Mellow-Leaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

562

lifetime

Volume

$5.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-20 21:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 268 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$89	94	44	+50	open	—	05-20 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET	4	$87	31	83	-53	open	—	05-20 21:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET	3	$86	30	84	-55	open	—	05-20 21:28
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET	3	$85	30	79	-49	open	—	05-20 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	23	$75	81	3	+78	Up	+$7	05-12 19:44
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$73	81	6	+74	open	—	05-19 23:58
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET	3	$70	24	69	-45	open	—	05-20 21:28
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$57	59	28	+31	open	—	05-20 00:02
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$56	58	47	+11	open	—	05-20 20:00
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$49	51	27	+24	open	—	05-20 00:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$49	50	46	+4	open	—	05-20 20:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$48	51	29	+22	open	—	05-20 00:39
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$46	48	34	+14	open	—	05-20 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	30	$45	118	0	+118	open	—	05-15 22:50
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$43	46	20	+26	open	—	05-20 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$43	45	28	+18	open	—	05-20 20:24
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	4	$43	43	9	+34	open	—	05-19 23:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$43	44	36	+7	open	—	05-20 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8PM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	05-20 01:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$42	45	7	+38	open	—	05-19 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$40	45	6	+38	open	—	05-19 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$40	40	31	+9	open	—	05-20 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$39	40	23	+17	open	—	05-20 20:39
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$39	40	35	+5	open	—	05-20 00:43
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	4	$39	40	35	+5	open	—	05-20 00:27
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$39	41	20	+21	open	—	05-20 00:18
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$39	41	26	+14	open	—	05-20 20:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$39	40	26	+14	open	—	05-20 20:21
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$38	42	7	+35	open	—	05-19 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	3	$38	39	34	+6	open	—	05-20 00:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 21:28:58	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xacef1d…
05-20 21:28:51	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x137a76…
05-20 21:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xbaa973…
05-20 21:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x98eda2…
05-20 21:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x9c36a5…
05-20 21:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x71a180…
05-20 21:08:45	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0xa970ca…
05-20 21:08:45	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0x9dec7a…
05-20 21:08:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x58ab41…
05-20 21:08:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x353ae9…
05-20 21:04:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	93¢	$19	0xc23900…
05-20 21:04:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x0d80e9…
05-20 21:04:26	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x5d0e49…
05-20 21:04:21	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0xfd6204…
05-20 21:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x4f86d0…
05-20 21:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x31d091…
05-20 21:01:38	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0xe6eb55…
05-20 21:01:38	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	94¢	$21	0x9028a9…
05-20 20:58:55	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0xe8e42d…
05-20 20:58:55	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	24	90¢	$21	0x9a98cb…
05-20 20:58:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	87¢	$22	0x9c4b59…
05-20 20:58:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	13¢	$3	0x2fcc21…
05-20 20:57:45	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0xb88db6…
05-20 20:57:45	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0x6d72a5…
05-20 20:57:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0x84bade…
05-20 20:57:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x7f12ea…
05-20 20:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x55e5be…
05-20 20:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x10bac5…
05-20 20:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x2ac5d1…
05-20 20:57:24	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0xc23140…
05-20 20:57:24	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	84¢	$27	0x8952ca…
05-20 20:57:24	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	27	12¢	$3	0x494fc6…
05-20 20:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xfbd482…
05-20 20:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xd6689b…
05-20 20:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0xca037d…
05-20 20:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xa605da…
05-20 20:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0x8bf140…
05-20 20:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	29	91¢	$26	0x01426a…
05-20 20:56:25	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	86¢	$28	0x4a04b7…
05-20 20:56:09	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc0e524…
05-20 20:56:09	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0x1a6236…
05-20 20:55:32	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xac3208…
05-20 20:55:25	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x498847…
05-20 20:55:06	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x366e9d…
05-20 20:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	27	5¢	$1	0xf05f3e…
05-20 20:55:03	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0xddfef1…
05-20 20:55:03	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd1b471…
05-20 20:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x6022be…
05-20 20:54:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0xf87d6b…
05-20 20:54:45	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	24	2¢	$0	0x7af359…
05-20 20:54:45	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x499c54…
05-20 20:54:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x12219a…
05-20 20:54:38	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	21	16¢	$3	0x92b73b…
05-20 20:54:38	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	41	83¢	$34	0x4a759b…
05-20 20:48:20	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0xe012f9…
05-20 20:48:20	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x69b450…
05-20 20:48:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0xb5a5ee…
05-20 20:48:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	92¢	$26	0x9120be…
05-20 20:47:38	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0x770db5…
05-20 20:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x6388b2…
05-20 20:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x5c092b…
05-20 20:47:38	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	89¢	$28	0x2cadbc…
05-20 20:44:24	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x364e87…
05-20 20:44:20	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	27	3¢	$1	0x5ae4fb…
05-20 20:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x10a199…
05-20 20:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	29	8¢	$2	0x892a16…
05-20 20:42:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0xea65e2…
05-20 20:42:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x719131…
05-20 20:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	92¢	$31	0xa9ffa0…
05-20 20:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	24	8¢	$2	0x1e6220…
05-20 20:41:15	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0x767f71…
05-20 20:41:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	31	7¢	$2	0x676fe1…
05-20 20:40:33	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0xc82003…
05-20 20:40:31	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	89¢	$26	0xe9ae08…
05-20 20:40:05	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0xb8c32f…
05-20 20:40:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	94¢	$33	0x07fc05…
05-20 20:39:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x6e075b…
05-20 20:39:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x410eb9…
05-20 20:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0xd29eed…
05-20 20:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x50e633…
05-20 20:38:48	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x4d2212…
05-20 20:38:48	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	46	90¢	$41	0x3c2157…
05-20 20:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	24	9¢	$2	0xf7fbd6…
05-20 20:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x6b2ce0…
05-20 20:33:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	23	6¢	$2	0xfcf229…
05-20 20:33:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0x5cc6dd…
05-20 20:33:05	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x20680d…
05-20 20:33:05	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0x157653…
05-20 20:32:21	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0xd7ed35…
05-20 20:32:21	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x289bee…
05-20 20:26:52	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0xc033cb…
05-20 20:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x728972…
05-20 20:26:52	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x39534b…
05-20 20:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x46141e…
05-20 20:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x24acca…
05-20 20:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xdaabe4…
05-20 20:26:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0x97dfc4…
05-20 20:25:53	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x2c795f…
05-20 20:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x875976…
05-20 20:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x543670…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	187	$48.5K	3,399	05-20 21:07
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	185	$9.42K	1,373	05-20 21:09
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	182	$13.1K	1,406	05-20 21:09
(anonymous) 0x8176…709a	180	$3.93K	974	05-20 21:07
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	176	$4.76K	952	05-20 21:08
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	169	$7.04K	1,194	05-20 21:09
Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008	163	$24.3K	2,781	05-20 21:09
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	158	$40.0K	7,146	05-20 21:09