Rosy-Scrap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$563

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

2,359

Trades

3,726

lifetime

Volume

$29.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$1.23K

1 position

First seen

2026-05-30

last 10-27 21:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Other

58% 59% -$268

Crypto

35% 41% -$344

Politics

7% 100% +$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+1,826	$1,242	68¢	$1.2K	-$9	10-27 21:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	3	$2.7K	2,145	985	+1,160	No	-$1,007	07-03 05:20
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$1.2K	1,826	0	+1,826	open	—	10-27 21:10
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	2	$903	541	541	+0	Yes	+$48	08-12 04:17
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	2	$872	463	463	+0	Argentina	+$52	07-12 03:50
fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	1	$829	1,002	0	+1,002	Switzerland	+$173	07-03 03:58
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	2	$777	438	438	+0	France	+$98	07-09 22:02
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	2	$743	399	399	+0	Yes	+$49	06-28 02:45
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	1	$635	850	0	+850	Yes	+$215	07-02 02:30
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	1	$538	641	0	+641	United States	+$103	07-01 19:33
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	1	$416	541	0	+541	Yes	+$124	07-01 05:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 31?	42	$359	236	236	+0	No	+$105	07-31 16:42
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	1	$336	461	0	+461	No	-$336	06-29 13:48
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	1	$327	419	0	+419	Yes	+$92	06-29 23:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 31?	45	$253	151	151	+0	No	+$32	07-31 16:42
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	1	$200	333	0	+333	Yes	+$133	06-26 13:56
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	1	$200	339	0	+339	Yes	+$139	06-28 14:03
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	1	$191	329	0	+329	Yes	+$138	06-28 14:05
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 27?	58	$189	217	217	+0	No	-$45	07-26 19:40
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 27?	50	$176	109	109	+0	Yes	+$6	07-26 19:38
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 31?	36	$123	70	70	+0	No	+$15	07-31 16:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 03:25 UTC	3	$120	108	108	+0	Up	+$40	06-12 03:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 21:25 UTC	2	$110	71	71	+0	Down	+$31	06-12 21:29
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 26?	12	$108	81	81	+0	No	+$12	07-26 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$105	66	66	+0	Up	+$25	06-13 01:00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 26?	13	$100	71	71	+0	Yes	-$3	07-26 10:00
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	3	$89	55	55	+0	Yes	+$19	06-16 20:48
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 26?	13	$89	54	54	+0	No	-$1	07-26 10:00
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 31?	28	$82	346	41	+305	Yes	-$71	08-31 03:25
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 26?	12	$75	48	48	+0	No	-$4	07-26 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 30?	11	$72	83	83	+0	No	+$4	08-30 00:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:10:50	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,434	68¢	$975	0xab2a2e…
10-27 21:00:33	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	393	68¢	$267	0xe791f1…
10-10 19:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6d8ff5…
10-10 19:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x172b56…
10-10 19:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xebad79…
10-10 19:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xbfde27…
10-10 19:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf0a59c…
10-10 18:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xee4c15…
10-10 18:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x1ddab3…
10-10 18:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x7b4ac6…
10-10 18:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa05102…
10-10 18:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xe2a92c…
10-10 18:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd07c13…
10-10 18:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc91300…
10-10 18:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xb48352…
10-10 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x922090…
10-10 18:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xa984dd…
10-10 17:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xe4f14a…
10-10 17:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x97168f…
10-10 17:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x957bd1…
10-10 17:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x521959…
10-10 17:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x9cf594…
10-10 17:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x4361bd…
10-10 17:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x126c24…
10-10 16:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xf858db…
10-10 16:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x6fe965…
10-10 16:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xf41057…
10-10 16:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x0f1af5…
10-10 16:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xcc4ca6…
10-10 16:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x37e44c…
10-10 16:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xa560e1…
10-10 16:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x463f3e…
10-10 16:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x25d40b…
10-10 15:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x00e372…
10-10 15:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x924511…
10-10 15:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x726dbd…
10-10 15:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xb4c4d5…
10-10 15:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x7b8f61…
10-10 15:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0536b7…
10-10 15:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc3bdc0…
10-10 14:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xea12a9…
10-10 14:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x946e6e…
10-10 14:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0f5896…
10-10 14:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x0ce6da…
10-10 14:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x02a39c…
10-10 14:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xed0bcd…
10-10 13:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf18cb4…
10-10 13:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x05a38c…
10-10 13:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xcc7efa…
10-10 13:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x7b6ac0…
10-10 13:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xb13f16…
10-10 13:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xba00c2…
10-10 13:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x89034e…
10-10 13:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x1e95e7…
10-10 13:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x9ff820…
10-10 12:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x617b50…
10-10 12:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xe6b20d…
10-10 12:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x440749…
10-10 12:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xc45581…
10-10 12:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x78d317…
10-10 12:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x45a0d4…
10-10 12:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x17986c…
10-10 12:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xcf0b3e…
10-10 11:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x617033…
10-10 11:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xa7f981…
10-10 11:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xcaaaf5…
10-10 11:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x954466…
10-10 11:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcb8f70…
10-10 11:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x430bca…
10-10 11:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x938c7c…
10-10 11:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xda9c7b…
10-10 11:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd0f2c4…
10-10 11:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xc6d37e…
10-10 10:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0052ea…
10-10 10:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x58dc1e…
10-10 10:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xb21d39…
10-10 10:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc2c511…
10-10 10:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x0f9a7f…
10-10 10:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x8c3e58…
10-10 10:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x1650b6…
10-10 10:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xa5922f…
10-10 10:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x757339…
10-10 10:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd99b99…
10-10 10:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x40095e…
10-10 09:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7beb5c…
10-10 09:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xaf426a…
10-10 09:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x16cadc…
10-10 09:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xa14290…
10-10 09:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xdc73b1…
10-10 09:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xd4eebe…
10-10 08:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3aacc1…
10-10 08:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x59071b…
10-10 08:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xf50ae0…
10-10 08:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xf56e24…
10-10 08:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5cd1c4…
10-10 08:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x9f8d1c…
10-10 08:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4293aa…
10-10 08:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x469c6d…
10-10 08:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x56972d…
10-10 08:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xef2723…