Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

445

lifetime

Volume

$13.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 04-18 19:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

77% 100% +$5

Crypto

16% — —

Other

7% 100% +$6

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	20	$2.0K	1,533	1,533	+0	open	—	04-05 00:30
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	6	$1.7K	1,199	1,199	+0	open	—	03-01 03:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$964	710	338	+372	open	—	04-05 13:10
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	14	$705	1,510	500	+1,010	open	—	04-18 19:14
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	7	$642	650	650	+0	open	—	02-28 22:02
military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	4	$589	384	384	-0	open	—	04-01 21:51
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	7	$555	800	0	+800	open	—	04-08 15:00
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	5	$540	300	300	+0	open	—	03-05 19:22
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$441	547	0	+547	open	—	04-07 15:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	16	$431	51,200	1,200	+50,000	open	—	04-10 13:33
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$382	200	200	+0	open	—	03-29 02:14
btc updown 5m 1772589600	8	$360	200	200	+0	open	—	03-04 02:05
btc updown 5m 1771794000	3	$235	120	120	+0	open	—	02-22 21:05
btc updown 5m 1771791300	2	$203	104	104	+0	open	—	02-22 20:20
btc updown 5m 1771791600	4	$203	110	102	+8	open	—	02-22 20:25
btc updown 5m 1771794300	2	$203	105	104	+1	open	—	02-22 21:10
btc updown 5m 1771791000	2	$202	103	103	+0	open	—	02-22 20:15
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$186	1,544	0	+1,544	open	—	04-01 15:35
btc updown 5m 1771806300	2	$166	100	100	+0	open	—	02-23 00:30
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	3	$165	550	0	+550	open	—	04-12 22:55
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$148	200	200	+0	open	—	03-13 06:15
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	3	$143	100	100	+0	open	—	03-28 05:36
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$139	353	220	+133	open	—	02-27 23:30
btc updown 5m 1771790100	8	$128	110	109	+1	open	—	02-22 20:00
btc updown 5m 1771790400	5	$121	80	79	+1	open	—	02-22 20:05
netanyahu out by march 31 854	10	$120	743	644	+98	open	—	03-11 01:57
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$120	100	100	+0	open	—	03-10 16:21
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	7	$117	312	12	+300	open	—	04-10 18:55
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	5	$116	87	87	+0	open	—	04-01 21:51
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$116	170	170	+0	open	—	04-01 18:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-18 19:14:30	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	63	21¢	$13	0xc3874c…
04-18 19:14:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	66	17¢	$11	0x0019ce…
04-12 22:55:53	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xcc7a85…
04-12 22:55:31	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	300	30¢	$90	0x8b6cc9…
04-12 22:55:21	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x342217…
04-12 22:51:33	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	500	56¢	$278	0xdc0aee…
04-12 06:15:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	320	45¢	$142	0xfdb6ef…
04-12 05:11:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x78bd63…
04-12 05:10:31	Will J.D. Vance be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0xe00fee…
04-12 05:10:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0x0520c8…
04-12 05:10:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb9843a…
04-12 05:10:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x04ac78…
04-10 22:05:37	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xba30a4…
04-10 20:44:23	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	34	15¢	$5	0xbec77c…
04-10 20:40:57	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xcf770b…
04-10 20:36:17	Will J.D. Vance be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	164	0¢	$1	0x3d9ee2…
04-10 18:55:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	120	34¢	$41	0xa71815…
04-10 18:55:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	80	34¢	$27	0xd583d1…
04-10 15:10:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	90	28¢	$25	0x0cd1c3…
04-10 15:07:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa62b3b…
04-10 15:07:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x647ae6…
04-10 13:45:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x4f15b6…
04-10 13:33:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	3,930	0¢	$4	0xbe38ce…
04-10 13:31:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0xc40a5b…
04-09 18:18:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	10,070	0¢	$20	0xd597a9…
04-08 22:52:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$6	0x33b89e…
04-08 15:00:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	180	35¢	$63	0xca8203…
04-07 23:43:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$15	0x2a6e1c…
04-07 23:41:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,400	2¢	$36	0x670d1f…
04-07 23:41:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,600	2¢	$24	0x912e88…
04-07 23:23:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	294	47¢	$138	0x7b997d…
04-07 23:23:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x3d4358…
04-07 21:00:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xe2e26d…
04-07 20:57:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	285	13¢	$37	0x9835f8…
