Tasty-Watcher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$329

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

1,469

Trades

3,843

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-08 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 47% -$315

Other

10% 44% -$20

Sports

0% 67% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 3pm et	10	$484	375	374	+1	Up	-$9	03-19 19:49
cs2 run2 ursa 2026 03 24	7	$335	194	194	+0	Ursa	$0	03-24 13:22
cs2 tdk ursa 2026 03 24	10	$296	223	223	+0	Ursa	-$13	03-24 21:54
bitcoin above 72k on march 20	2	$121	64	64	+0	No	+$1	03-20 13:44
khamenei of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 0 19	2	$120	67	67	+0	Yes	-$2	03-21 09:02
will mrbeasts next video get between 62 and 65 million views on day 3	4	$82	71	71	+0	Yes	+$2	03-24 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 05:00 UTC	5	$78	47	42	+5	Up	+$3	03-18 05:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 11:50 UTC	4	$70	116	116	+0	Down	+$40	03-18 11:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 15:45 UTC	2	$69	42	42	+0	Down	-$5	03-28 15:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 13:00 UTC	3	$65	162	162	+0	Down	+$43	03-18 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 06:35 UTC	3	$64	71	30	+41	Down	-$4	03-18 06:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 13:35 UTC	3	$63	48	28	+20	Up	-$7	03-18 13:39
bitcoin up or down on march 24 2026	5	$63	78	77	+1	Down	-$7	03-24 09:43
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 11pm et	7	$62	76	60	+16	Up	+$2	03-18 03:55
mlbb rrq onic 2026 03 29	2	$60	38	38	+0	ONIC	-$4	03-29 06:55
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 1am et	4	$49	51	24	+28	Down	-$1	03-20 06:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 05:25 UTC	3	$49	39	26	+13	Down	+$4	03-18 05:30
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 6am et	2	$47	43	42	+1	Down	+$9	03-18 10:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 13:20 UTC	3	$44	48	20	+29	Up	-$6	03-18 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 05:20 UTC	4	$44	39	38	+0	Down	+$6	03-18 05:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 04:05 UTC	5	$44	43	43	+0	Down	+$5	03-18 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 05:15 UTC	3	$43	30	20	+11	Down	-$4	03-18 05:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 06:50 UTC	4	$41	42	42	+1	Up	-$3	03-18 06:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 22:30 UTC	2	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	03-25 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 05:30 UTC	3	$41	43	14	+29	Down	-$12	03-18 05:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 06:40 UTC	9	$39	32	32	+0	Down	$0	03-18 06:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 12:15 UTC	2	$38	29	28	+0	Down	+$18	03-18 12:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 07:15 UTC	4	$37	36	35	+0	Down	+$1	03-18 07:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 15:30 UTC	8	$37	40	40	+0	Up	+$23	07-04 15:35
will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2	2	$36	21	21	+0	No	+$2	03-23 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 15:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2ef33c…
10-08 14:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x125d78…
10-08 14:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5f32d9…
10-08 14:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x72abba…
10-08 14:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x80c861…
10-08 14:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x119d60…
10-08 14:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x6d4916…
10-08 14:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x0c8021…
10-08 14:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x54c02c…
10-08 14:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xff7a24…
10-08 14:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x3b778a…
10-08 14:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x359d5b…
10-08 14:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xec3063…
10-07 15:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xb06263…
10-07 15:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x4732e5…
10-07 15:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x5042d3…
10-07 15:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x7e467d…
10-07 14:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0x116ceb…
10-07 14:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xff8a54…
10-07 14:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x177227…
10-07 14:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x619c22…
10-07 14:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xd951ba…
10-07 13:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0xd8cae0…
10-07 13:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x76ffd5…
10-07 13:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	93¢	$3	0x0bbdb3…
10-07 13:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x121b03…
10-07 13:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x49bfea…
10-07 13:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xea39d6…
10-07 13:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7843a1…
10-07 13:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xcd6609…
10-07 13:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x2621b4…
10-07 13:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xd8f688…
10-07 13:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc66070…
10-07 13:33:13	Counter-Strike: Not A Squad Esports vs Kaleido Gaming - Map 1 Winner	Kaleido Gaming	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x568be7…
10-06 21:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x8561b6…
10-06 21:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x06a63c…
10-06 21:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	25¢	$4	0xeaf38e…
