Advanced-Minority — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

Trades

694

lifetime

Volume

$8.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 06-08 04:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 100% +$0

Other

29% 57% +$28

Politics

11% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$13

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	12	$469	398	398	+0	open	—	03-22 19:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$385	297	297	+0	open	—	05-06 17:28
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean	4	$288	152	152	+0	Jasmine Paolini	+$6	05-07 14:02
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$286	163	163	+0	open	—	05-17 06:25
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$277	152	152	+0	open	—	05-15 07:48
btc updown 5m 1772438100	2	$245	126	126	+0	open	—	03-02 08:00
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	3	$207	118	118	+0	open	—	03-27 15:42
btc updown 5m 1772792700	3	$161	123	109	+14	open	—	03-06 10:29
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	5	$142	199	199	+0	open	—	03-09 11:32
btc updown 5m 1772437500	3	$125	70	70	+0	open	—	03-02 07:50
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	5	$124	72	72	+0	open	—	03-17 15:42
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	1	$124	133	0	+133	open	—	05-17 08:42
btc updown 5m 1772437200	2	$104	53	53	+0	open	—	03-02 07:45
btc updown 5m 1780893000	8	$102	100	100	+0	open	—	06-08 04:33
btc updown 5m 1772450100	2	$100	51	50	+0	open	—	03-02 11:20
btc updown 5m 1772789100	5	$84	83	6	+77	open	—	03-06 09:29
btc updown 5m 1772789400	3	$83	86	4	+82	open	—	03-06 09:34
btc updown 5m 1772431500	2	$83	43	43	+0	open	—	03-02 06:10
btc updown 5m 1780893900	2	$81	124	124	+0	open	—	06-08 04:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$80	118	0	+118	open	—	04-20 21:06
btc updown 5m 1772794200	1	$75	79	0	+79	open	—	03-06 10:54
btc updown 5m 1772785500	3	$74	81	16	+65	open	—	03-06 08:29
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	6	$73	52	52	+0	open	—	05-25 10:55
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	3	$73	120	104	+16	open	—	03-06 07:05
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$72	48	48	+0	open	—	03-05 13:24
btc updown 5m 1780894200	2	$70	112	112	+0	open	—	06-08 04:51
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	3	$69	43	43	+0	open	—	03-11 19:42
btc updown 5m 1772786100	4	$66	72	0	+72	open	—	03-06 08:39
btc updown 5m 1772787600	3	$64	78	0	+78	open	—	03-06 09:04
btc updown 5m 1772433000	2	$63	33	33	+0	open	—	03-02 06:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 04:51:28	btc updown 5m 1780894200	Up	SELL	112	11¢	$12	0x503212…
06-08 04:47:31	btc updown 5m 1780894200	Up	BUY	112	51¢	$57	0xce07ed…
06-08 04:46:06	btc updown 5m 1780893900	Down	SELL	124	21¢	$26	0x75afdc…
06-08 04:45:10	btc updown 5m 1780893900	Down	BUY	124	44¢	$55	0x53f703…
06-08 04:37:10	btc updown 5m 1780893300	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x7133d0…
06-08 04:34:34	btc updown 5m 1780893300	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x36b21f…
06-08 04:33:28	btc updown 5m 1780893000	Down	SELL	90	52¢	$47	0xd76ce9…
06-08 04:29:33	btc updown 5m 1780892700	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x935812…
06-08 04:29:04	btc updown 5m 1780893000	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa00575…
06-08 04:28:52	btc updown 5m 1780893000	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xc103df…
06-08 04:28:48	btc updown 5m 1780893000	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3d0160…
06-08 04:27:57	btc updown 5m 1780893000	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x896ae7…
06-08 04:27:52	btc updown 5m 1780893000	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x16a62e…
06-08 04:27:49	btc updown 5m 1780893000	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf6b592…
06-08 04:27:49	btc updown 5m 1780893000	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6f5b20…
06-08 04:25:00	btc updown 5m 1780892400	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf8e5bd…
06-08 04:25:00	btc updown 5m 1780892400	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xcb7924…
06-08 04:23:48	btc updown 5m 1780892400	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa00342…
06-08 04:21:58	btc updown 5m 1780892400	Up	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x029439…
06-08 04:21:03	btc updown 5m 1780892400	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xec5ea3…
06-08 04:19:31	btc updown 5m 1780892100	Up	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x26e4a9…
06-08 04:19:19	btc updown 5m 1780892100	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x546f58…
06-08 04:18:06	btc updown 5m 1780892100	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x5db20b…
06-08 04:15:57	btc updown 5m 1780892100	Down	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x1d8f0f…
06-08 04:14:48	btc updown 5m 1780891800	Down	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0x410f16…
06-08 04:14:36	btc updown 5m 1780891800	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x616b3f…
06-08 04:14:34	btc updown 5m 1780891800	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x3d3af7…
06-08 04:14:19	btc updown 5m 1780891800	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x282ee9…
06-08 04:13:37	btc updown 5m 1780892100	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x001743…
05-25 10:55:52	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	52	84¢	$43	0x9cb486…
05-25 07:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xe6f25c…
