Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

72.5%

Resolved

100

Trades

493

lifetime

Volume

$3.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

7 positions

First seen

2026-10-13

last 10-28 16:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

63% 45% -$26

Politics

26% 65% +$43

Sports

10% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	+10	$13	95¢	$9	-$4	10-28 12:34
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+5	$1	26¢	$1	+$0	10-23 06:53
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+5	$1	26¢	$1	+$0	10-15 16:34
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+10	$1	10¢	$1	+$0	10-18 21:48
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	+47	$6	1¢	$0	-$5	10-28 00:42
perim island no longer under houthi control by october 31 20260916	Yes	+13	$3	1¢	$0	-$2	10-14 22:02
us imports russian diesel by october 31	Yes	+5	$0	2¢	$0	$0	10-16 04:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 15?	5	$235	230	230	+0	No	+$0	10-14 02:32
Will Rafael Fiziev fight Tom Nolan next?	9	$190	533	530	+3	open	—	10-14 00:57
Will the median home value in the US be between $415,000 and $419,000 on December 31?	13	$185	488	485	+3	open	—	10-13 23:02
Will Harry Kane be the top scorer of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	3	$181	243	243	+0	open	—	10-14 01:11
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be 720,000 or more?	17	$165	487	487	+0	open	—	10-14 07:22
Will Unai Simón (Athletic Club) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season?	13	$157	426	426	+0	open	—	10-14 11:03
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 15?	5	$139	287	286	+1	No	-$29	10-13 23:35
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	10	$103	91	91	+0	open	—	10-28 10:14
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	13	$75	95	95	+0	open	—	10-28 14:55
Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	7	$60	50	50	+0	open	—	10-28 10:38
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	4	$56	31	31	+0	open	—	10-28 02:00
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	4	$54	30	30	+0	open	—	10-28 01:47
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 15?	10	$46	105	101	+4	No	-$9	10-13 21:42
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	4	$45	29	29	+0	No	+$4	10-27 15:57
Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?	3	$41	24	24	+0	Yes	+$6	10-27 02:16
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	8	$40	42	42	+0	open	—	10-26 19:15
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	8	$39	39	29	+10	open	—	10-28 12:34
Will Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral election?	2	$38	22	22	+0	Yes	+$5	10-28 02:56
Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	2	$35	23	23	+0	open	—	10-28 09:24
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	4	$35	26	26	+0	open	—	10-27 22:14
Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	4	$34	21	21	+0	No	+$4	10-25 05:55
Will the biggest earthquake on October 26, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	2	$34	18	18	+0	Yes	+$1	10-27 02:28
Will the biggest earthquake on October 23, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	4	$34	18	18	+0	No	+$1	10-24 02:49
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	5	$33	23	23	+0	Yes	+$4	10-25 06:46
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	6	$32	26	26	+0	open	—	10-27 22:12
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	10-28 14:53
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	5	$27	35	35	+0	No	+$8	10-25 02:11
Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	10-28 00:23
Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	10-28 05:35
Will the biggest earthquake on October 26, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	2	$26	14	14	+0	No	+$1	10-26 23:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:30:47	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x948b1f…
10-28 17:17:38	Will Tradeweb (TW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x1fbdb9…
10-28 16:55:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	Yes	SELL	19	45¢	$9	0x4ccd78…
10-28 15:11:35	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0x16f657…
10-28 14:55:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0xcb5121…
10-28 14:53:35	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xd27fb2…
10-28 14:39:26	Will UKMTO publish 8-11 notices between October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x8993ba…
10-28 14:36:53	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x372d6b…
10-28 14:12:56	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xae979d…
10-28 14:12:56	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x01eb7c…
10-28 14:11:29	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xf7b0da…
10-28 14:00:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0xc9a5b1…
10-28 14:00:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0xf87a2a…
10-28 13:53:19	Will Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1f6a8d…
10-28 13:46:32	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x928245…
10-28 13:46:32	Will Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x592af9…
10-28 13:21:13	Will Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xc0c095…
10-28 13:13:58	Will Chipotle (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x54297d…
10-28 13:01:40	Will Chipotle (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa5a952…
10-28 12:53:31	Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x295560…
10-28 12:37:13	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0x29a6bc…
10-28 12:34:10	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x34036d…
10-28 11:42:05	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xf6d3e7…
10-28 10:38:17	Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0xcaedec…
10-28 10:14:04	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	22	70¢	$15	0x59caf8…
10-28 09:47:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xcf40e3…
