Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved

Trades

225

lifetime

Volume

$5.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-01

last 10-18 17:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

51% 75% +$11

Other

43% 57% +$7

Tech

4% 80% +$3

Sports

2% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Republicans sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections?	2	$749	449	449	+0	open	—	10-09 09:36
Will Democrats win the Michigan and Minnesota Senate seats, and Republicans win New Hampshire?	5	$503	293	293	+0	open	—	10-18 17:32
Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa?	14	$266	160	160	+0	open	—	10-17 03:11
Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?	13	$260	160	160	+0	open	—	10-17 03:11
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 14, 2026?	4	$197	176	70	+106	No	+$18	10-11 10:52
Will Zay Flowers have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	2	$159	92	92	+0	open	—	10-09 23:31
Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 7?	2	$138	82	82	+0	No	+$12	10-09 12:11
Will Democrats win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?	9	$134	80	80	+0	open	—	10-17 03:11
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	2	$110	449	449	+0	open	—	10-09 09:36
Will Republicans win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Democrats win Maine?	3	$104	60	60	+0	open	—	10-14 01:49
Will Joe Burrow have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	2	$94	60	60	+0	open	—	10-08 11:13
Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs PRIVATE (+1.5)	1	$85	213	0	+213	PRIVATE	-$85	10-10 09:05
Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026?	2	$78	54	54	+0	No	+$1	10-14 01:49
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 31, 2026?	4	$73	40	40	+0	No	+$1	10-10 23:07
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 29, 2026?	4	$72	40	40	+0	No	-$4	10-10 23:07
Will Democrats win the Ohio Senate seat, and Republicans win Iowa and Maine?	4	$72	42	42	+0	open	—	10-17 03:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	2	$72	50	50	+0	Yes	+$10	10-05 20:17
Will there be no Gemini Argon release by October 31, 2026?	4	$65	40	40	+0	No	+$1	10-10 23:07
Will Caleb Williams have 3,624.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	2	$64	40	40	+0	open	—	10-09 23:31
Will George Kittle have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	2	$62	40	40	+0	open	—	10-09 23:31
Will Christian Watson have 999.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	2	$62	40	40	+0	open	—	10-08 22:56
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	3	$62	273	273	+0	open	—	10-14 01:48
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 27, 2026?	4	$61	40	40	+0	No	+$1	10-10 23:07
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 27, 2026?	4	$55	30	30	+0	No	+$1	10-05 22:12
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 31, 2026?	4	$54	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	10-05 22:12
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	5	$53	80	40	+40	Yes	-$14	10-10 23:07
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5)	1	$51	105	0	+105	cancelled	+$1	10-06 13:36
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 21, 2026?	4	$50	30	30	+0	No	-$1	10-05 22:12
Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?	2	$49	40	40	+0	Yes	+$2	10-15 07:29
Games Total: O/U 2.5	1	$47	107	0	+107	Over	+$60	10-10 09:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 17:32:27	Will Democrats win the Michigan and Minnesota Senate seats, and Republicans win New Hampshire?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x006170…
10-18 17:32:26	Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x6efed3…
10-18 17:32:26	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x02d105…
10-17 03:11:05	Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?	No	SELL	22	81¢	$18	0xe9955f…
10-17 03:11:05	Will Democrats win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?	No	SELL	22	87¢	$19	0x74d24e…
10-17 03:11:05	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0x2c5bb6…
10-17 03:11:05	Will Democrats win the Ohio Senate seat, and Republicans win Iowa and Maine?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x2004f3…
10-17 03:11:05	Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa?	No	SELL	22	89¢	$20	0x08e906…
10-15 07:29:20	Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	SELL	40	64¢	$25	0xa9de9e…
10-15 07:29:20	Will LOUD Win an International Event in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0x3a0d52…
10-14 11:35:14	Will David Montgomery have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x45eaca…
10-14 11:35:13	Will David Montgomery have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x27dc2b…
10-14 09:35:10	Will Jeremiyah Love have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x907516…
10-14 09:35:08	Will Jeremiyah Love have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x3f50a6…
10-14 07:59:53	Will Tyler Shough finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x11b80c…
10-14 07:49:50	Will Tyler Shough finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x38a547…
10-14 05:09:47	Will DK Metcalf have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x51ac7d…
10-14 05:09:47	Will DK Metcalf have 824.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x2a06ae…
10-14 02:09:41	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	28	40¢	$11	0xfad153…
10-14 02:09:41	Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?	No	SELL	28	80¢	$23	0xf96f87…
10-14 02:09:41	Will Democrats win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$8	0xca5ebf…
10-14 02:09:41	Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x187bba…
10-14 01:59:38	Will Democrats win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?	No	SELL	18	87¢	$16	0xdc52df…
10-14 01:59:38	Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa?	No	SELL	18	81¢	$15	0x201476…
10-14 01:59:37	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xd008fb…
10-14 01:59:37	Will Democrats win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x558a01…
10-14 01:59:37	Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x2cf6b9…
10-14 01:59:37	Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x266103…
10-14 01:49:02	Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa?	No	SELL	48	84¢	$40	0x71677e…
10-14 01:49:02	Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?	No	SELL	48	80¢	$38	0x2dd62d…
10-14 01:49:01	Will Republicans win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Democrats win Maine?	No	SELL	48	92¢	$44	0x76a1e1…
10-14 01:49:01	Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	SELL	54	73¢	$39	0x589ddc…
10-14 01:49:01	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	48	38¢	$18	0x1847ad…
10-14 01:48:59	Will Team Vitality Win an International Event in 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	26¢	$14	0xde9e7c…
