Incompatible-Tobacco — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

175

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 04-30 16:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

91% 100% +$17

Other

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	12	$2.2K	1,750	1,750	+0	open	—	04-19 18:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-30 05:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$1.0K	705	705	+0	open	—	04-27 21:13
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	6	$695	432	432	+0	open	—	04-18 02:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	9	$517	458	458	+0	open	—	04-20 14:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	6	$512	306	306	+0	open	—	04-25 16:17
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$474	300	300	+0	open	—	04-23 18:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	13	$368	547	547	+0	open	—	04-25 10:13
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$331	233	233	+0	open	—	04-29 15:22
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	15	$290	300	300	+0	open	—	04-24 11:09
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?	3	$265	810	0	+810	open	—	04-25 19:58
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	4	$225	125	125	+0	open	—	04-29 20:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	4	$224	430	430	+0	open	—	04-21 13:11
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$221	125	125	+0	open	—	04-13 12:42
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	4	$206	275	275	+0	open	—	04-24 18:54
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$205	135	135	+0	open	—	04-22 03:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$203	120	120	+0	Yes	+$4	04-09 19:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?	4	$162	90	90	+0	open	—	04-16 13:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$147	112	112	+0	open	—	04-17 13:10
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	2	$147	102	102	+0	open	—	04-03 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 26?	5	$146	91	91	+0	open	—	04-26 11:04
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$132	82,069	0	+82,069	open	—	03-25 11:29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$129	75	75	+0	open	—	04-12 19:33
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$120	70	70	+0	open	—	04-12 19:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$110	82	82	+0	Yes	+$10	04-15 06:37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	3	$102	150	150	+0	No	+$3	04-24 20:49
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$98	161	161	+0	open	—	04-30 16:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?	2	$77	60	60	+0	open	—	04-27 15:03
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 29?	4	$71	93	50	+43	open	—	04-28 10:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	3	$62	40	39	+1	open	—	04-27 15:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-30 16:06:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	161	30¢	$48	0x9a188e…
04-30 05:51:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$996	0x76ea0c…
04-29 20:43:54	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0xc748df…
04-29 15:22:26	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	233	99¢	$231	0xe92b81…
04-28 10:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0b8006…
04-28 10:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	38	51¢	$20	0x39559f…
04-28 09:51:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xb279cf…
04-28 09:48:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 29?	No	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x922fcf…
04-28 09:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 29?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xfa483d…
04-28 09:36:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 29?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0xeaa325…
04-28 09:29:36	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x6559dd…
04-28 08:51:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xc74d59…
04-28 08:48:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x4cb4ad…
04-28 08:08:08	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	45	84¢	$38	0xc42302…
04-28 08:06:50	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xd25ac7…
04-28 08:05:26	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x01e046…
04-27 23:35:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x7be77b…
04-27 22:59:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x784b9b…
04-27 21:13:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	456	72¢	$328	0xd2ae69…
04-27 21:11:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x0f3aa8…
04-27 21:11:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	73¢	$110	0x6e1c44…
04-27 21:05:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?	No	BUY	24	72¢	$18	0x723ae3…
04-27 21:03:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	73¢	$23	0xe32346…
04-27 21:01:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x1e76f0…
04-27 20:59:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x3ec098…
04-27 20:51:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0xfc2f15…
04-27 20:48:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	73¢	$24	0xa8d753…
04-27 20:48:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x0e2d79…
04-27 15:03:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	60	91¢	$55	0x372aa4…
04-27 15:03:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x15de32…
04-27 12:59:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	31	41¢	$13	0xb52a6e…
04-27 12:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x43e945…
04-27 09:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	No	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0x968818…
04-27 08:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 27?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x473e5b…
04-27 06:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xcac20c…
04-27 06:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	27	25¢	$7	0xa30f70…
04-27 05:57:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x2fc82c…
04-27 05:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xec7c3c…
04-27 05:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x9cbde4…
04-27 04:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	124	14¢	$17	0x61ce25…
04-26 20:03:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	No	BUY	37	59¢	$22	0x3baf76…
04-26 19:58:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0a183a…
04-26 19:13:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0x2ad934…
04-26 18:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 27?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x30fdab…
04-26 15:45:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?	No	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x341a06…
04-26 14:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 27?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x829fd9…
04-26 14:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	130	12¢	$15	0x7b969d…
04-26 11:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0xd7e39b…
04-26 09:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	71	90¢	$64	0x17cd49…
04-26 09:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	35	6¢	$2	0x1b1745…
04-26 09:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 26?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x500958…
04-26 09:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xbd6da7…
04-26 09:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x631cd4…
04-26 09:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xcc54b9…
04-26 09:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x12918f…
04-26 08:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1a8000…
04-26 08:56:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 26?	No	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x1210f2…
04-26 07:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x09f593…
04-26 06:19:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?	No	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0x6e626e…
04-25 19:58:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	470	18¢	$85	0x06b9a3…
04-25 19:34:16	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	201	53¢	$106	0xb2f448…
04-25 19:32:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	139	53¢	$74	0xecaaf1…
04-25 16:17:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	299	99¢	$296	0xd3c7cf…
04-25 10:13:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	247	31¢	$77	0x330900…
04-25 07:53:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	299	69¢	$206	0x1e8b7f…
04-24 20:49:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	147	35¢	$51	0xa54e38…
04-24 20:31:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xcb6c94…
04-24 18:54:24	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	204	38¢	$78	0xcddcd5…
04-24 18:52:50	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	71	38¢	$27	0x03957d…
04-24 15:58:40	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	150	34¢	$51	0x6c69d4…
04-24 11:38:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	37	40¢	$15	0xf4f88b…
04-24 11:38:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	40¢	$12	0xcbbcc9…
04-24 11:38:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xe25549…
04-24 11:09:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	120	57¢	$68	0x94dd26…
04-24 08:16:48	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	120	42¢	$50	0xfa316b…
04-24 06:33:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x07069f…
04-24 06:33:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	23	52¢	$12	0x793184…
04-24 06:30:46	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x2881ae…
04-24 06:30:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0x63138f…
04-24 06:29:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0x2514bd…
04-24 06:29:00	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0xc1e193…
04-24 06:28:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	46	52¢	$24	0xcb0111…
04-24 06:24:30	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x0c334e…
04-24 06:23:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0xd26dc7…
04-24 06:22:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	18	52¢	$10	0x86deb5…
04-24 04:13:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	705	71¢	$501	0xc44fde…
04-24 03:58:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0x40148a…
04-24 03:52:40	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	56	30¢	$17	0x1f0064…
04-23 19:08:38	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xfe5509…
04-23 18:17:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xef8e37…
04-23 18:05:48	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0x1f47d3…
04-23 11:15:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xc101e5…
04-22 13:30:34	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x45d09d…
04-22 13:15:40	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	261	59¢	$154	0x11fbdd…
04-22 13:14:54	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0x6b657e…
04-22 11:45:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0x35b006…
04-22 04:22:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe33ae4…
04-22 04:21:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x15729a…
04-22 04:21:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x4c5c79…
04-22 03:06:12	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	135	97¢	$131	0x7902be…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	44	$297.0K	20,380	05-04 10:48
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	41	$430.3K	31,861	05-31 17:26
Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9	38	$485.1K	12,791	05-23 16:44
Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f	37	$24.3K	8,151	05-08 10:09
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	36	$12.9M	23,665	06-01 03:20
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	33	$470.3K	8,723	06-01 00:34
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	32	$46.8K	4,538	05-29 22:06
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	32	$28.0K	6,546	05-06 11:57