Fluid-Supernatural — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$173

Unrealized P&L

+$97

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

145

Trades

315

lifetime

Volume

$3.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$97

1 position

First seen

2026-05-13

last 10-13 07:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

74% 61% +$269

Politics

22% 33% -$109

Sports

3% 73% +$26

Tech

0% 33% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	No		+100	$0	97¢	$97	+$97	08-17 18:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	17	$359	567	567	+0	Yes	+$8	06-18 05:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	5	$297	304	304	+0	No	-$107	06-18 07:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$250	152	152	+0	No	+$50	07-19 10:21
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	6	$247	160	160	+0	No	+$65	08-13 16:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$201	133	133	+0	No	+$3	07-07 03:43
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	3	$201	120	120	+0	No	+$37	09-15 13:33
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	8	$103	90	90	+0	No	+$10	07-10 20:30
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$102	100	100	+0	Argentina	-$72	07-07 17:32
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	4	$88	200	100	+100	open	—	08-17 18:30
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	2	$78	50	50	+0	No	+$18	08-13 16:37
val ge1 fs1 2026 06 09	3	$72	88	0	+88	Global Esports	+$2	06-09 19:31
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$58	180	180	+0	Yes	-$2	06-13 08:28
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	3	$53	90	0	+90	open	—	10-07 14:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?	1	$50	113	0	+113	Yes	+$63	06-15 16:15
Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	2	$44	60	0	+60	open	—	09-09 07:54
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$42	50	50	+0	No	+$22	06-22 23:36
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	2	$40	100	100	+0	open	—	08-15 18:08
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?	6	$34	50	50	+0	No	+$6	06-18 14:45
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 9?	4	$34	27	27	+0	Yes	+$20	09-09 15:33
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	6	$34	50	50	+0	open	—	09-19 07:36
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$34	20	20	+0	Yes	+$6	09-14 09:47
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?	6	$33	50	50	+0	Yes	+$9	06-22 13:04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 25?	3	$32	36	16	+20	No	-$3	08-25 14:30
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	4	$27	16	16	+0	No	+$5	07-10 20:30
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	6	$26	30	30	+0	No	-$16	09-20 17:33
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	3	$26	20	20	+0	No	+$10	08-30 20:04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?	3	$25	36	20	+16	No	+$3	06-23 11:32
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	2	$23	50	50	+0	open	—	09-19 07:36
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	06-17 11:05
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 9?	5	$20	12	12	+0	No	+$0	07-08 18:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 07:17:52	Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x28d5bf…
10-07 14:03:19	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x4f4dd9…
10-06 19:55:17	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xa98ea1…
09-25 08:01:32	Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x5eeb9f…
09-20 17:33:06	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0xafbfa0…
09-19 07:36:25	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0xd8472a…
09-19 07:36:19	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x210131…
09-19 07:30:40	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x701973…
09-15 20:14:51	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xf0f288…
09-15 16:25:21	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x62dbc2…
09-15 15:17:07	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	36¢	$1	0xd9bf36…
09-15 13:33:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x388bed…
09-15 12:10:40	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x59d2f2…
09-15 11:24:58	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x06ed69…
09-15 11:01:25	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xe8a2b8…
09-15 05:03:15	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x34afbc…
09-15 03:18:58	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa0580d…
09-15 01:33:42	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0ac94a…
09-14 20:00:58	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0fa0bb…
09-14 09:47:27	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x607520…
09-10 05:25:42	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x8495d5…
09-09 15:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 9?	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x9f8961…
09-09 15:04:24	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x988535…
09-09 15:02:18	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xec00be…
09-09 14:56:45	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb93bab…
09-09 08:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x5c8674…
09-09 07:54:52	Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x75f2d3…
09-09 05:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xcd21fb…
09-09 05:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x09db42…
09-07 19:19:03	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x075ddf…
09-05 20:21:04	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x58397c…
09-04 17:35:13	Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x773688…
09-02 12:34:48	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x84721e…
08-30 20:04:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0384bb…
08-25 14:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 25?	No	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0x03a55d…
08-25 14:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x3167f7…
08-25 14:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 25?	No	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0x9838ff…
08-17 18:30:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	99	44¢	$43	0xbc4e29…
08-17 12:57:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0xbc9ae3…
08-15 18:08:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0xcf887d…
08-15 03:27:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xf02be0…
08-13 16:37:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x57ce23…
08-13 16:36:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	160	97¢	$156	0x43a00a…
08-13 15:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xaad99a…
08-13 15:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa673b9…
08-06 09:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x226941…
08-05 13:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4bd169…
08-05 13:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x388bb0…
08-03 07:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x943276…
07-31 11:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x650584…
07-28 17:31:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x486cba…
07-27 19:45:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x56d6ac…
07-27 19:38:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xdbf653…
07-27 19:33:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x8950e9…
07-25 15:28:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x29f1ad…
07-25 13:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xe37c49…
07-25 13:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xfcfefb…
07-25 12:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x475b0a…
07-25 12:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x19539b…
07-25 12:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x73a16f…
07-25 11:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb203d6…
07-25 11:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xd04133…
07-25 11:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xa7b39f…
07-25 00:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x9d626c…
07-25 00:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x9cb034…
07-24 09:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x40fd81…
07-24 09:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xcf312f…
07-24 09:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xc022e1…
07-23 13:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x7a1c77…
07-23 13:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x2b58ff…
07-23 12:49:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0x77b527…
07-23 11:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x080eec…
07-23 11:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x9926fb…
07-22 14:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x301794…
07-19 10:21:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	152	99¢	$150	0x298243…
07-15 20:40:10	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa2cd0f…
07-13 15:40:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 13?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x42b869…
07-13 12:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 13?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xb6b75b…
07-13 12:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xe9da18…
07-13 12:14:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x7140e8…
07-13 06:43:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x6909e9…
07-12 12:48:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2f7743…
07-12 11:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 12?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4e9c9b…
07-12 11:40:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 12?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0xc0b68d…
07-12 10:21:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xfed619…
07-12 10:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb0d17f…
07-12 10:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7869de…
07-12 10:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x7fb354…
07-12 10:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x3089eb…
07-12 10:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xddc585…
07-11 10:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x569ad9…
07-11 10:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x593134…
07-11 10:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd11beb…
07-11 09:56:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x7486fa…
07-10 20:30:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xc8d2c8…
07-10 20:30:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x1f2ecd…
07-10 19:42:26	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x6e39dd…
07-10 05:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xc92ef2…
07-10 05:08:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xf0bbca…
07-10 05:08:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x84ea06…