Realized P&L
+$76
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
62.0%
Resolved
561
Trades
689
lifetime
Volume
$3.55K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$64
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-26 22:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 166 days
Categories
Other
82% 52% +$56
Crypto
11% 43% -$38
Politics
5% 20% +$11
Sports
2% 65% +$40
Tech
1% 100% +$7
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -101 -$18 18¢ $-19 -$1 10-25 18:43
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +14 $9 66¢ $9 +$0 10-15 20:43
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -56 -$8 15¢ $-8 +$0 10-25 18:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +13 $5 34¢ $4 -$1 10-17 08:46
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +11 $4 38¢ $4 +$0 10-17 08:47
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +12 $2 21¢ $3 +$1 10-17 08:46
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +13 $5 19¢ $2 -$3 05-20 17:23
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +14 $3 18¢ $2 -$1 09-25 18:59
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +10 $3 20¢ $2 -$1 09-25 18:58
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +12 $3 16¢ $2 -$1 10-08 10:30
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +10 $2 20¢ $2 $0 10-08 10:29
Blue wave in 2026? No +12 $2 15¢ $2 $0 10-17 08:42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +67 $8 2¢ $1 -$7 07-02 12:13
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 Yes +41 $5 3¢ $1 -$4 07-22 15:08
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 -$1 4¢ $-1 $0 10-14 14:59
russia coup attempt in 2026 Yes +22 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 06-06 12:47