10-06 21:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xd09159…
10-06 21:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xf01e72…
10-06 21:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xcc00be…
10-06 21:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8cfb4f…
10-06 21:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xaca889…
10-06 20:56:30	Will United States win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x13e404…
10-06 20:55:51	Will Mexico win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf5f4c7…
10-06 20:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x6933e1…
10-06 20:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x032b64…
10-06 20:35:21	Will Slovenia win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xa0c373…
10-06 20:34:29	Will Belarus win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xbd47a7…
10-06 20:23:59	Will Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x013206…
10-06 20:19:54	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xb50356…
10-06 20:17:26	Will Slovenia win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x1c107a…
10-06 20:16:50	Will Scotland vs. Slovenia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xf558db…
10-06 19:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xbe34eb…
10-06 19:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x765ce1…
10-06 19:23:32	Will Belarus win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x9a4e40…
10-06 19:16:57	Will Scotland vs. Slovenia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x322dc2…
10-06 19:15:12	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x04426e…
10-06 12:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf14b75…
10-06 12:34:18	Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xfda9dd…
10-06 12:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x28f7bf…
10-06 12:31:18	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x83d84a…
10-06 12:23:12	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xc7a980…
10-06 12:12:27	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x2b5b29…
10-06 12:10:27	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	1WIN	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x56bcd5…
10-06 12:07:19	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	1WIN	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9b1f6a…
10-06 12:04:36	Counter-Strike: Teletubisie vs THE UNIT - Map 2 Winner	Teletubisie	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4f7d4d…
10-06 11:52:40	Counter-Strike: Teletubisie vs THE UNIT - Map 2 Winner	Teletubisie	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x4fa300…
10-06 11:42:27	Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner	ex-Zero Tenacity	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x2a056b…
10-06 11:20:03	Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner	ex-Zero Tenacity	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x496715…
10-06 10:52:04	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x58a554…
10-05 20:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x789925…
10-05 20:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xd53469…
10-05 20:46:41	Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0ca7c3…
10-05 20:46:32	Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x4f8d5c…
10-05 15:02:52	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf28fc2…
10-05 15:00:04	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x0fc33a…
10-05 14:57:43	cs2 m80 tyloo 2026 10 05 game1	TYLOO	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd49d90…
10-05 14:45:58	Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner	TYLOO	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x86f7b5…
10-05 14:45:31	cs2 m80 tyloo 2026 10 05 game1	M80	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xf358c8…
10-05 14:37:59	cs2 m80 tyloo 2026 10 05 game1	M80	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x9b1a44…
10-05 14:36:25	cs2 sta6 vita 2026 10 05 game2	STATE	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xd670cb…
10-05 14:23:35	Counter-Strike: STATE vs Vitality Academy - Map 2 Winner	STATE	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x7f7712…
10-05 13:53:20	Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd29d37…
10-05 13:50:08	Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x396e48…
10-05 13:19:46	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner	1WIN	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfb6e7c…
10-05 13:04:07	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner	1WIN	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd17e66…
10-05 03:40:58	Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on day 2?	Yes	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x0ea4f1…
10-05 02:56:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:55 UTC	Up	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0xa79264…
10-05 02:55:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x2a2187…
10-05 02:52:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xe8383d…
10-05 02:43:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:40 UTC	Up	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x3c65b6…
10-05 02:43:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf349e8…
10-05 02:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0xbce5ff…
10-05 02:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x808580…
10-05 02:11:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:10 UTC	Down	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0xa6a408…
10-05 02:10:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x419e0b…
10-05 01:59:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x414e81…
10-05 01:57:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x1e7d47…
10-05 01:55:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x4f1950…
10-05 01:54:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0e67a0…