Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

188

Trades

197

lifetime

Volume

$267

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-07-24

last 11-13 02:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Other

87% 56% +$10

Politics

10% 57% +$5

Tech

2% 50% -$1

Crypto

1% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	+1	$1	86¢	$1	+$0	11-13 02:15
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	+1	$1	75¢	$1	$0	11-12 01:02
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	+3	$1	28¢	$1	$0	11-12 17:02
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	Yes	+2	$1	40¢	$1	$0	11-10 11:31
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	Yes	+4	$1	22¢	$1	$0	11-11 03:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	2	$4	7	+7	No	$0	09-17 11:27
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 06:47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-11 14:12
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	+$0	07-29 16:50
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-08 21:37
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-09 16:45
will coin dip to 197 50 by september 21 2026 from september 22	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-22 21:24
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$6	09-08 04:12
spy up or down on september 18 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	09-18 05:04
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	08-20 14:04
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-09 08:44
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-10 08:53
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	09-19 14:53
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-13 06:29
trump renames ai by september 30	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-24 05:43
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-13 06:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	07-25 02:53
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-21 06:08
spx up or down on september 24 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Down	+$2	09-23 21:43
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-20 12:10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-19 15:06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-12 03:58
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-17 19:45
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-10 00:51
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-22 05:06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	+$7	09-23 13:26
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	09-22 13:24
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-15 18:42
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in August?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-23 05:26
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-13 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 02:15:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x614069…
11-12 17:02:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7c49e5…
11-12 09:02:52	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x786d26…
11-12 01:02:39	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3b120b…
11-11 03:40:18	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc03e03…
11-10 19:39:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1c1f6e…
11-10 11:31:42	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa3e779…
11-07 15:19:34	Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x670b5a…
11-07 06:42:58	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x347853…
11-04 10:02:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x106c01…
11-04 02:02:25	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7f7e34…
11-03 17:56:18	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x018f83…
11-02 21:43:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe6bf09…
11-01 21:30:03	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc1da8e…
11-01 01:02:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf676ac…
10-31 16:37:16	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb7d9e1…
10-30 15:58:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x07a4a7…
10-27 02:57:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x051348…
10-27 02:56:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4cdd5c…
10-26 05:47:45	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xacaf78…
10-23 08:14:11	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2f784a…
10-23 08:14:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x426814…
10-23 00:13:12	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8c2c6e…
10-22 16:12:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2e4503…
10-21 20:03:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x24c884…
10-18 23:42:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xae0ecc…
10-18 15:42:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x201b47…
10-18 07:42:20	Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth 6% to 8%?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc7cfd2…
10-17 23:31:18	Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xacfcb8…
10-17 23:30:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x379671…
10-17 15:29:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xac8c79…
10-17 06:16:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x928bd8…
10-16 21:41:23	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x072dab…
10-16 13:01:55	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7c6f1e…
10-16 04:50:30	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1c6405…
10-15 20:46:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x42ecea…
10-15 12:46:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf3fcea…
10-15 04:45:17	meta headcount above in q3 68000	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x71a23b…
10-14 20:45:00	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x20dc7f…
10-14 11:25:35	will spy reach 785 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0b27d2…
10-14 02:59:37	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x788ac6…
10-13 18:53:24	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x14a5ef…
10-11 22:51:35	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x98b57c…
10-11 14:49:21	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe52b83…
10-11 06:48:54	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8045ab…
10-10 21:17:36	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb6b793…
10-10 13:03:55	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x388a66…
10-10 04:46:58	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdc0615…
10-09 19:09:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x63db56…
10-09 11:09:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe72c49…
10-09 03:09:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7548bd…
10-08 19:07:56	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf33bb9…
10-08 10:25:59	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0ef5da…
10-08 02:25:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x91e03d…
10-07 14:37:25	Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe9ca18…
10-07 14:01:59	SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd3284d…
10-06 15:43:44	Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9a093f…
10-06 12:07:43	Will Spalding United FC win on 2026-10-06?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1e85e0…
10-06 11:33:06	Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x480f18…
10-06 07:41:12	Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xba2ee7…
10-05 13:01:40	Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3802ca…
10-04 19:53:43	Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4f9347…
10-04 18:15:11	Will El Salvador win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x218689…
10-04 14:04:40	Costa Rica vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7b158e…
10-04 08:17:49	Racing Club Montevideo vs. CA Penarol Montevideo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x067da9…
10-04 08:17:46	San Martin de Tucuman vs. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x999f42…
10-04 07:40:04	Will Atletico de Rafaela win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3b24c3…
10-04 07:40:01	Will CA Colegiales win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb11f1b…
10-04 07:07:32	Malta vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x242b03…
10-04 06:29:35	Will Girona FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x29138e…
10-04 06:29:32	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd60903…
10-04 05:47:01	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd95827…
10-04 05:46:58	Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. RB Ōmiya Ardija: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x07f6a2…
10-04 05:10:38	VVV Venlo vs. Roda JC Kerkrade: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8cf151…
10-03 12:54:02	Will Tonbridge Angels FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd3a684…
10-03 11:52:27	Finland vs. Albania: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf73503…
10-03 11:16:26	Leyton Orient FC vs. Plymouth Argyle FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x60d345…
10-03 11:16:24	Will Cliftonville FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x462c72…
10-03 04:15:38	Will Plymouth Parkway FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xffc7e9…
10-03 03:47:44	Will Torquay United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x35141e…
10-03 03:13:27	Will Clachnacuddin FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf6ee1a…
10-03 02:41:20	Will Finland win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x12579c…
10-02 20:44:45	Will Montedio Yamagata win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x550cf8…
10-02 18:24:35	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4b9376…
10-02 14:21:41	Will Limavady United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcb59a1…
10-02 13:16:17	Will Crewe Alexandra FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x094f51…
10-02 11:34:30	Will Rotherham United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1c5517…
10-02 06:59:41	Accrington Stanley FC vs. Cheltenham Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x34f353…
10-02 06:59:39	Will Cheltenham Town FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0353e1…
10-02 05:14:59	Will Ceará SC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7e5dbb…
10-02 04:27:08	Will SD Eibar win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf0e6b2…
10-01 21:48:50	Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x94288f…
10-01 11:33:29	Will Wydad Sportif Témara win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdb9c60…
10-01 09:58:45	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcdb8aa…
10-01 09:30:23	Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x94c720…
10-01 05:43:50	CD Eldense vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbd0031…
09-30 13:29:05	Will CA Platense vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x09edae…
09-30 11:14:20	argcopa pla elp 2026 10 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x78d3f3…
09-30 07:32:12	Will Once Caldas win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd25845…
09-30 07:12:00	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x311a81…