Lumbering-Beard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.04K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved

923

Trades

3,412

lifetime

Volume

$67.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 11-06 11:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Other

97% 63% +$1,089

Crypto

3% 54% -$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 6?	24	$1.9K	1,321	1,321	+0	Yes	-$8	08-06 14:02
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?	34	$1.3K	1,177	826	+351	No	-$190	08-03 14:27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 13?	53	$1.3K	954	954	+0	No	+$290	08-13 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 23?	44	$1.2K	860	668	+192	No	-$26	07-23 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 20?	20	$899	690	626	+65	No	-$91	07-20 14:15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 21?	36	$896	748	575	+173	No	+$49	07-21 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 21?	4	$817	428	428	+0	No	+$31	08-21 11:31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	25	$804	533	533	+0	No	-$14	10-09 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 30?	31	$768	518	516	+2	No	+$120	07-30 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 26?	2	$756	796	0	+796	No	+$40	08-26 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?	11	$680	355	355	+0	No	+$21	07-16 12:34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 18?	13	$645	334	334	+0	No	+$21	06-18 12:29
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 13?	46	$623	441	441	+0	No	-$16	08-13 13:46
highest temperature in paris on march 17 2026 16c	51	$556	2,662	372	+2,290	No	-$228	03-17 15:29
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?	22	$541	486	385	+101	Yes	-$60	07-15 14:36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 22?	13	$538	434	384	+50	No	-$69	07-22 11:43
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 28?	38	$518	446	446	+0	No	-$104	08-28 13:15
highest temperature in paris on march 17 2026 15c	3	$513	263	263	+0	No	+$12	03-17 12:58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?	22	$512	366	325	+41	Yes	-$8	06-08 14:58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?	15	$512	368	368	+0	Yes	-$145	06-23 15:32
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 27?	26	$512	492	393	+99	No	-$52	07-27 14:49
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 27?	28	$494	511	511	+0	Yes	-$341	08-27 15:03
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 18?	24	$493	659	659	+0	Yes	-$158	08-18 11:45
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 19?	13	$491	300	236	+64	No	-$14	08-19 13:15
highest temperature in paris on march 12 2026 12c	7	$486	290	290	+0	No	+$10	03-12 11:51
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 8?	3	$484	496	0	+496	No	+$13	09-08 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 4?	12	$477	331	276	+54	No	+$76	08-04 12:36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?	23	$464	397	397	+0	Yes	-$24	06-24 14:54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 24?	11	$464	403	403	+0	No	-$133	09-24 11:57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on August 18?	9	$462	564	0	+564	No	+$102	08-18 09:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 11:32:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 6?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x071934…
11-06 11:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 6?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x06ea79…
11-06 11:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 6?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4b9188…
11-06 11:29:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 6?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6d566e…
11-06 11:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 6?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0ea2cb…
11-05 08:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 5?	No	BUY	27	62¢	$17	0xfd6cfb…
11-05 08:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 5?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xda0139…
11-04 11:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 4?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xb5aa66…
11-03 09:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 3?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x94b74e…
11-03 09:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 3?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x165e75…
11-03 09:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 3?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xe5f01a…
11-03 09:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 3?	No	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x970a36…
11-02 12:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x1f2a24…
11-02 10:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 2?	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x21f214…
11-02 10:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 2?	No	BUY	48	36¢	$17	0xc344e6…
11-01 08:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 1?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x74f426…
10-31 09:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 31?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe8f3d2…
10-30 09:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 30?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x84184c…
10-29 10:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x317c42…
10-14 10:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 14?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xd00fcb…
10-14 09:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 14?	No	BUY	45	79¢	$36	0xff7f58…
10-14 09:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 14?	No	BUY	60	78¢	$47	0x579674…
10-14 08:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 14?	No	BUY	300	95¢	$286	0x241dd5…
10-14 08:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?	Yes	BUY	27	87¢	$24	0xca50d8…
10-14 08:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?	Yes	BUY	92	87¢	$80	0xfe0978…
10-14 08:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 14?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xb4cfdd…
10-13 13:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 13?	No	SELL	48	13¢	$6	0xc23cfa…
10-13 12:57:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 13?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x8c7f0f…
10-13 12:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 13?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xaf15f2…
10-13 12:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xc3c526…
10-13 10:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 13?	No	BUY	23	80¢	$19	0x3ed16e…
10-13 10:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 13?	No	BUY	41	55¢	$23	0x511157…
