Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.31K

Unrealized P&L

-$288

Hit rate

46.8%

Resolved

Trades

288

lifetime

Volume

$21.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

$437

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 05:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

69% 37% -$3,125

Sports

17% 43% +$1,990

Tech

10% 25% +$305

Politics

4% 0% -$483

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+326	$225	74¢	$240	+$15	10-29 05:47
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+598	$500	33¢	$197	-$303	09-10 20:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	100	$4.7K	13,251	10,931	+2,320	No	-$2,787	02-26 15:16
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$2.8K	1,951	1,333	+618	Yes	+$175	02-02 23:56
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	1	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	No	+$3	01-02 01:33
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	9	$1.4K	1,360	1,360	+0	No	-$139	02-16 00:13
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	2	$1.1K	1,073	1,073	+0	No	-$68	07-22 14:51
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	22	$1.1K	1,461	0	+1,461	Yes	+$358	02-01 14:23
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	16	$1.1K	2,966	0	+2,966	Yes	+$1,913	02-09 01:50
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	3	$794	500	550	-50	Yes	+$254	02-15 19:48
will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	22	$724	1,050	0	+1,050	Yes	+$325	02-07 05:26
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	4	$618	1,084	1,084	+0	No	+$18	07-22 14:50
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	8	$572	400	400	+0	Yes	-$16	02-14 05:47
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	9	$504	3,700	3,700	+0	Yes	-$282	02-28 06:57
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	1	$500	598	0	+598	open	—	09-10 20:22
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$357	1,600	0	+1,600	No	-$357	02-13 07:19
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$234	400	0	+400	Yes	+$166	07-16 21:24
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	2	$230	742	0	+742	No	-$230	09-02 23:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$225	326	0	+326	open	—	10-29 05:47
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	7	$201	4,280	0	+4,280	No	-$201	02-28 07:07
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 spread away 4pt5	1	$200	400	0	+400	Seahawks	-$200	02-08 00:54
lol blg hle1 2026 07 09 game2	4	$145	276	0	+276	Bilibili Gaming	-$145	07-09 08:56
nfl gb chi 2026 01 10	1	$110	250	0	+250	Bears	+$140	01-10 20:55
nfl la sea 2026 01 25 spread home 2pt5	1	$110	220	0	+220	Seahawks	-$110	01-25 16:45
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$100	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$100	09-02 23:19
cfb miss ga 2026 01 01 spread home 6pt5	1	$100	208	0	+208	Ole Miss	-$100	01-01 19:50
nfl hou pit 2026 01 12	3	$98	281	0	+281	Texans	-$98	01-13 03:36
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	6	$98	307	0	+307	No	-$98	02-08 02:05
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$96	500	0	+500	No	-$96	07-15 03:03
nfl gb chi 2026 01 10 total 45pt5	1	$80	157	0	+157	Over	+$77	01-11 01:14
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$73	633	0	+633	No	+$560	09-29 20:16
cfb ore txtech 2026 01 01	1	$67	354	0	+354	Oregon	-$67	01-01 19:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 05:47:22	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	326	69¢	$225	0x155cc6…
09-29 20:16:53	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	300	11¢	$33	0x304561…
09-28 19:40:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	333	12¢	$40	0x006e04…
09-10 20:22:27	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	598	84¢	$500	0x4f3ed6…
09-06 04:52:06	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	946	4¢	$34	0xdc43f7…
09-02 23:43:37	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	581	31¢	$180	0x99e764…
09-02 23:43:15	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0xc7d17a…
09-02 23:19:39	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x4d2f01…
07-22 14:51:39	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,073	50¢	$532	0x39e58d…
07-22 14:50:22	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,084	29¢	$318	0x363d08…
07-22 03:04:40	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	155	26¢	$40	0xe21f21…
07-22 03:03:39	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	536	28¢	$150	0x91664a…
07-22 03:03:25	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	393	28¢	$110	0xd6482f…
07-22 03:01:24	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,073	56¢	$600	0x4dc2a4…
07-19 08:51:55	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$13	0x8d0bc9…
07-16 21:24:11	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	58¢	$234	0x4c0ad1…
07-15 03:03:07	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	19¢	$96	0x90beed…
07-09 08:56:08	lol blg hle1 2026 07 09 game2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xd5ace2…
07-09 08:54:16	lol blg hle1 2026 07 09 game2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	59	53¢	$31	0xbf2685…
07-09 08:54:10	lol blg hle1 2026 07 09 game2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x3a2765…
07-09 08:54:07	lol blg hle1 2026 07 09 game2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x796622…
02-28 07:07:27	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	BUY	73	5¢	$3	0x3b847f…
02-28 07:06:41	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x468f42…
02-28 07:04:57	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	BUY	52	5¢	$2	0x9b37f6…
02-28 07:04:53	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	BUY	3,952	5¢	$186	0x6edf27…
02-28 07:04:41	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	BUY	150	5¢	$7	0x60c094…
02-28 07:03:59	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	BUY	51	5¢	$2	0xb63f68…
02-28 06:59:27	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x94ce63…
02-28 06:57:37	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	3,700	3¢	$111	0x7c28f6…
