Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$360

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

243

Trades

1,347

lifetime

Volume

$3.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 08:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Other

99% 47% -$350

Sports

0% 20% -$4

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes		+100	$9	12¢	$12	+$2	11-01 00:15
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes		+100	$9	2¢	$2	-$7	11-01 00:15
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	—	+50	$8	0¢	$0	-$8	11-01 00:16
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes		+100	$9	0¢	$0	-$9	10-30 23:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will avatar fire and ash 5th weekend box office be between 13m and 14pt5m	4	$585	696	696	+0	Yes	-$339	01-20 14:08
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	16	$260	318	273	+45	Yes	+$45	03-20 15:12
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 165 189	8	$163	1,149	1,149	+0	No	-$89	01-20 21:18
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 140 164	13	$117	1,436	0	+1,436	No	-$117	03-21 11:48
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	19	$92	197	197	+0	No	$0	09-24 18:35
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 115 139	2	$85	77	77	+0	Yes	+$60	01-14 16:03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	57	$74	157	157	+0	No	+$1	08-07 05:54
will primate opening weekend box office be between 11m and 13m	2	$68	40	40	+0	Yes	+$13	01-12 21:36
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 140plus	6	$67	47	47	+0	Yes	+$27	01-07 16:45
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 540 559	11	$64	105	105	+0	Yes	+$32	01-16 16:50
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	6	$60	61	61	+0	No	+$0	03-20 11:34
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 540 559	4	$54	66	41	+25	No	+$18	01-06 16:22
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 140 164	9	$51	245	200	+45	No	+$1	01-14 16:45
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	34	$46	99	98	+1	No	+$1	08-04 04:00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	30	$43	84	84	+0	No	+$0	08-10 05:53
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	12	$40	86	86	+0	No	+$1	09-23 07:04
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 115 139	2	$40	53	53	+0	Yes	+$5	03-21 10:25
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	9	$39	27	22	+5	Yes	+$2	06-27 05:07
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	20	$37	53	53	+0	Yes	+$4	07-17 10:10
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 215 239	35	$37	1,491	0	+1,491	No	-$37	01-21 04:45
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 500 519	3	$36	36	36	+0	Yes	+$30	01-02 16:46
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 140 164	5	$33	80	80	+0	No	-$4	01-09 14:05
will the grinch be the 2 global netflix movie this week january 6 2026	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	-$1	01-06 13:13
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	11	$29	203	203	+0	No	-$3	07-11 10:29
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 360 379	2	$29	173	173	+0	No	-$2	03-20 11:15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	26	$28	127	127	+0	No	-$1	08-03 06:29
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	10	$28	49	49	+0	Yes	-$1	09-18 13:31
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	7	$28	22	17	+5	No	-$4	06-28 22:53
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	20	$27	60	60	+0	Yes	+$2	07-23 22:29
elon musk 48h tweets january 3 january 5 140plus	2	$25	18	18	+0	Yes	+$9	01-04 16:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 08:19:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x4f0504…
11-01 05:22:16	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xeb6021…
11-01 05:14:07	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x0dc72f…
11-01 03:06:31	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xaf4394…
11-01 02:05:49	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0xa07c86…
11-01 00:16:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x5ee750…
11-01 00:15:48	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xf75992…
11-01 00:15:03	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x258489…
10-31 17:38:46	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x4a3631…
10-31 17:00:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0x425d1c…
10-31 15:25:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0xf3b408…
10-31 15:25:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x54ddfa…
10-31 10:08:48	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xc91083…
10-31 10:08:33	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x4e72ef…
10-31 10:07:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x48acea…
10-31 09:41:52	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xcb944a…
10-30 23:31:25	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x60dfd1…
10-30 23:30:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x914169…
10-30 22:27:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	10¢	$3	0x938099…
10-30 21:55:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x6f93cd…
10-30 21:34:01	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x2f53f3…
10-30 20:42:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0xa3aaec…
10-30 20:41:52	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	10¢	$3	0x46f88d…
10-30 20:41:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x802bd7…
10-30 20:41:28	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xd15c0a…
10-30 20:41:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x5eb3b7…
10-30 20:24:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x3e1093…
10-30 19:45:36	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xfc9484…
10-30 18:58:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x120c43…
10-30 18:57:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xf346ae…
10-30 18:57:31	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x2d9607…
10-30 18:52:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x8539d2…
10-30 18:51:15	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x1be4ee…
10-30 18:50:39	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x9d53dd…
10-30 18:50:15	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x70cb33…
10-23 14:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xca1464…
10-23 14:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x5551d7…
10-23 14:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$2	0x1bf580…
10-23 14:51:47	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xf7bcf0…
10-23 14:51:47	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$1	0x345390…
10-23 14:51:47	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$2	0x0a990d…
10-23 12:48:53	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x3cd2ee…
10-22 11:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x6715cf…
10-22 10:24:02	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0xd6499b…
10-17 15:34:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5a8e2c…
10-17 14:32:17	elon musk of tweets october 20 october 27 2026 300 319	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x7b7a49…
10-17 14:32:06	elon musk of tweets october 20 october 27 2026 300 319	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x23ee10…
10-17 10:44:57	elon musk of tweets october 20 october 27 2026 300 319	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x3a90de…
10-17 06:44:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x6d78da…
10-16 22:49:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x6bd74e…
10-16 12:13:25	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x11f7f0…
10-16 02:28:19	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0x691e90…
10-15 03:25:58	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xc86288…
10-14 22:13:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x30a172…
10-14 21:56:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x764036…
10-14 21:55:49	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0xd4a35c…
10-08 14:11:59	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	18¢	$5	0xb47e86…
10-08 13:52:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	17¢	$4	0x5d9ca6…
10-08 10:32:41	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xe4c971…
10-08 10:32:26	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xa02a34…
10-08 10:27:38	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x0e611f…
10-08 06:00:37	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x71f700…
10-08 05:48:26	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x42169e…
10-08 05:45:25	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x5e0ea3…
10-08 04:33:53	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x14fcf6…
10-08 04:24:01	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0xba2f70…
10-08 04:17:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0xbfe595…
10-08 03:41:19	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x63208f…
10-08 03:29:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xd1aff1…
10-08 01:46:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xf74577…
10-08 01:43:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xdf20d2…
10-08 01:08:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x334903…
10-08 00:57:05	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xefb400…
10-08 00:56:19	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0xef58b2…
10-07 20:02:32	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x5cc7a1…
10-07 20:02:31	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xa24ace…
10-07 19:50:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x51805c…
10-07 17:20:41	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0x9b5a34…
10-07 17:05:11	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0xc12c78…
10-07 01:35:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	22¢	$4	0x6760f6…
10-07 01:28:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0x46cddc…
10-06 21:23:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	23¢	$4	0xca52f1…
10-06 21:13:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xdde422…
10-06 19:24:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	22¢	$4	0xfa6ecf…
10-06 19:17:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0xac8c2a…
10-05 02:20:35	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	12¢	$2	0xdfdbef…
10-05 02:10:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x16affe…
10-05 00:51:37	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	12¢	$4	0xa8f7bc…
10-05 00:40:19	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	12¢	$4	0x94611d…
10-04 19:23:43	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x61773a…
10-04 19:22:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x40ae28…
10-04 14:47:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x243a5b…
10-04 14:45:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x35b1a2…
10-02 23:06:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xc7e2dd…
10-02 23:06:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xd7af8b…
10-02 19:16:23	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x3bc37e…
10-02 19:13:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x934238…
10-01 19:25:50	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xab4bc9…
10-01 19:18:56	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x9f7cad…
10-01 18:24:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x2eb3e2…