10-14 01:48:59	Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x8385ec…
10-14 01:48:59	Will Democrats win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x3003c6…
10-14 01:48:58	Will Democrats win the Michigan and Minnesota Senate seats, and Republicans win New Hampshire?	No	SELL	213	90¢	$192	0xed2ddd…
10-14 01:48:58	Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x3d5a0a…
10-14 01:48:58	Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x208ef6…
10-14 01:48:56	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	213	12¢	$26	0x89f8d7…
10-14 01:48:55	Will James Cook have 1,249.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xe3ab2f…
10-14 01:48:53	Will James Cook have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xbbf97c…
10-11 11:43:02	Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	28	83¢	$23	0x870c48…
10-11 11:43:00	Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa?	No	BUY	28	83¢	$23	0x93e13f…
10-11 11:43:00	Will Democrats win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?	No	BUY	28	73¢	$20	0x47a750…
10-11 11:43:00	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	28	42¢	$12	0x224fb7…
10-11 10:52:54	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 14, 2026?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xbc32af…
10-11 09:49:07	Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x7c9339…
10-11 09:49:07	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x732335…
10-11 09:49:07	Will Democrats win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x4568b9…
10-11 09:49:07	Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x0f47d5…
10-11 09:42:49	Will Democrats win the Ohio Senate seat, and Republicans win Iowa and Maine?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xd5d516…
10-11 09:42:49	Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x8567de…
10-11 09:42:49	Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x35c389…
10-11 09:42:49	Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x076cd2…
10-11 07:22:48	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 14, 2026?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xfd5981…
10-11 07:22:48	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x62672b…
10-11 06:02:38	Will Democrats win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0xd9f594…
10-11 06:02:38	Will Democrats win the Ohio Senate seat, and Republicans win Iowa and Maine?	No	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0x8b389b…
10-11 06:02:38	Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x65667f…
10-11 06:02:38	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	42¢	$9	0x61d0dc…
10-11 06:02:38	Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa?	No	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x09403e…
10-11 06:02:35	Will Syracuse have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x4dfef4…
10-11 06:02:35	Will Syracuse have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 4.5	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x472748…
10-11 05:37:35	Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa?	No	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0x2e77a3…
10-11 05:37:35	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0x1a6273…
10-11 05:37:35	Will Republicans win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Democrats win Maine?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x14b6af…
10-11 05:37:35	Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?	No	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x124c95…
10-11 03:45:17	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 14, 2026?	No	SELL	30	81¢	$24	0xaf2752…
10-11 03:45:17	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x5e64fb…
10-11 03:25:41	Will Democrats win the Ohio Senate seat, and Republicans win Iowa and Maine?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xd1542f…
10-11 03:25:41	Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xa9d695…
10-11 03:25:41	Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x3d3b20…
10-11 03:25:41	Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x1b2de9…
10-11 02:15:02	Will Syracuse have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 4.5	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x97d018…
10-11 02:15:02	Will Syracuse have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x870bb8…
10-10 23:07:39	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0xbc4b54…
10-10 23:07:39	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xb54cfb…
10-10 23:07:39	Will there be no Gemini Argon release by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0x96506a…
10-10 23:07:39	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 29, 2026?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x3f6743…
10-10 23:07:39	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0x2a1699…
10-10 22:38:57	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	176	81¢	$143	0xd9a55d…
10-10 22:38:57	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	176	11¢	$20	0x1cf87d…
10-10 22:13:39	Will Democrats win the Michigan and Minnesota Senate seats, and Republicans win New Hampshire?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xa6708b…
10-10 22:13:39	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x668612…
10-10 22:13:39	Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x584579…
10-10 20:31:06	Will Tyler Shough finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x1359a3…
10-10 20:31:04	Will Tyler Shough finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x1c1b0d…
10-10 20:28:36	Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	40	59¢	$23	0xe0617a…
10-10 20:28:34	Will LOUD Win an International Event in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0xc6ca7d…
10-10 20:22:37	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xe7277c…
10-10 20:22:37	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 29, 2026?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xb80ab8…
10-10 20:22:37	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x9211dc…
10-10 20:22:37	Will there be no Gemini Argon release by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x57000c…
10-10 20:22:37	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x394270…
10-10 17:08:31	Will Team Vitality Win an International Event in 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	15¢	$8	0xe2c3b0…
10-10 17:08:31	Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	54	72¢	$39	0xa02529…
10-10 15:45:40	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 29, 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xd2a4e2…
10-10 15:45:40	Will there be no Gemini Argon release by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xad5cfe…
10-10 15:45:40	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x33e545…