05-18 18:37:57	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x339fb4…
05-18 18:37:40	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x7c8ea1…
05-18 18:36:09	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x67f743…
05-18 18:35:51	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xc2aa18…
05-18 18:35:41	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x14fb27…
05-18 18:35:06	Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	ex-RUBY	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xc98dc4…
05-17 08:42:16	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	133	93¢	$124	0xb69e6a…
05-17 08:40:28	Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	illwill	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x8a4f8a…
05-17 08:31:01	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x667f2b…
05-17 06:25:22	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	163	84¢	$136	0x058570…
05-16 22:54:04	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0xf9419c…
05-16 22:51:47	Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xbebaff…
05-16 22:41:19	Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	40¢	$7	0xa8386f…
05-16 22:36:46	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xff9207…
05-16 22:21:55	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xe62d23…
05-16 22:20:28	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x1bd776…
05-16 22:17:07	Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xd42e05…
05-16 22:16:04	Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x80192d…
05-16 22:14:45	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x3a41ed…
05-16 22:14:12	Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xedab0e…
05-16 22:12:58	Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x2ea821…
05-16 22:12:23	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x3d3346…
05-16 22:11:57	Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x4c15e4…
05-16 22:11:27	Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0xbb5112…
05-16 20:48:53	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	163	92¢	$150	0x21edfe…
05-16 20:30:23	Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xf9fcdf…
05-16 20:26:48	Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x7c5d50…
05-16 19:49:21	Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2822df…
05-16 19:32:12	Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x463b17…
05-16 19:32:02	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x8004de…
05-16 19:29:38	Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x3d0d2a…
05-16 19:29:14	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x7028ae…
05-16 19:28:02	Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xb57552…
05-15 08:03:09	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x6b96bb…
05-15 07:48:36	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	144	92¢	$132	0xa1cd3e…
05-15 05:38:34	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0xdc233b…
05-15 05:38:27	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$6	0xc4bf43…
05-15 04:55:19	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x9a0805…
05-15 04:53:01	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x204163…
05-15 04:52:07	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	144	97¢	$140	0x2fef07…
05-14 20:40:09	Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x24aa51…
05-14 19:52:46	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	208	0¢	$1	0x3f1542…
05-14 19:48:42	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3566ee…
05-14 19:48:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb981e9…
05-14 19:48:23	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x3384bf…
05-14 19:47:45	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xaaf0d1…
05-14 19:47:29	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xcd72ea…
05-14 19:47:20	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	16	33¢	$5	0x5d7846…
05-14 19:47:10	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xeded9d…
05-14 19:44:02	Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x699020…
05-14 19:23:04	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x65914b…
05-14 19:19:13	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x40632f…
05-14 19:14:47	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x506f5e…
05-14 19:12:27	Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xacefdd…
05-14 12:48:25	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x521590…
05-14 12:48:07	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5943b4…
05-14 12:47:13	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x887917…
05-14 12:47:01	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x0fbad9…
05-13 09:04:19	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x1b7a0a…
05-13 09:04:06	Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xd0d009…
05-13 09:03:49	Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x53a9e0…
05-13 09:03:38	Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5cc103…
05-13 09:03:00	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x3dc47d…
05-13 09:02:53	Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6cfc9e…
05-13 09:02:14	Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x421b5a…
05-13 09:02:02	Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x6c0987…
05-12 21:50:55	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	ex-RUBY	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x17fba5…
05-12 20:58:16	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	333	0¢	$0	0xea829d…
05-11 21:39:52	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	208	0¢	$1	0x1a67bd…