04-07 20:57:41	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x5fc899…
04-07 20:57:25	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x43c482…
04-07 20:56:07	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	186	68¢	$126	0x7af6df…
04-07 20:55:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$17	0xe357f4…
04-07 20:31:07	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	Yes	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0xab78ac…
04-07 20:30:53	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	Yes	BUY	57	6¢	$3	0x4e75f3…
04-07 20:30:33	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x49ec51…
04-07 20:29:59	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	Yes	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0x35e470…
04-07 20:29:53	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	Yes	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0xd6deec…
04-07 20:27:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	1,200	12¢	$144	0xa736ee…
04-07 20:25:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$25	0x81171b…
04-07 20:25:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	192	12¢	$22	0xa88000…
04-07 20:25:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x746b54…
04-07 20:24:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x4bd050…
04-07 20:24:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x31ad2e…
04-07 20:18:47	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	Yes	BUY	164	7¢	$11	0x632dcc…
04-07 20:17:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x9919e8…
04-07 20:17:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x832ae5…
04-07 20:13:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x69a7d0…
04-07 20:13:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$27	0xb660d1…
04-07 15:09:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	38	70¢	$27	0xb9e040…
04-07 15:08:57	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x8eb0e2…
04-07 15:08:51	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	SELL	120	12¢	$14	0x6f3456…
04-05 13:10:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	140	80¢	$112	0x956b81…
04-05 13:10:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	118	94¢	$111	0x94d5cb…
04-05 01:45:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0xfb7747…
04-05 00:33:25	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	220	87¢	$191	0xe38803…
04-05 00:30:31	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	220	89¢	$196	0x45f63c…
04-04 05:52:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	269	82¢	$221	0x1c326d…
04-04 05:51:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xa20fb8…
04-04 03:13:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xaf58ed…
04-04 03:13:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	110	15¢	$16	0x3dc428…
04-03 21:50:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	120	11¢	$13	0x6a206c…
04-03 21:24:57	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x06a957…
04-03 21:24:51	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf77d3e…
04-03 21:24:51	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xa39ba9…
04-03 21:24:51	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x7ace2c…
04-03 21:24:51	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3ef318…
04-03 21:24:51	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x16df34…
04-03 21:07:21	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xefe3ea…
04-03 18:52:21	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x0500b2…
04-03 17:57:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xff42d1…
04-03 17:38:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x5fedc9…
04-03 17:24:03	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x5bfed5…
04-03 17:04:53	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x90f92f…
04-03 17:02:19	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x2015a0…
04-03 17:01:15	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x20eba9…
04-03 16:55:55	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	300	1¢	$4	0xeef15d…
04-03 16:53:39	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa26579…
04-03 16:52:25	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xf7b6fb…
04-03 16:51:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xdf4e49…
04-03 16:32:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	336	88¢	$296	0xc33d86…
04-03 01:12:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xa48977…
04-02 23:59:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	300	66¢	$198	0xb09062…
04-02 23:59:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	220	91¢	$200	0x055c79…
04-02 23:57:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x067b99…
04-02 23:56:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x67c68c…
04-02 23:56:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x7855de…
04-02 21:40:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x1a2ae8…
04-02 21:01:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	600	92¢	$552	0x7f0205…
04-02 21:00:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	852	66¢	$562	0xee45fe…
04-02 18:50:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	110	92¢	$101	0x9a6a2c…
04-02 00:15:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	300	53¢	$159	0xfa4820…
04-01 23:52:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x319e53…
04-01 21:51:35	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	26	77¢	$20	0x9e9177…
04-01 21:51:29	military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	No	SELL	384	77¢	$297	0xcaf035…