Bleak-Sturgeon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.56K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.8%

Resolved

617

Trades

1,528

lifetime

Volume

$58.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 05-06 16:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 49% -$907

Other

31% 44% -$658

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 15:50 UTC	2	$679	369	367	+1	Up	+$49	03-14 15:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 18:30 UTC	2	$600	333	331	+1	Up	+$36	03-13 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 19:30 UTC	3	$526	342	291	+51	Up	+$46	03-13 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 14:30 UTC	4	$507	296	295	+1	Down	+$0	03-14 14:35
uel stu3 por1 2026 03 12 total 2pt5	2	$475	251	251	+0	Over	+$23	03-12 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 18:15 UTC	2	$474	279	277	+3	Down	+$76	03-13 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 19:25 UTC	2	$439	245	244	+2	Down	+$45	03-13 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 14:45 UTC	5	$430	321	318	+3	Up	-$28	03-15 14:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 19:20 UTC	2	$375	200	200	+0	Down	+$20	03-13 19:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 14:20 UTC	5	$370	223	222	+1	Down	-$3	03-15 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 15:40 UTC	4	$368	245	217	+28	Down	+$64	03-14 15:45
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 total 1pt5	4	$366	283	283	+0	Over	-$75	03-11 19:25
ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 total 2pt5	3	$362	274	274	+0	Over	-$38	03-18 20:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 14:35 UTC	3	$362	208	206	+2	Down	+$48	03-14 14:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 11:45 UTC	4	$357	208	206	+1	Down	+$25	03-13 11:50
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 total 3pt5	4	$351	239	239	+0	Under	-$42	03-11 21:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 17:30 UTC	3	$349	204	202	+1	Down	+$30	03-13 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 11:10 UTC	6	$346	276	274	+2	Down	+$0	03-19 11:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:55 UTC	3	$346	191	190	+1	Down	+$31	03-14 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 19:55 UTC	2	$336	188	187	+1	Down	+$36	03-13 19:59
mls rsl mia 2026 04 22 total 2pt5	4	$331	336	333	+3	Under	-$127	04-23 03:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 19:10 UTC	3	$321	195	193	+2	Up	+$63	03-13 19:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 16:50 UTC	5	$320	204	201	+3	Down	+$63	03-21 16:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 12:30 UTC	4	$313	222	172	+50	Down	+$7	03-21 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 16:05 UTC	4	$313	255	175	+80	Up	+$35	03-15 16:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 09:40 UTC	5	$312	309	173	+136	Up	+$15	03-19 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 19:30 UTC	4	$310	221	186	+35	Down	+$38	03-21 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 14:40 UTC	3	$303	264	174	+90	Down	+$45	03-14 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 17:25 UTC	2	$301	162	162	+1	Down	+$20	03-13 17:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 10:50 UTC	3	$296	264	163	+101	Down	+$18	03-19 10:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 16:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	37	35¢	$13	0x042a84…
05-06 16:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	17	41¢	$7	0x8f4422…
05-06 16:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xe9242e…
05-06 16:34:08	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aleksandar Vukic vs Patrick Kypson	Aleksandar Vukic	SELL	71	25¢	$18	0xcbda6d…
05-06 15:37:00	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aleksandar Vukic vs Patrick Kypson	Aleksandar Vukic	BUY	71	66¢	$47	0x72219e…
05-06 15:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	21	36¢	$8	0xcac3fb…
05-06 15:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x63fcda…
05-06 14:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x329191…
05-06 14:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x6cbbca…
05-06 14:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	18	33¢	$6	0xe44dca…
05-06 14:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x6800bc…
05-06 14:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	29	44¢	$13	0x8e14ed…
05-06 14:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xe7f293…
05-06 14:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	24	87¢	$21	0xc70753…
05-06 14:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x1ecb8b…
05-06 14:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x3f3b95…
05-06 14:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x5b0fde…
05-06 14:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	18	34¢	$6	0xf8aa85…
05-06 14:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x198a08…
05-06 14:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0x86aa8c…
05-06 14:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xe97826…
05-06 14:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	16	44¢	$7	0x01167a…
05-06 14:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x708bd2…
05-06 14:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xe999b6…
05-06 14:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	18	76¢	$14	0xeaa175…
05-06 14:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x551f8d…
05-06 14:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0xa7c8ac…
05-06 14:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	23	43¢	$10	0x75bed7…
