Realized P&L
-$427
Unrealized P&L
-$58
Hit rate
53.7%
Resolved
71
Trades
140
lifetime
Volume
$3.45K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$236
11 positions
First seen
2026-09-20
last 10-26 13:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
51% 53% -$601
Politics
24% 56% +$163
Sports
19% 70% +$9
Crypto
4% 38% +$2
Tech
3% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +87 $63 88¢ $76 +$13 10-23 16:47
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? No +203 $68 28¢ $57 -$11 10-25 09:33
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +42 $30 68¢ $29 -$1 10-25 21:03
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +254 $63 9¢ $22 -$41 10-23 18:43
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +25 $14 72¢ $18 +$4 10-26 13:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +12 $9 92¢ $11 +$2 10-22 11:46
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +15 $9 69¢ $10 +$1 10-26 05:42
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +7 $5 88¢ $6 +$1 10-11 15:23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +38 $11 9¢ $3 -$7 10-26 08:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? Yes +136 $20 1¢ $2 -$18 10-12 17:16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +9 $2 10¢ $1 -$1 10-18 01:27