10-13 10:33:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 13?	No	BUY	16	78¢	$12	0x01a498…
10-13 10:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 13?	No	BUY	28	75¢	$21	0x66e594…
10-13 10:20:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 13?	No	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x6558e4…
10-13 10:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 13?	No	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0xdbe827…
10-13 09:38:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 13?	No	BUY	57	85¢	$49	0xc08855…
10-13 08:49:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xfffd66…
10-13 08:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xdf9445…
10-13 08:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 13?	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x8c4909…
10-13 08:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 13?	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x6efe4a…
10-13 08:17:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 13?	No	BUY	96	96¢	$93	0x9e46d8…
10-13 08:16:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 13?	No	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0x176757…
10-13 08:16:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 13?	No	BUY	29	71¢	$20	0x1241e5…
10-13 08:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 13?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x50b834…
10-13 08:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 13?	No	BUY	119	93¢	$110	0xf8d18b…
10-13 08:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 13?	No	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0xeb5d5e…
10-12 12:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 12?	No	SELL	145	30¢	$43	0xebf193…
10-12 11:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 12?	No	SELL	37	30¢	$11	0x19a7ed…
10-12 11:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 12?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xaeb150…
10-12 11:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 12?	No	SELL	31	5¢	$2	0x2071b9…
10-12 11:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 12?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xcf6547…
10-12 11:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 12?	No	SELL	28	50¢	$14	0xa553ae…
10-12 10:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 12?	No	BUY	96	96¢	$92	0xfc435c…
10-12 10:11:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 12?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x9335e5…
10-12 09:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 12?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x5ac2f7…
10-12 09:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 12?	No	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0xeed6b7…
10-12 08:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 12?	No	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0x26d61b…
10-12 08:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x9d6e2e…
10-12 08:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	31	79¢	$24	0x1a44a8…
10-12 08:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 12?	No	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0xf60a05…
10-12 08:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 12?	No	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0xe43ab9…
10-12 08:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 12?	No	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x58de37…
10-12 08:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x148201…
10-12 08:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 12?	No	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xbdbab1…
10-12 08:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc81ca9…
10-12 08:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	51	94¢	$47	0x39dc3a…
10-12 08:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 12?	No	BUY	110	68¢	$75	0xaf6fb3…
10-12 08:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 12?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xf8c847…
10-12 08:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 12?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$9	0xf56ab3…
10-09 15:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0xf091f1…
10-09 15:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xb66b61…
10-09 15:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0xe88888…
10-09 15:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	29	89¢	$25	0xb010fd…
10-09 15:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	123	91¢	$112	0xf0ecd6…
10-09 15:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	83	86¢	$71	0x671a78…
10-09 15:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	18	86¢	$16	0x967dd0…
10-09 14:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x8d45dc…
10-09 14:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xc938ab…
10-09 14:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x9e07a5…
10-09 14:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	45	70¢	$31	0xfca72b…
10-09 14:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	65	69¢	$45	0x949d6a…
10-09 14:19:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0xb4386b…
10-09 14:19:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	35	68¢	$24	0x32f546…
10-09 14:19:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x2d98df…
10-09 14:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x770d9b…
10-09 14:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xf8bb20…
10-09 14:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	58	63¢	$36	0xc774ce…
10-09 14:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	No	SELL	56	52¢	$29	0x05fd4b…
10-09 14:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	No	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x7541e9…
10-09 14:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	No	SELL	143	60¢	$86	0xc19506…
10-09 07:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 9?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x2a3d62…
10-09 07:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 9?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x8f0cd7…
10-09 06:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	No	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x6831c1…
10-09 06:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xa5d755…
10-09 06:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 9?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x6e6bd8…
10-09 06:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 9?	No	BUY	43	73¢	$32	0xd7fce2…
10-09 06:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 9?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xdf88e0…
10-09 06:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	No	BUY	137	88¢	$121	0x57f3ff…
10-09 06:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	No	BUY	47	87¢	$41	0x9b6866…