Calculating-Diction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.1%

Resolved

838

Trades

866

lifetime

Volume

$8.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 11-01 02:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 162 days

Categories

Other

79% 98% -$3

Sports

17% 99% +$1

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:03
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-29 22:14
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-10 10:41
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:03
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:55
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
val th1 kc3 2026 07 26	1	$10	10	0	+10	Karmine Corp	+$0	07-26 20:06
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	1	$10	10	0	+10	Adrian Mannarino	+$0	10-07 06:29
Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 2 Austria?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-28 04:08
val srb adg 2026 06 18 game2	1	$10	10	0	+10	Shopify Rebellion Black	+$0	06-18 22:31
Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-18 22:39
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 4.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	05-13 12:01
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	06-23 02:03
Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	1	$10	10	0	+10	Taylor Fritz	+$0	10-23 16:52
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-16 04:21
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner	1	$10	10	0	+10	QoR	+$0	06-03 00:47
wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	1	$10	10	0	+10	Hayu Kinoshita	+$0	06-23 18:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:37:49	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb32175…
11-01 01:38:54	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04fa43…
11-01 01:09:45	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42e0f7…
11-01 00:43:13	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b37a4…
11-01 00:05:27	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d108f…
10-31 16:00:07	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb266c7…
10-31 00:26:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9fc12b…
10-30 23:54:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd93f2…
10-30 22:23:21	Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Valeriya Strakhova	Tatjana Maria	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8b222a…
10-30 16:24:40	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x62fff7…
10-29 15:14:20	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8fa22f…
10-27 13:12:08	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x315268…
10-25 09:31:02	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6e376…
10-24 19:01:02	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x354e8e…
10-24 13:22:20	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9c8347…
10-23 16:52:29	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8961e1…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee10d6…
10-21 17:12:36	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39814b…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x012e8f…
10-20 18:38:05	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x752085…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xffabcb…
10-15 20:32:48	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0e60e8…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c843b…
10-14 20:56:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c579c…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5debd…
10-13 20:58:57	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7540c…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x69467e…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb912e…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x985c64…
10-12 09:06:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6814ec…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x96bced…
10-11 10:26:14	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x86124b…
10-10 12:54:19	China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b5fbc…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc8b7d8…
10-10 10:21:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x2e4bdc…
10-09 02:09:51	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb80d89…
10-08 07:15:49	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe65ec8…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x872ecd…
10-07 05:49:08	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x465354…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfa07c…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ead99…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x22eb39…
10-04 23:23:10	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d7429…
10-04 20:17:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab3b83…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1157ce…
10-03 14:50:21	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55d5dd…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x044fbe…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf75cbb…
10-02 18:26:14	Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc40be…
10-02 14:15:39	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c5900…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc5fa6c…
10-01 22:20:05	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55fe88…
10-01 20:46:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d4a04…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xeb67f8…
10-01 12:07:02	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc55d91…
10-01 06:03:18	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe10e2b…
10-01 05:16:09	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f8b44…
09-30 23:54:48	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x52b9fe…
09-30 07:07:54	atp struff tirante 2026 09 29	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8447b9…
09-30 01:58:20	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66453f…
09-29 20:39:48	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x13e552…
09-29 13:58:50	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x12693c…
09-29 13:16:03	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13a781…
09-28 16:58:18	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae6465…
09-27 20:35:44	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde417e…
09-27 14:05:50	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d957e…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a772d…
09-27 12:13:44	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x208864…
09-27 02:13:38	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x43dd3f…
09-26 23:23:50	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61cd49…
09-26 20:01:35	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa67adf…
09-26 19:47:30	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab1ac9…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf226bc…
09-25 23:23:48	Army vs. Temple	Army	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f82c7…
09-25 22:57:42	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x02e769…
09-24 21:04:29	Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2303ce…
09-24 20:45:15	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf95d9f…
09-24 09:38:48	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0d5c21…
09-23 22:37:44	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ad099…
09-23 16:19:30	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76eccf…
09-23 04:45:13	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x172668…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd654f…
09-20 22:25:41	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd4a8ec…
09-20 21:08:25	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x825b03…
09-20 12:23:12	Counter-Strike: Color vs UPGRADE - Map 1 Winner	Color	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaae88d…
09-20 09:13:45	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2fa7a4…
09-20 02:59:36	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x515774…
09-20 01:26:39	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xefe836…
09-18 20:00:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeae84a…
09-18 19:14:45	Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Steur	Joelle Steur	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2e039e…
09-17 20:00:09	Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c8532…
09-17 17:27:09	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed37eb…
09-17 16:02:36	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce0fb2…
09-17 14:00:55	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b3904…
09-17 13:02:49	itf lagarr1 khazim1 2026 09 17	Florent Lagarrigue	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x162c71…
09-17 00:30:43	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ff9f1…
09-16 13:54:34	Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x452a83…
09-16 01:20:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x15249f…
09-16 00:09:54	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa36e08…
09-15 09:42:03	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9977f…