Sweltering-Nest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.25K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

5,805

Trades

18,393

lifetime

Volume

$174.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 10-28 09:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 64% -$5,631

Other

1% 71% -$616

Politics

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 1769 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	7	$1.2K	1,883	1,581	+302	No	-$127	04-28 13:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:10 UTC	7	$811	833	699	+134	Up	+$195	07-31 19:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 08:45 UTC	11	$695	617	617	+0	Down	+$85	07-31 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	40	$683	528	355	+173	Up	+$32	05-12 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	47	$668	601	282	+320	Up	-$95	05-12 08:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 12:40 UTC	5	$665	454	454	+0	Up	+$165	07-31 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	46	$649	511	347	+164	Down	-$83	05-12 00:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 18:45 UTC	4	$630	413	413	+0	Up	+$180	07-31 18:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 12:05 UTC	6	$597	513	513	+0	Up	+$237	07-31 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 12:00 UTC	9	$583	505	445	+61	Down	+$73	07-31 12:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	100	$555	761	351	+410	Up	-$79	07-18 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 12:20 UTC	6	$547	875	827	+48	Up	+$195	07-31 12:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 20:45 UTC	11	$532	443	293	+151	Down	+$153	07-30 20:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 15:45 UTC	12	$528	425	425	+0	Up	+$38	07-03 15:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:25 UTC	8	$526	664	533	+131	Down	+$45	07-31 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	33	$506	397	296	+101	Down	-$58	05-12 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	35	$502	378	324	+54	Up	+$9	05-12 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 18:55 UTC	8	$500	1,064	0	+1,064	Down	-$500	07-31 18:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 14:55 UTC	2	$491	260	258	+2	Up	+$16	04-22 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	29	$489	432	275	+157	Up	-$45	05-11 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	5	$489	324	324	+0	Up	+$39	10-27 22:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 16:20 UTC	3	$489	585	393	+192	Down	+$53	04-22 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	38	$487	334	300	+34	Down	+$14	05-12 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 14:10 UTC	8	$480	333	333	+0	Down	+$170	07-12 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 11:30 UTC	5	$473	304	304	+0	Down	+$123	07-31 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	5	$448	590	222	+368	Up	-$12	10-27 22:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 16:00 UTC	4	$440	873	0	+873	Up	+$53	04-22 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	38	$432	311	269	+42	Up	+$1	05-11 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	18	$412	283	245	+38	Up	-$23	05-12 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 17:30 UTC	10	$402	573	351	+222	Up	-$76	08-02 17:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 09:09:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x4b914e…
10-28 08:09:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x3bb945…
10-28 07:44:37	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc8fd6b…
10-28 07:44:31	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x1c6ffc…
10-28 07:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3f54b5…
10-27 22:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb34188…
10-27 22:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa8b891…
10-27 22:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0a591c…
10-27 22:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	120	84¢	$100	0x37055d…
10-27 22:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	192	24¢	$47	0x03875d…
10-27 22:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0xbccda1…
10-27 22:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x87ec57…
10-27 22:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x35bf26…
10-27 22:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xa0b3e8…
10-27 22:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x5c4e1e…
10-27 22:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xdf422e…
10-27 22:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	246	99¢	$244	0x09c758…
10-27 22:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xbe1cdb…
10-27 22:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	78	26¢	$20	0x68f364…
10-27 22:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xd51539…
10-27 22:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x3475d7…
10-27 22:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x50435f…
10-27 22:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xec9714…
10-27 22:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	143	17¢	$25	0x9be366…
10-27 22:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x08337d…
10-27 22:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	222	98¢	$218	0x6b3e00…
10-27 22:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xbc7659…
10-27 22:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xee13f0…
10-27 22:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xd8d2d1…
10-27 22:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x1646f9…
10-27 22:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	61	12¢	$7	0xe5aa97…
10-27 22:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x4f7999…
10-27 22:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x3360b4…
10-27 22:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	515	5¢	$25	0x85200a…
10-27 22:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xe81934…
10-27 22:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x231845…
10-27 22:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x29fdeb…
10-27 22:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x26df4a…
10-27 22:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x7edf23…
10-27 22:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x18e0df…
10-27 21:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0xc1cedb…
10-27 21:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	127	98¢	$125	0x648052…
10-27 21:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xf00a30…
10-27 21:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd74fb5…
10-27 21:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1f4a42…
10-27 21:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x303149…
10-27 21:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xf82064…
10-27 21:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0x764c4c…
10-27 21:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x0364d2…
10-27 21:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	172	99¢	$171	0x7400c7…
10-27 21:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x5c82a9…
10-27 21:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	283	9¢	$25	0xd40e57…
10-27 21:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0xdba6c4…
10-27 21:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xcfd842…
10-27 21:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	150	55¢	$83	0xf805b6…
10-27 21:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xa14ac8…
10-27 21:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x87f42e…
10-27 21:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	250	97¢	$242	0x35461e…
10-27 21:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x254ca9…
10-27 21:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x0c579a…
10-27 21:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x4cd07d…
10-27 20:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x51c827…
10-27 20:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0x356d14…
10-27 20:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	179	38¢	$68	0xf8187c…
10-27 20:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xff060f…
10-27 20:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x7b73b2…
10-27 19:59:32	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb99b66…
10-27 19:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xacdc2b…
10-27 17:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x8cbb43…
10-27 14:44:30	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x580df3…
10-27 14:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x265d8e…
10-27 14:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xae7c5b…
10-27 13:34:42	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x67be51…
10-27 12:09:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x564a18…
10-27 11:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x125b5e…
10-27 11:29:32	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5cfc4c…
10-27 11:19:30	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x95b8f9…
10-27 10:19:32	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x55c639…
10-27 09:34:33	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe9b301…
10-27 09:24:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xcb2d0f…
10-27 09:04:30	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8f57c3…
10-26 19:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7a4c7f…
10-26 19:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x75a6a7…
10-26 19:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x1a32f6…
10-26 19:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xdb8f5e…
10-26 19:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x01a0d6…
10-26 19:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x1a7010…
10-26 19:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xba16f0…
10-26 19:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x1f7163…
10-26 19:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	146	42¢	$61	0x2c8ac8…
10-26 19:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x97d3b4…
10-26 19:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x2ed657…
10-26 19:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x1bc27c…
10-26 19:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x53918d…
10-26 17:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x033b6e…
10-26 14:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x0e4ded…
10-26 14:04:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x98da5b…
10-26 13:14:32	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xda7f2b…
10-26 12:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe2f53e…
10-26 12:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x7a87a3…