10-28 09:44:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0xb03904…
10-28 09:24:16	Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x956629…
10-28 09:14:35	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x19c467…
10-28 09:07:50	Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x29ae55…
10-28 09:05:47	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0xe58f5b…
10-28 08:03:23	Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	23	77¢	$17	0xba5c8c…
10-28 07:52:05	Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xab701d…
10-28 07:51:17	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x5ad50b…
10-28 07:36:23	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	77¢	$16	0x3ba8ea…
10-28 07:33:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd8b031…
10-28 07:24:46	Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xed71b7…
10-28 07:23:44	Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0x8b3934…
10-28 07:10:10	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x081110…
10-28 07:02:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x8ded06…
10-28 06:13:43	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x2b80fa…
10-28 06:08:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0xbe52c7…
10-28 06:07:32	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	17	57¢	$10	0x5d2a83…
10-28 06:07:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x9ffbb5…
10-28 05:50:13	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0xa36fa7…
10-28 05:35:16	Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xdbdc87…
10-28 05:33:13	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0x0efba8…
10-28 05:16:37	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xed2e5d…
10-28 04:15:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x7a27de…
10-28 03:56:05	Will Shas win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0xddf271…
10-28 02:56:38	Will Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0xe2fbcf…
10-28 02:43:12	Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	No	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0xb4561d…
10-28 02:20:18	Will Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	22	76¢	$17	0xdaa795…
10-28 02:00:08	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x32bc05…
10-28 01:47:42	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x050520…
10-28 01:35:35	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0x1fe8bf…
10-28 01:08:44	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x303073…
10-28 00:44:29	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	18	50¢	$9	0x52ab42…
10-28 00:42:26	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	47	13¢	$6	0xe0c8b3…
10-28 00:41:24	Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0xa4086a…
10-28 00:24:32	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x007368…
10-28 00:23:26	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xb4e21f…
10-27 23:57:51	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x4856b2…
10-27 23:31:32	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x9d0fa1…
10-27 23:28:24	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0xdc8a9f…
10-27 22:53:32	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x373f06…
10-27 22:41:14	Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x6b5f5c…
10-27 22:39:11	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xf22cf3…
10-27 22:14:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0xe04e4b…
10-27 22:12:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0x81a563…
10-27 21:58:15	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x05eca3…
10-27 21:56:11	Will Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	15	51¢	$7	0x0eef91…
10-27 21:53:06	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x2eb6e5…
10-27 21:52:06	Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x4c2585…
10-27 21:37:47	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0xcd7b99…
10-27 21:32:11	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xdda67b…
10-27 21:32:11	Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x90c1cb…
10-27 21:32:02	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x3a0885…
10-27 20:50:05	Will Shas win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xaa5bb7…
10-27 20:34:39	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xa5d66c…
10-27 20:19:17	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x72c49e…
10-27 20:12:45	Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x157f08…
10-27 20:09:41	Will Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x8d1606…
10-27 20:09:02	Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xe5294b…
10-27 20:08:50	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x1a2d15…
10-27 20:06:47	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xb2291c…
10-27 20:06:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x607494…
10-27 20:06:47	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x2120e0…
10-27 19:18:30	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x8c807b…
10-27 17:32:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0xbe62fd…
10-27 16:06:06	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	54¢	$7	0xb1892d…
10-27 16:04:03	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xdc9c3c…
10-27 16:02:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x7623df…
10-27 15:57:05	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xab03e5…
10-27 15:28:08	Will the biggest earthquake on October 27, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	Yes	BUY	106	2¢	$2	0xd2e3cf…
10-27 15:22:56	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xa0fe5d…
10-27 14:56:36	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x493e60…
10-27 14:31:08	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xf68726…
10-27 13:50:21	Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x960eb2…
10-27 13:27:57	Will Labcorp (LH) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x99b78d…