Petty-Con — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.0%

Resolved

Trades

253

lifetime

Volume

$14.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-18 21:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

90% 67% +$6

Other

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	14	$3.2K	2,050	2,050	+0	open	—	02-24 13:25
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	17	$2.5K	1,507	1,507	+0	open	—	02-24 17:24
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	14	$1.5K	725	838	-113	open	—	02-18 11:44
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	11	$883	556	597	-41	open	—	02-24 17:48
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	5	$846	667	667	+0	open	—	02-24 16:53
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	9	$814	414	414	+0	open	—	02-24 09:27
will khamenei leave iran by friday	6	$758	388	388	+0	open	—	01-05 18:38
iran strike on israel by february 28	1	$427	469	0	+469	open	—	02-24 17:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$425	246	216	+30	open	—	01-24 18:28
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	10	$376	235	235	+0	open	—	01-05 17:15
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	1	$156	340	0	+340	open	—	02-16 20:53
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	3	$155	136	70	+66	open	—	07-12 01:01
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	5	$153	82	82	+0	open	—	07-03 01:05
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	1	$133	134	0	+134	open	—	02-01 22:39
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$102	55	50	+5	open	—	04-27 13:41
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$99	112	100	+12	open	—	04-28 00:22
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	3	$94	108	5	+103	open	—	07-06 02:59
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	2	$92	62	62	+0	open	—	07-10 20:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$87	2,029	2,029	+0	open	—	04-26 19:53
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?	2	$77	40	38	+2	open	—	04-28 22:07
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	2	$73	44	44	+0	open	—	07-01 17:22
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	02-03 14:40
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	4	$60	68	14	+54	open	—	07-01 17:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$60	85	84	+0	open	—	05-12 22:55
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	2	$56	40	40	+0	open	—	02-24 09:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	3	$51	29	29	+0	open	—	05-12 12:57
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	9	$50	65	65	+0	open	—	07-06 21:20
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$50	26	26	+1	open	—	05-14 22:01
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	5	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	02-03 15:09
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	1	$42	54	0	+54	open	—	07-11 21:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 21:23:54	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xf75204…
07-18 19:43:00	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xae1386…
07-14 20:51:43	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0xfe7e8b…
07-14 20:25:01	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x646440…
07-14 19:29:10	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc20d19…
07-14 19:28:26	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x63a926…
07-12 01:01:53	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0xa0ed29…
07-12 01:01:04	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	70	76¢	$53	0x582f1c…
07-12 00:58:32	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	70	76¢	$53	0x582844…
07-11 21:42:58	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	54	78¢	$42	0xdd4a52…
07-10 20:16:20	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	SELL	62	73¢	$45	0x096379…
07-10 19:06:56	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	62	76¢	$47	0xc3663d…
07-07 00:41:04	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xcbba1c…
07-06 21:20:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xbe88a0…
07-06 18:59:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xff624b…
07-06 18:59:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x706622…
07-06 18:58:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0x395e8d…
07-06 18:58:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	23	34¢	$8	0x394691…
07-06 18:58:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xaa1704…
07-06 18:58:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xf8448a…
07-06 18:56:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xdebb0b…
07-06 18:56:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x0b734e…
07-06 02:59:08	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0x8659a3…
07-06 02:56:14	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x9ae528…
07-06 02:28:13	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	104	83¢	$86	0x9025a2…
07-05 21:48:11	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Brazil	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x56fc02…
07-05 20:14:40	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x648a00…
07-03 23:24:13	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x230c25…
07-03 22:34:26	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0x022c91…
07-03 01:05:19	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	SELL	82	97¢	$80	0x69614b…
07-03 00:54:41	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	64	95¢	$61	0x828bf4…
07-03 00:49:32	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xed5b25…
07-03 00:48:07	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6331ff…
07-02 22:44:22	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xa22c4d…
07-02 16:06:02	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Spain	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x460c1f…
07-01 17:43:20	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	54	77¢	$41	0xe62b37…
07-01 17:22:56	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0x2967bc…
07-01 17:22:29	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	SELL	44	74¢	$33	0xc6020e…
07-01 16:18:02	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xbbd69f…
07-01 16:17:10	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x8f0806…
07-01 13:13:41	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xdc56b8…
06-30 21:26:19	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x280356…
06-24 23:52:23	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x06e394…
06-24 22:21:20	cs2 bca og1 2026 06 24	Betclic Apogee Esports	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xebdbd7…
06-24 22:20:11	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xfe1933…
06-24 21:57:43	cs2 bca og1 2026 06 24	Betclic Apogee Esports	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x5c1fc8…
06-24 20:13:52	cs2 bca og1 2026 06 24	Betclic Apogee Esports	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x703204…
06-24 20:12:29	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x8a3be7…
06-22 15:32:25	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xf6f068…
06-22 15:19:11	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x88aba4…
06-14 14:28:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x0c6845…
06-14 14:27:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x2e9b15…
06-13 23:45:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xa6bec0…
06-13 11:16:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0x5f3776…
06-12 20:29:15	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 btts	Yes	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0xbfd6ab…
06-12 19:48:24	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 btts	Yes	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x90b7bf…
06-12 10:16:30	cs2 vp inox 2026 06 12 map handicap away 1pt5	Virtus.pro	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcbb264…
06-11 10:35:46	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xf934e1…
06-10 22:40:49	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x349a96…
06-10 22:06:31	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	SELL	11	76¢	$9	0x73ed4e…
06-10 18:02:27	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x1e7687…
06-10 17:58:51	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xad923b…
06-10 17:57:54	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xba150d…
06-10 17:56:58	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x6cefee…
06-10 13:19:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0x4c7ac0…
06-08 12:08:21	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xcb7ab0…
06-08 00:50:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	32	25¢	$8	0x16788b…
06-07 21:17:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	24¢	$8	0x058f43…
06-01 17:27:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4f6505…
06-01 16:08:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xbdca3d…
06-01 16:06:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x016488…
06-01 12:11:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x159569…
05-30 16:05:38	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x9e50f6…
05-30 16:02:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xb42881…
05-29 13:31:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x18c6b3…
05-28 14:19:26	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x36efbf…
05-28 14:18:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x862b12…
05-27 19:03:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x6e6d98…
05-15 16:11:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x9091ec…
05-15 08:30:55	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0x67f4a9…
05-15 08:25:10	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5e93bc…
05-15 08:24:53	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa7c357…
05-15 08:21:49	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xde4036…
05-15 08:20:08	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	13	17¢	$2	0xed479e…
05-14 22:06:00	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x35bb1e…
05-14 22:03:48	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xa1495d…
05-14 22:03:05	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x6ef7ad…
05-14 22:02:30	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0x104789…
05-14 22:01:13	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x3b58b7…
05-14 08:40:32	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x754702…
05-14 08:40:04	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2e76a7…
05-12 22:56:36	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xd9d92b…
05-12 22:55:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x79dd77…
05-12 13:00:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x193fdb…
05-12 12:57:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	23	93¢	$21	0x4b559c…
05-11 21:06:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$6	0xda61c7…
05-10 20:44:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	29	84¢	$24	0xb0a2fa…
05-10 20:39:48	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	26¢	$13	0xbe8e72…
05-10 20:39:09	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	151	8¢	$12	0x59b6a4…
05-09 22:35:26	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	10¢	$15	0x2abfae…