Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$196

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$29

14 positions

First seen

2026-11-07

last 11-14 17:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 14% +$28

Other

27% 100% +$14

Politics

6% — —

Sports

3% 0% -$4

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027?	No	+13	$5	40¢	$5	+$0	11-07 11:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	No	+10	$5	50¢	$5	$0	11-07 11:43
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?	Yes	+17	$2	16¢	$3	+$1	11-14 10:18
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+11	$2	23¢	$3	+$1	11-10 05:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+17	$4	14¢	$2	-$2	11-07 19:55
Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+11	$1	19¢	$2	+$1	11-14 10:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+9	$2	20¢	$2	$0	11-09 21:15
Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+3	$1	41¢	$1	+$0	11-14 10:23
Will Tottenham finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	+7	$1	15¢	$1	+$0	11-14 17:33
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+9	$1	11¢	$1	+$0	11-14 10:37
Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	+3	$1	36¢	$1	$0	11-14 17:31
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+3	$1	34¢	$1	$0	11-14 10:47
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	Yes	+7	$1	14¢	$1	$0	11-14 10:35
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	+6	$1	14¢	$1	$0	11-14 10:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$52	55	50	+5	Down	+$48	11-09 21:25
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	2	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	11-11 10:44
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	19	19	+0	Yes	+$14	11-12 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	3	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$4	11-07 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$8	175	0	+175	Up	-$8	11-07 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	6	$6	147	0	+147	Up	-$6	11-07 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$5	13	3	+10	Up	+$1	11-15 20:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027?	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	11-07 11:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	11-07 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	5	$5	25	0	+25	Up	-$5	11-07 11:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	16	0	+16	Yes	+$11	11-07 11:31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$4	17	0	+17	open	—	11-07 19:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	1	$3	21	0	+21	Yes	+$18	11-07 11:21
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?	1	$3	19	0	+19	Yes	-$3	11-07 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$2	114	0	+114	Down	-$2	11-07 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$2	14	0	+14	Up	+$1	11-12 16:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$2	9	0	+9	open	—	11-09 21:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	1	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	11-10 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$2	27	0	+27	Up	-$2	11-07 19:57
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$2	6	0	+6	Ciryl Gane	-$2	11-14 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$2	112	0	+112	Up	-$2	11-07 11:24
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?	1	$2	17	0	+17	open	—	11-14 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Down	-$1	11-12 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	11-09 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Up	-$1	11-09 21:32
Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026?	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	11-14 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Down	-$1	11-12 17:02
UFC 334: Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	1	$1	4	0	+4	Melquizael Costa	-$1	11-14 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$1	14	0	+14	Down	-$1	11-12 16:58
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	11-14 10:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 20:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0e7b2b…
11-15 20:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x35ea2a…
11-15 20:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x80d322…
11-15 20:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x049c23…
11-15 20:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7f0e8d…
11-14 17:33:17	Will Tottenham finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x8bfd14…
11-14 17:31:43	Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xed7bd5…
11-14 17:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x353f34…
11-14 10:47:14	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x686b5b…
11-14 10:37:07	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xec923f…
11-14 10:35:43	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd3de92…
11-14 10:32:37	UFC 334: Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Jared Gordon	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf480b7…
11-14 10:32:02	UFC 334: Alatengheili vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)	Alatengheili	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfc4fba…
11-14 10:31:01	UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Josh Hokit	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xc7e9f0…
11-14 10:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe971e9…
11-14 10:23:35	Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x994cb4…
11-14 10:23:02	Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xeb30d5…
11-14 10:22:32	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa99fe9…
11-14 10:20:34	Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2883ed…
11-14 10:18:49	Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0x1b71b5…
11-12 17:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf6fc7e…
11-12 17:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x80f740…
11-12 16:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd76b56…
11-12 16:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x280d28…
11-12 16:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xfefa67…
11-12 16:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x958411…
11-12 16:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf4e13e…
11-12 16:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbf35e4…
11-12 16:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7a1a78…
11-12 16:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x96c5b6…
11-12 16:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x61f2b5…
11-12 16:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd74e34…
11-12 16:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x306844…
11-12 13:48:25	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0x1f426c…
11-11 20:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x669bc3…
11-11 10:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1b18b2…
11-11 10:44:09	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x5e317a…
11-11 08:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb29ed2…
11-10 05:44:00	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x58423b…
11-09 21:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc245e2…
11-09 21:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x756e67…
11-09 21:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xb24abf…
11-09 21:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc14249…
11-09 21:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe3cd93…
11-09 21:15:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xb051bd…
11-09 21:11:49	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xd3f185…
11-09 09:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2b2d44…
11-08 12:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe56640…
11-08 12:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x146cfb…
11-07 22:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x945beb…
11-07 22:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7251fe…
11-07 22:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xffce0e…
11-07 20:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x24df70…
11-07 20:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9fa9c7…
11-07 20:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x322be4…
11-07 20:00:45	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x5e9b8e…
11-07 19:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa6b6fd…
11-07 19:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7e62d9…
11-07 19:55:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xdf53db…
11-07 11:44:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027?	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x8e9cf2…
11-07 11:43:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd05fa3…
11-07 11:39:06	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?	No	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x1c4036…
11-07 11:31:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x07a3bd…
11-07 11:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbf0745…
11-07 11:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xaf7ff7…
11-07 11:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2bc6bf…
11-07 11:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x91f935…
11-07 11:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3f58bf…
11-07 11:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x737b95…
11-07 11:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3ee2d3…
11-07 11:21:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 2-8?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x524d16…
11-07 11:21:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x799e85…
11-07 11:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0baedb…
11-07 11:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x595b64…
11-07 11:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x83708d…
11-07 11:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x732472…
11-07 11:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6103ed…
11-07 11:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0e4c83…
11-07 11:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa64c83…
11-07 11:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x72d8c2…
11-07 10:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe26f93…
11-07 10:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x22cc7e…
11-07 10:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x963a9e…
11-07 10:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xb72906…