:29:33	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	76¢	$90	0x5062ff…
11-02 15:29:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	97¢	$91	0x49beb4…
11-02 14:11:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	87¢	$81	0x470675…
11-02 14:10:40	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	75¢	$83	0x2fde50…
11-02 06:34:40	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	74¢	$62	0x25e4d3…
11-02 06:34:01	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	72¢	$64	0x8d4396…
11-02 02:47:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	45¢	$40	0xc00754…
11-02 02:47:03	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	71¢	$41	0xd2b7ea…
11-02 00:19:54	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	71¢	$60	0xc87c4e…
11-02 00:19:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	70	87¢	$61	0xb21c61…
11-01 23:58:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0xb17412…
11-01 23:57:52	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	123	53¢	$65	0xa03042…
11-01 23:41:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	123	66¢	$81	0x22f6ac…
11-01 23:38:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	84	98¢	$83	0x17e48b…
11-01 11:07:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	84	83¢	$70	0x8e7bf1…
11-01 11:05:58	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	80	90¢	$71	0x462c23…
11-01 10:11:49	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	80	90¢	$72	0xd56118…
11-01 10:00:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	93	78¢	$72	0x8a63ec…
10-31 20:52:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	93	92¢	$86	0x920c07…
10-31 20:02:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0xdd0aaa…
10-31 14:30:33	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	3¢	$1	0xfb54a7…
10-31 13:15:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	66	90¢	$59	0x10fafd…
10-31 12:17:58	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x32e413…
10-31 12:17:30	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	92	91¢	$84	0x3ee1fa…
10-31 12:11:52	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	92	92¢	$85	0xb2fce9…
10-30 22:54:07	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	97	87¢	$85	0x831320…
10-30 22:53:04	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	97	90¢	$87	0xc8f2d4…
10-30 22:48:34	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	79	97¢	$77	0x593b59…
10-30 16:19:27	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	79	87¢	$69	0xeb1ccb…
10-30 16:18:58	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	63¢	$69	0xb20d34…
10-30 15:50:25	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	108	78¢	$85	0x5d5e38…
10-30 15:44:00	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x00dc0b…
10-30 15:22:51	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x84a450…
10-30 15:08:57	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x7d5af8…
10-30 14:19:12	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	87	85¢	$74	0xb676b8…