Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$505

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$30.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$167

Open exposure

$334

1 position

First seen

2026-02-14

last 10-29 17:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

96% 100% +$11,744

Tech

3% — —

Other

1% 0% -$102

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes		+18,544	$839	2¢	$334	-$505	10-29 17:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	3	$14.9K	13,210	13,210	+0	Yes	+$10,879	02-28 08:55
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	5	$14.9K	43,977	43,977	+0	Yes	+$865	02-22 13:14
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	166	$954	22,373	3,829	+18,544	open	—	10-29 17:41
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	1	$102	444	0	+444	Arsenal FC	-$102	10-21 15:44
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	10	$93	1,245	1,245	+0	open	—	10-22 10:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:41:56	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3,829	2¢	$57	0xf52af2…
10-29 09:47:32	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x4ea9c5…
10-29 09:47:32	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x163f19…
10-29 09:14:49	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x798e36…
10-29 08:25:02	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0x342dbf…
10-29 08:02:35	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,100	4¢	$44	0xcbb3b1…
10-29 07:09:22	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$4	0xc01005…
10-29 05:42:11	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	76	4¢	$3	0xf20f29…
10-29 05:05:56	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	170	4¢	$6	0xcf2550…
10-29 05:05:56	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xb23847…
10-29 05:05:26	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0xa83b72…
10-29 05:05:19	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5e68df…
10-29 05:05:17	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xdb3c3b…
10-29 05:05:17	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0xd64179…
10-29 05:05:17	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x98a041…
10-29 05:05:17	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x1d95d4…
10-29 04:05:52	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x696441…
10-29 03:40:28	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x7298b6…
10-29 01:42:13	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0xc8c957…
10-29 01:42:13	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xc32b0e…
10-29 01:42:13	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x5a9239…
10-29 01:42:13	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x460a82…
10-28 22:10:25	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xe694f1…
10-28 22:10:25	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	82	4¢	$3	0xc57bab…
10-28 20:51:37	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x9b7384…
10-28 19:41:16	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x338ace…
10-28 19:41:16	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x275bb7…
10-28 19:41:04	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x87e306…
10-28 19:41:02	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	114	4¢	$4	0xda2268…
10-28 19:41:01	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0xb23f5b…
10-28 19:41:01	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xadf562…
10-28 17:27:11	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xc541c6…
10-28 17:27:11	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x81c23c…
10-28 17:27:11	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5c38e6…
10-28 16:05:29	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xb7034f…
10-28 16:05:29	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x87b8bc…
10-28 16:05:29	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	84	4¢	$3	0x0c5a22…
10-28 15:48:40	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	82	4¢	$3	0xe6b9ef…
10-28 15:48:40	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	90	4¢	$4	0x71b3e8…
10-28 14:14:16	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xecfe26…
10-28 12:42:56	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0529cc…
10-28 12:27:43	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0xa857d4…
10-28 12:27:43	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x062dec…
10-28 12:14:14	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xee6881…
10-28 12:14:14	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x393397…
10-28 11:08:40	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	169	4¢	$7	0xd9d13e…
10-28 10:46:14	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x1b300a…
10-28 10:46:08	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0xfa8eaa…
10-28 10:46:08	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x4a17bf…
10-28 10:28:22	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x2972e8…
10-28 10:28:07	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	639	4¢	$24	0xe53eaf…
10-28 09:32:56	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xf88e3b…
10-28 09:32:56	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xdd3fde…
10-28 09:16:13	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xb1cd43…
10-28 08:28:44	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	180	4¢	$6	0xfe1167…
10-28 08:20:38	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x2c34a3…
10-28 08:02:07	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x108d74…
10-28 05:16:50	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$1	0x834afd…
10-28 04:31:11	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$4	0x8a719b…
10-28 04:31:11	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x48e642…
10-28 04:31:11	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0dcdda…
10-28 04:05:55	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xe45cce…
10-27 23:52:24	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	39	4¢	$1	0x0bb476…
10-27 23:52:23	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xac16fa…
10-27 23:52:23	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xa79caa…
10-27 23:52:23	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa16bd7…
10-27 23:52:23	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x51b78c…
10-27 22:12:56	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x292f0a…
10-27 22:12:47	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$0	0xc170f0…
10-27 22:12:47	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x4e609e…
10-27 22:12:47	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x001e71…
10-27 22:12:39	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xb82c68…
10-27 22:04:33	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xdfdb40…
10-27 22:04:33	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x52e581…
10-27 22:04:33	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	90	4¢	$3	0x185459…
10-27 22:04:33	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	84	4¢	$3	0x01d432…
10-27 22:04:05	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x7bb6fe…
10-27 22:04:05	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x650ec1…
10-27 22:04:05	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x50bce9…
10-27 22:04:03	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc0778d…
10-27 22:04:03	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x61f31f…
10-27 20:16:29	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	63	4¢	$2	0x005fb3…
10-27 20:15:36	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x00b8ee…
10-27 20:15:08	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	83	3¢	$3	0x44dae7…
10-27 18:39:36	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x1285f8…
10-27 18:38:05	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	760	3¢	$24	0xeafc8d…
10-27 17:24:47	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x94dbe9…
10-27 10:39:12	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x354e78…
10-27 10:34:48	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	528	3¢	$17	0x312b29…
10-27 10:34:26	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,222	3¢	$39	0xe59d40…
10-27 10:34:03	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,500	3¢	$48	0xe14945…
10-27 10:33:41	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,500	3¢	$47	0x61bfdd…
10-27 08:27:30	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	545	2¢	$13	0xbab6dd…
10-27 08:27:06	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	96	2¢	$2	0x2def8d…
10-26 18:35:15	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,100	3¢	$35	0xbecf0f…
10-26 18:26:26	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x9d0ea3…
10-26 18:26:26	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x673382…
10-26 18:26:26	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x62271c…
10-26 17:38:29	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x532de5…
10-26 16:28:15	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x861bb0…