Alarmed-Flint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$137

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.3%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$2.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 05-20 11:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

92% 79% -$121

Crypto

8% 11% -$16

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 15c	2	$208	109	109	+0	No	+$8	03-04 14:07
will ethereum dip to 800 in february 2026	2	$203	102	102	+0	No	+$1	02-25 12:16
highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 18c	2	$201	102	102	+0	No	+$1	03-04 12:56
highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 14c	4	$195	100	100	+0	No	+$5	04-22 12:49
highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 15c	5	$190	100	100	+0	No	+$8	04-20 11:29
highest temperature in ankara on april 21 2026 18c	2	$186	100	99	+1	No	+$7	04-21 13:29
highest temperature in london on march 20 2026 16c	2	$186	100	100	+0	No	+$8	03-20 07:04
highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 14c	6	$183	100	100	+0	No	+$11	04-19 09:19
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?	6	$150	100	100	+0	No	-$30	05-06 14:48
highest temperature in london on march 26 2026 12c	1	$96	101	0	+101	No	+$5	03-25 10:31
highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 17c	2	$96	100	0	+100	No	+$4	03-23 09:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?	1	$96	100	0	+100	Yes	-$96	04-26 12:40
highest temperature in london on march 17 2026 13c	4	$92	100	0	+100	No	+$8	03-16 11:00
highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 8c	1	$92	102	0	+102	No	+$10	03-24 11:08
highest temperature in london on march 24 2026 13c	5	$89	101	0	+101	Yes	-$89	03-24 11:09
highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 16c	2	$88	100	0	+100	No	+$12	04-22 13:12
highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 16c	5	$88	100	0	+100	No	+$12	04-15 10:51
highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 14c	2	$85	100	0	+100	No	+$15	03-23 05:14
highest temperature in london on april 12 2026 13c	3	$85	100	0	+100	No	+$15	04-10 23:04
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?	1	$82	90	0	+90	No	+$8	05-04 10:14
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 28?	3	$78	42	42	+0	No	+$4	04-28 07:30
highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 17corhigher	3	$29	100	0	+100	No	-$29	04-03 08:22
highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 18c	2	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$1	04-14 04:13
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	1	$12	100	0	+100	No	-$12	05-20 11:19
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	01-22 12:26
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	01-22 12:29
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-22 12:28
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	-$5	01-22 12:29
will grok 4pt20 be released on january 27 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	01-26 09:39
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	02-25 12:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 11:19:49	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x9bc49d…
05-06 14:48:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?	No	SELL	77	60¢	$46	0xe36e24…
05-06 14:46:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?	No	SELL	23	60¢	$14	0xc8a681…
05-05 18:09:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0xae9e87…
05-05 18:08:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$13	0x3d7358…
05-05 07:43:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?	No	BUY	55	90¢	$49	0x0718d9…
05-05 05:50:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0x254097…
05-04 10:14:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?	No	BUY	90	91¢	$82	0x649f0b…
04-28 07:30:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0b57b1…
04-28 07:25:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 28?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x1a6de8…
04-26 21:20:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 28?	No	BUY	42	89¢	$37	0x0b6197…
04-26 12:40:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xc482d0…
04-22 13:12:02	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 16c	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x0af192…
04-22 12:51:52	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 16c	No	BUY	98	88¢	$87	0xff8700…
04-22 12:49:42	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 14c	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xe6d523…
04-22 06:07:22	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 14c	No	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0xeee35d…
04-21 18:50:04	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 14c	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x8fe4d2…
04-21 18:22:22	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 14c	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xe3271d…
04-21 13:29:58	highest temperature in ankara on april 21 2026 18c	No	SELL	99	97¢	$97	0x0c86a5…
04-21 09:26:54	highest temperature in ankara on april 21 2026 18c	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xf6ede9…
04-20 11:29:32	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 15c	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x700273…
04-20 11:29:28	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 15c	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6fc2d8…
04-20 11:29:28	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 15c	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x144c6f…
04-20 11:29:14	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 15c	No	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0x5add64…
04-19 17:17:08	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 15c	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x8f6983…
04-19 09:19:58	highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 14c	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x6e8081…
04-17 12:05:20	highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 14c	No	BUY	65	86¢	$56	0xfe6302…
04-17 11:46:20	highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 14c	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x55fb93…
04-17 11:14:22	highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 14c	No	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xe1ddbd…
04-17 09:19:44	highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 14c	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xa8420f…
04-17 09:08:34	highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 14c	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xec9506…
04-15 10:51:40	highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 16c	No	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x156ad6…
04-15 10:50:46	highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 16c	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x043933…
04-15 10:44:34	highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 16c	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xcbcce4…
04-15 10:43:36	highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 16c	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x4dd1bd…
04-15 10:43:18	highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 16c	No	BUY	44	88¢	$39	0x5f34e9…
04-14 04:13:57	highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 18c	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x55153a…