05-06 14:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9e5598…
05-06 14:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x22d1e3…
05-06 14:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	38	96¢	$37	0x978d1a…
05-06 14:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x2ddfc8…
05-06 14:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x9171ec…
05-06 14:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	27	89¢	$24	0x7dc637…
05-06 14:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x55cecb…
05-06 13:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	90¢	$13	0xf5886d…
05-06 13:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x63013e…
05-06 13:52:22	Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	38	75¢	$29	0xa82fc4…
05-06 13:48:06	Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	39	67¢	$26	0x7ca6c7…
05-06 13:41:18	Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	91	52¢	$47	0xbc8b35…
05-06 13:08:38	Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	91	62¢	$56	0x6d4c4a…
05-06 12:59:34	Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xceb6f4…
05-06 12:42:30	Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xbd0a27…
05-06 12:39:58	Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xffc5d3…
05-06 12:35:42	Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0xf8c3d6…
05-06 12:05:28	Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	73	40¢	$29	0x5d581e…
05-06 12:01:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xb62c03…
05-06 12:01:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x97c299…
05-06 11:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x547d65…
05-06 11:36:34	FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	105	47¢	$49	0xe4a225…
05-06 11:26:58	FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	105	62¢	$65	0x73512a…
05-06 11:20:26	FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	72	99¢	$72	0x87bb48…
05-06 10:09:04	FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xa2c82e…
05-06 10:08:06	FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	61	67¢	$41	0x42532e…
05-06 10:04:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbbf37f…
05-06 09:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	55	92¢	$50	0xfc1495…
05-06 09:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	55	75¢	$41	0xf10801…
05-06 09:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	69	53¢	$36	0x801589…
05-06 09:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	69	73¢	$50	0x6015ee…
05-06 09:50:02	Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x306b3c…
05-06 09:49:26	Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	103	18¢	$18	0xf9fafc…
05-06 09:40:32	Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0xdd32c2…
05-06 09:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x20f4cf…
05-06 09:27:38	Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	184	18¢	$33	0xdfcd41…
05-06 09:10:58	Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x830d84…
05-06 09:05:10	Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	33	36¢	$12	0x1f74d1…
05-06 08:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	31	39¢	$12	0xd16ca3…
05-06 08:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	67¢	$21	0x5a91f8…
05-06 08:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe30355…
05-06 08:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	109	91¢	$99	0x64f535…
05-06 08:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xab4c28…
05-06 08:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x12300d…
05-06 08:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	68¢	$18	0x5f0d22…
05-06 08:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8318a6…
05-06 08:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x660ed1…
05-06 08:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x700553…
05-06 08:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc9d46f…
05-06 08:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	125	92¢	$115	0x460ae3…
05-06 08:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x03bb56…
05-06 08:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	67¢	$16	0xc90080…
05-06 08:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0xff5d9e…
05-06 08:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xb12241…
05-06 08:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0x0bb0f0…
05-06 08:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x891bbc…
05-06 08:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x50045a…
05-06 08:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x7c9f79…
05-06 08:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x1c892b…
05-06 08:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0xd347fa…
05-06 08:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x1d06ab…
05-05 18:10:54	Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?	Yes	BUY	32	13¢	$4	0xbdba2d…
05-05 18:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x3ad660…
05-05 18:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x616f2b…
05-05 18:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xccab02…
05-05 18:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x27ff8f…
05-05 18:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x1f8d3d…
05-05 17:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0x2715de…
05-05 17:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xcf26a2…
05-05 17:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x67f8bc…
05-05 17:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5a7196…
05-05 17:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x6f6d53…