02-28 06:50:27	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1,400	10¢	$140	0xc77141…
02-28 06:49:45	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0xfb8c29…
02-28 06:49:45	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x980f95…
02-28 06:49:45	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1,504	11¢	$165	0x68b6eb…
02-28 06:49:43	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	119	11¢	$13	0xe1c014…
02-28 06:49:43	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0xa9857a…
02-28 06:49:43	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	65	11¢	$7	0x8a409e…
02-28 06:49:43	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	305	11¢	$34	0x0ce48f…
02-26 15:16:04	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	2,264	3¢	$63	0xce6dc4…
02-25 21:55:56	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	267	3¢	$7	0x74484a…
02-25 21:48:10	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	86	3¢	$2	0xc1e1fb…
02-21 20:09:04	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	4,985	7¢	$349	0xe5974f…
02-19 21:27:30	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x6e6168…
02-19 21:08:16	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	196	16¢	$31	0xf072c6…
02-19 20:49:50	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x1d651f…
02-19 20:40:58	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0xed7102…
02-19 20:33:08	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x75d84b…
02-19 20:23:20	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	1,250	16¢	$200	0xaac9f0…
02-19 20:21:50	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0xbb6b9c…
02-19 18:30:54	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x81a89e…
02-19 18:30:20	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	1,788	16¢	$286	0x4fd1a3…
02-17 18:03:01	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	227	25¢	$57	0x9568f1…
02-17 18:01:37	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	49	25¢	$12	0xa2538b…
02-17 18:01:35	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	197	25¢	$49	0xd0d2f9…
02-17 18:01:35	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x7d4846…
02-17 18:01:35	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	29	25¢	$7	0x3dc3ed…
02-17 18:01:35	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	51	25¢	$13	0x2e32b1…
02-17 18:01:35	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	51	25¢	$13	0x0003cc…
02-17 17:59:31	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	685	25¢	$171	0xb6e951…
02-16 23:15:21	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,319	29¢	$383	0xc63be7…
02-16 00:13:45	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	Yes	SELL	1,360	45¢	$616	0xe540e2…
02-15 20:48:59	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,454	21¢	$305	0x7d4885…
02-15 20:40:57	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0x5d6a62…
02-15 20:39:23	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0xdf703f…
02-15 20:37:15	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	51	21¢	$11	0x30e572…
02-15 20:30:29	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	17	21¢	$4	0xe7b4eb…
02-15 20:25:37	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	600	21¢	$126	0x9bd4fb…
02-15 20:25:35	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	17	21¢	$4	0xf29e35…
02-15 19:48:17	will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	550	100¢	$549	0x390b83…
02-14 20:13:31	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	714	25¢	$179	0xfb1b1a…
02-14 20:12:49	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x4580d7…
02-14 20:07:33	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x9779d1…
02-14 20:07:15	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xfc68d0…
02-14 20:06:27	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x1671f5…
02-14 20:02:39	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x0430c2…
02-14 20:02:27	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x1a983e…
02-14 20:02:23	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x08198a…
02-14 20:02:19	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x6a54b4…
02-14 20:02:19	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x4b032d…
02-14 20:02:13	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xd0efc9…
02-14 20:02:11	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	133	25¢	$33	0x483001…
02-14 20:02:09	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x667007…
02-14 20:02:07	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	102	25¢	$25	0x7431a8…
02-14 19:17:49	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0x94bb68…
02-14 09:52:29	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,419	30¢	$726	0xeaee23…
02-14 09:20:57	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	77	30¢	$23	0xdf61f3…
02-14 09:00:43	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	42	30¢	$13	0x0090fa…
02-14 08:30:27	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x12d7ee…
02-14 08:30:11	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xfcffb1…
02-14 08:26:43	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x793899…
02-14 08:26:03	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	53	30¢	$16	0x66a0fc…
02-14 08:25:23	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0xb628c5…
02-14 08:18:41	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	296	30¢	$89	0xe527a1…
02-14 08:16:05	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf602dd…
02-14 08:15:27	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xd7b9c7…
02-14 07:58:21	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	441	32¢	$141	0xc18b03…
02-14 07:58:07	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xf4a366…
02-14 07:58:07	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	199	32¢	$64	0xcd9626…
02-14 07:58:07	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	212	32¢	$68	0xaec40c…
02-14 07:58:07	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	69	32¢	$22	0x59cc28…
02-14 07:58:07	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	505	32¢	$162	0x52dba0…