04-13 18:08:29	highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 18c	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x4af191…
04-10 23:04:21	highest temperature in london on april 12 2026 13c	No	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0xe14886…
04-10 22:59:03	highest temperature in london on april 12 2026 13c	No	BUY	67	85¢	$57	0x4dfe70…
04-10 22:48:23	highest temperature in london on april 12 2026 13c	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0xcd6c37…
04-03 08:22:03	highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 17corhigher	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xeaa570…
04-03 08:21:37	highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 17corhigher	Yes	BUY	48	29¢	$14	0x1f7066…
04-03 08:21:13	highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 17corhigher	Yes	BUY	38	29¢	$11	0x5f2e22…
03-25 10:31:03	highest temperature in london on march 26 2026 12c	No	BUY	101	96¢	$96	0x50fc95…
03-24 11:09:49	highest temperature in london on march 24 2026 13c	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xb70843…
03-24 11:08:57	highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 8c	No	BUY	102	90¢	$92	0xb8ef58…
03-24 11:01:45	highest temperature in london on march 24 2026 13c	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x40d9be…
03-24 10:59:47	highest temperature in london on march 24 2026 13c	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x5525e3…
03-24 10:59:01	highest temperature in london on march 24 2026 13c	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x7d9b3b…
03-24 10:59:01	highest temperature in london on march 24 2026 13c	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x4bc8a1…
03-23 09:24:11	highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 17c	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x2c54b2…
03-23 09:22:33	highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 17c	No	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x63685a…
03-23 05:14:39	highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 14c	No	BUY	86	85¢	$73	0x8774d8…
03-23 05:14:19	highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 14c	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x380b0b…
03-20 07:04:47	highest temperature in london on march 20 2026 16c	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x1ca94b…
03-19 20:43:33	highest temperature in london on march 20 2026 16c	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xe87d9e…
03-16 11:00:23	highest temperature in london on march 17 2026 13c	No	BUY	83	92¢	$76	0x5dd7e9…
03-16 10:52:19	highest temperature in london on march 17 2026 13c	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x768479…
03-16 10:35:55	highest temperature in london on march 17 2026 13c	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x61d12b…
03-16 10:32:01	highest temperature in london on march 17 2026 13c	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x89a37f…
03-04 14:07:55	highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 15c	No	SELL	109	100¢	$108	0x590808…
03-04 12:56:43	highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 15c	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x9cc102…
03-04 12:56:21	highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 18c	No	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0x4d78c3…
03-04 09:43:55	highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 18c	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xe8910a…
02-25 12:20:16	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa9d58a…
02-25 12:19:58	will company c be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x319a11…
02-25 12:16:42	will ethereum dip to 800 in february 2026	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x4479ab…
02-19 08:35:32	ethereum above 2300 on february 19	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x20378c…
02-19 08:34:50	highest temperature in london on february 19 2026 6c	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x418549…
02-19 08:26:06	bitcoin above 76k on february 19	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5cb717…
02-19 08:25:38	highest temperature in london on february 20 2026 5corbelow	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1e7c06…
02-19 08:25:06	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 220 239	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb3b327…
02-11 12:59:11	xrp above 1pt8 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd3717c…
02-11 12:58:29	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 280 299	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7f5632…
02-11 12:58:15	ethereum above 2300 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3ccbcb…
02-11 12:57:57	bitcoin above 74k on february 11	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd05070…
02-10 13:53:33	will ethereum dip to 800 in february 2026	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x799407…
02-10 13:53:11	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x3c577e…
02-10 13:52:59	will grok 4pt20 be released on february 10 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf778a3…
02-10 13:52:37	ethereum above 2400 on february 10	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x69c029…
02-10 13:48:27	will turbotax file your tax return be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa71d46…
02-10 13:48:05	bitcoin above 78k on february 10	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbc0b65…
02-10 13:47:53	solana above 150 on february 10	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd3f42d…
02-05 17:39:25	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 240 259	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe20f81…
02-05 17:38:49	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 400 419	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7d6473…
02-05 17:37:05	bitcoin above 92k on february 6	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb04a60…
02-05 17:36:51	will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on february 6	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x986225…
01-30 13:08:00	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0a894d…
01-30 13:07:32	will grok 4pt20 not be released by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2a37ef…
01-30 13:06:34	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 30	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6cd7aa…
01-30 13:06:22	bitcoin above 94k on january 30	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7786e1…
01-28 11:02:13	highest temperature in london on january 29 4corbelow	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x18c332…
01-28 11:01:01	solana above 180 on january 28	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe8d634…
01-28 09:35:49	will there be at least 500 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026 onf	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa9b3dc…
01-28 09:35:35	will the us next strike iran on january 28 2026 et 699	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x55263c…
01-28 09:35:23	highest temperature in seoul on january 29 neg 5c	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xeb9e5f…
01-28 09:34:43	bitcoin above 98k on january 28	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc23bd7…
01-28 09:34:33	bitcoin above 94k on january 28	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf76db7…
01-26 09:39:53	highest temperature in london on january 27 5c	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa08445…