Pessimistic-Vestment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$317

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved

Trades

234

lifetime

Volume

$1.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-11 23:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 44% $-293

Other

6% 25% $-24

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	7	$75	75	75	+0	Down	+$15	05-10 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	5	$54	42	42	+0	Down	+$22	05-11 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	4	$46	31	31	+0	Up	+$16	05-10 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	6	$44	43	43	+0	Up	+$4	05-11 21:59
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulp	2	$43	29	29	+0	Karen Khachanov	+$14	05-10 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	4	$37	22	22	+0	Up	+$7	05-10 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	7	$35	78	0	+78	Down	$-35	05-10 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	4	$32	29	29	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$30	41	41	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	3	$30	92	0	+92	Down	$-30	05-10 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	6	$25	38	0	+38	Up	$-25	05-10 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$25	22	22	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$25	38	0	+38	Down	+$13	05-10 18:00
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik	1	$25	41	0	+41	Learner Tien	$-25	05-10 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	5	$25	50	0	+50	Up	$-25	05-10 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$24	43	0	+43	Down	$-24	05-11 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	3	$23	28	28	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	5	$22	41	0	+41	Down	$-22	05-10 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$21	45	0	+45	Down	$-21	05-11 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	6	$21	40	0	+40	Up	+$19	05-11 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$20	34	0	+34	Up	+$13	05-10 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$20	52	0	+52	Down	+$32	05-10 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$20	60	0	+60	Up	$-20	05-10 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	4	$20	111	0	+111	Up	$-20	05-10 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	7	$19	47	0	+47	Up	$-19	05-11 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$17	34	0	+34	Up	$-17	05-11 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$16	25	14	+11	Up	+$7	05-10 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	3	$15	35	0	+35	Down	$-15	05-11 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$15	34	0	+34	Up	$-15	05-10 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$15	30	0	+30	Down	$-15	05-10 23:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 23:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfc6ee9…
05-11 23:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb22747…
05-11 23:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x60b1c0…
05-11 23:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x2f664a…
05-11 23:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x27cd17…
05-11 23:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x89da90…
05-11 23:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x35d0f6…
05-11 23:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe412e6…
05-11 23:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2f91fd…
05-11 23:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xf6c257…
05-11 23:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xbfbdca…
05-11 23:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xb3769b…
05-11 23:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x1cab89…
05-11 23:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x5c04d5…
05-11 23:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x981562…
05-11 23:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xfb5de6…
05-11 23:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6b60c9…
05-11 23:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xaabb4e…
05-11 23:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfeafe9…
05-11 23:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xf6b2d4…
05-11 23:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x188ff1…
05-11 23:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x38f225…
05-11 23:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xf50abb…
05-11 22:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5d6117…
05-11 22:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0xcfd53b…
05-11 22:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x0055b3…
05-11 22:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x1c7030…
05-11 22:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xd44248…
05-11 22:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x2a8b46…
05-11 22:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x271b5c…
05-11 22:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf7e189…
05-11 22:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x3ff948…
05-11 22:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x88c24c…
05-11 22:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x812652…
05-11 22:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x519e27…
05-11 22:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xd7ccf2…
05-11 22:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x46a3fd…
05-11 22:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x2fce0c…
05-11 22:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xc40011…
05-11 22:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x108276…
05-11 22:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x45ffc6…
05-11 22:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x7330b5…
05-11 22:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	42	91¢	$38	0x6203ff…
05-11 22:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x4b397d…
05-11 22:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xa1c00a…
05-11 22:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x3717a1…
05-11 22:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x329ba4…
05-11 22:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x3b8630…
05-11 22:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xd555fb…
05-11 22:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xdb4258…
05-11 22:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xa2fe28…
05-11 22:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xb068d3…
05-11 22:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xc9d2b5…
05-11 22:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x7b446a…
05-11 22:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xfa2e7b…
05-11 22:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x8fab48…
05-11 22:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xbd69f7…
05-11 22:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x6c1093…
05-11 22:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xe98ca7…
05-11 21:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	43	56¢	$24	0x1457b2…
05-11 21:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x7cd747…
05-11 21:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x212305…
05-11 21:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x00f396…
05-11 21:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x565179…
05-11 21:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x526464…
05-11 21:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xff0257…
05-11 21:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xb77f0f…
05-11 21:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x55881c…
05-11 21:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xa9b8c0…
05-11 21:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x5771fc…
05-11 21:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xe5a9a4…
05-11 21:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x350fa6…
05-11 17:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x862834…
05-11 17:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x42cefe…
05-11 17:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xf70aaf…
05-11 17:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xee6279…
05-11 17:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x4fb7b9…
05-11 17:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xc4b8d4…
05-11 17:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x3e326d…
05-11 17:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xc97257…
05-11 17:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x1bccc4…
05-11 17:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd6eb86…
05-11 17:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x94f3f2…
05-11 16:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc475d8…
05-11 16:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf84d05…
05-11 16:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x2924f2…
05-11 16:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	41	39¢	$16	0x6b2450…
05-11 16:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xc9f3e8…
05-11 16:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xfe54c9…
05-11 16:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x8545e5…
05-11 16:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xf9aded…
05-11 16:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x1bcadc…
05-11 16:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb34ef5…
05-11 16:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	22	71¢	$15	0x245359…
05-11 16:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x8fdd24…
05-11 16:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x59b159…
05-11 16:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5d47f5…
05-11 16:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xabc2b0…
05-11 16:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb1d57d…
05-11 16:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb48bae…