Separate-Ethnicity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

Trades

285

lifetime

Volume

$17.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-04 22:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 60% +$9

Politics

3% — —

Other

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes		-30	$-1	3¢	$-1	+$0	06-04 16:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$800	808	0	+808	open	—	04-28 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	6	$726	823	823	+0	open	—	04-28 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$652	398	330	+67	open	—	04-28 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$589	623	623	+0	open	—	04-28 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	5	$567	677	543	+133	open	—	04-28 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$540	518	518	+0	open	—	04-28 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	7	$533	870	770	+100	open	—	04-28 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$522	895	744	+151	open	—	04-28 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$468	489	489	+0	open	—	04-29 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	6	$467	562	358	+204	open	—	04-28 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$462	479	479	+0	open	—	04-28 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	5	$446	627	427	+200	open	—	04-28 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$438	633	512	+121	open	—	04-28 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$428	518	302	+215	open	—	04-28 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$419	487	487	+0	open	—	04-28 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$406	466	466	+0	open	—	04-28 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	3	$396	300	300	+0	open	—	04-28 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$387	384	384	+0	open	—	04-28 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	5	$384	555	423	+133	open	—	04-28 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$368	557	318	+239	open	—	04-28 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$329	562	562	+0	open	—	04-28 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	5	$319	688	588	+100	open	—	04-28 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	6	$289	435	343	+92	open	—	04-28 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	4	$267	788	248	+541	open	—	04-28 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$258	506	381	+125	open	—	04-28 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$254	394	263	+131	open	—	04-28 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$246	395	395	+0	open	—	04-28 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$242	332	332	+0	open	—	04-28 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$232	270	270	+0	open	—	04-28 22:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	6	$232	387	387	+0	open	—	04-28 18:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 22:35:27	btc updown 15m 1780612200	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x8b5ec2…
06-04 17:05:27	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x26c4a7…
06-04 17:04:42	btc updown 15m 1780592400	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd852e8…
06-04 17:04:13	btc updown 5m 1780592400	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x934d32…
06-04 17:00:43	eth updown 5m 1780592400	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe29271…
06-04 17:00:27	btc updown 5m 1780592400	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xfb7553…
06-04 16:59:10	eth updown 5m 1780592100	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xcad147…
06-04 16:57:46	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xfa835f…
05-15 16:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x162018…
05-15 16:18:28	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x8d008c…
05-13 20:56:21	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x551e4b…
05-13 20:51:03	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	No	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x1766d2…
05-13 20:50:30	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x52bc98…
05-13 20:50:21	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xc2ade4…
05-11 13:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x18fa61…
05-11 13:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xea1857…
05-06 21:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x85e6f9…
05-06 21:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd5f2b3…
05-05 20:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6d55b0…
05-04 16:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xbb08ba…
05-04 14:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7d6290…
05-04 14:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x466b1d…
04-30 04:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4b2443…
04-30 04:15:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 29?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x0cf083…
04-29 19:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x729fee…
04-29 18:11:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	98	72¢	$70	0x55fe80…
04-29 18:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x83c157…
04-29 18:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xcc84c5…
04-29 17:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x219a2c…
04-29 17:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x19e551…
04-29 17:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	85	17¢	$14	0xd19a84…
04-29 17:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xb3cea5…
04-29 17:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x32616f…
04-29 17:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xec5979…
04-29 17:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb20d3b…
04-29 17:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x05dee9…
04-29 17:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	36	73¢	$26	0xc81814…
04-29 17:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xb51939…
04-29 17:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xcc4a84…
04-29 17:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x1aeed3…
04-29 17:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	21	60¢	$13	0x15832a…
04-29 17:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xfe23e1…
04-29 16:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xffd8d6…
04-29 16:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xec3bf5…
04-29 16:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	25	48¢	$12	0xe047a8…
04-29 16:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x6e8fd8…
04-29 16:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x79b99b…
04-29 13:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x34d3f9…
04-29 13:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	34	50¢	$17	0xe81a9a…
04-29 13:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x7e10cc…
04-29 12:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xeac91c…
04-29 12:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x49e3c6…
04-29 12:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6b5765…
04-29 12:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x704334…
04-29 12:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x12c237…
04-29 12:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb5c62b…
04-29 12:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	103	13¢	$14	0x9ffd01…
04-29 12:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0x2f7dbf…
04-29 12:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xf9c58e…
04-29 12:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	28	20¢	$6	0x531161…
04-29 12:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x790d59…
04-29 12:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfea655…
04-29 12:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	24	59¢	$14	0x216e7f…
04-29 12:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xef5adb…
04-29 12:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xde5e1f…
04-29 12:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x41b831…
04-29 12:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x8096e1…
04-29 11:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf9e3ca…
04-29 11:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	125	99¢	$124	0xcfd7bc…
04-29 11:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x175dfd…
04-29 11:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	364	64¢	$234	0x191b08…
04-29 11:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	364	27¢	$100	0xeca81b…
04-29 11:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x65f50a…
04-29 11:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x63f6d4…
04-29 11:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xeebac6…
04-29 11:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xdcaa03…
04-29 11:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	31	43¢	$13	0xfaf361…
04-29 11:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xcc9bb2…
04-29 02:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xf7c7bf…
04-29 01:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xb8219f…
04-29 01:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x81a60e…
04-28 23:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x884200…
04-28 23:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	390	26¢	$100	0xb6a4ce…
04-28 23:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x2137f5…
04-28 23:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	346	29¢	$100	0x46a19a…
04-28 23:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	332	43¢	$142	0x069d18…
04-28 23:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	332	30¢	$100	0xe34f5b…
04-28 23:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	562	23¢	$129	0xbde430…
04-28 23:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	562	36¢	$200	0x1911e6…
04-28 23:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	234	43¢	$100	0xa484a2…
04-28 23:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x8394c7…
04-28 23:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x58811c…
04-28 23:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x910231…
04-28 23:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	63	76¢	$47	0x5ca213…
04-28 23:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x07c8c1…
04-28 23:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	280	40¢	$111	0xf22ba4…
04-28 23:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	280	36¢	$100	0x625de6…
04-28 23:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xc9eda4…
04-28 23:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	381	39¢	$148	0x12b88d…
04-28 23:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	381	26¢	$100	0x22871a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	105	$43.4K	6,874	06-04 22:42
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	104	$114.7K	15,603	06-04 22:43
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	104	$46.9K	2,061	06-08 11:31
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	104	$42.3K	6,422	06-04 22:41
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	104	$36.5K	10,389	06-04 22:43
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	104	$34.8K	9,727	06-04 22:43
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	104	$17.8K	1,004	06-04 22:40
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	102	$9.22K	824	06-04 22:44