Secondary-Charm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$201

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

2,175

Trades

4,228

lifetime

Volume

$7.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-28 19:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 69% -$199

Other

12% 46% +$4

Sports

4% 37% -$14

Tech

1% 100% +$7

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	2	$41	24	24	+0	Yes	+$1	06-12 15:19
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	2	$26	40	40	+0	No	+$6	06-12 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	6	$24	19	19	+0	Down	+$4	05-20 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$23	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	05-20 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	7	$22	23	16	+7	Down	-$2	10-28 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	4	$21	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	05-20 08:29
mex tij pac 2026 04 22 spread home 2pt5	2	$21	20	20	+1	CF Pachuca	+$19	04-23 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	7	$17	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	10-26 05:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	4	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	10-28 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	6	$16	19	11	+8	Up	-$4	05-20 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$2	10-26 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$15	11	11	+0	Down	+$5	05-19 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:30 UTC	6	$15	20	10	+10	Down	+$7	06-25 22:32
Gwangju: Marat Sharipov vs Leandro Riedi	15	$15	31	0	+31	Leandro Riedi	-$2	04-21 06:53
Grizzlies vs. Kings	3	$15	41	0	+41	Grizzlies	-$6	10-26 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	3	$15	13	11	+2	Down	+$5	05-20 04:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 09:30 UTC	6	$14	30	0	+30	Up	+$1	06-24 09:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 01:00 UTC	8	$14	30	0	+30	Down	+$1	06-25 01:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	4	$14	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	10-28 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-19 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$14	13	13	+0	Up	+$4	05-20 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$14	13	13	+0	Down	+$4	05-20 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-19 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	6	$13	16	11	+5	Up	-$3	10-26 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	3	$13	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	05-20 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	5	$13	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	05-20 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	3	$13	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	05-20 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-19 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-20 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	3	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	05-20 04:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xb79c59…
10-28 19:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x0257c4…
10-28 19:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x7ac33b…
10-28 19:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x759cd4…
10-28 19:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xd45c24…
10-28 19:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x32e854…
10-28 19:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x464197…
10-28 19:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xabb888…
10-28 19:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x9efb94…
10-28 19:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x1adfec…
10-28 19:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x166e17…
10-28 18:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xdb0cd6…
10-28 18:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x416e47…
10-28 18:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x5505a7…
10-28 18:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x16d418…
10-28 18:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xd07341…
10-28 18:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xce8027…
10-28 18:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xc072c0…
10-28 18:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x14b881…
10-28 18:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x65b839…
10-28 18:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x201d67…
10-28 18:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x6fc170…
10-28 18:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0xd7b63c…
10-28 17:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x5ef4a8…
10-28 17:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x26fbf0…
10-28 17:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x7f0cd2…
10-28 17:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$3	0x8f84f2…
10-28 17:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x49e22d…
10-28 17:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x2533da…
10-28 17:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xb2a08d…
10-28 17:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x20df2c…
10-28 17:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0xc02b20…
10-28 17:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xb65555…
10-28 17:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x2e243f…
10-28 17:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc0a29e…
10-28 17:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x760cde…
10-28 17:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd00791…
10-28 17:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x1c59ff…
10-28 17:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xbd2eec…
10-28 17:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd93905…
10-28 17:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x2d25a6…
10-28 17:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x337198…
10-28 16:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x9b1258…
10-28 16:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xee6434…
10-28 16:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x827cfd…
10-28 16:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xb96716…
10-28 16:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x133f49…
10-28 16:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x896e87…
10-28 16:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x399db2…
10-28 16:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc8de73…
10-28 16:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x18df85…
10-28 16:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x662530…
10-28 16:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2f1d8b…
10-28 16:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6ad2aa…
10-28 16:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x431954…
10-28 16:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xfc07ae…
10-28 16:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa9e09a…
10-28 16:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x7a1e3b…
10-28 16:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa01076…
10-28 16:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$4	0xc6b619…
10-28 16:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbf5e6c…
10-28 15:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0xcc3c18…
10-28 15:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x2fe604…
10-28 15:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x2376b4…
10-28 15:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x3be133…
10-28 15:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc8d5f3…
10-28 14:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x47fd6d…
10-28 14:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xca00cc…
10-28 14:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x53f471…
10-28 14:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x213b2e…
10-28 14:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xfd20d6…
10-28 14:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5fab62…
10-28 14:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x8eb40a…
10-28 14:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x762225…
10-28 14:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x114bbb…
10-28 14:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2bea60…
10-28 14:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x3dbfcd…
10-28 14:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x5827b0…
10-28 14:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x3f9e60…
10-28 14:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x50480d…
10-28 13:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0xe760be…
10-28 13:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xcdcd34…
10-28 13:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$4	0x262cea…
10-28 13:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9fd17a…
10-28 13:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x28ddff…
10-28 13:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x0eb330…
10-28 13:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x62ca9c…
10-28 13:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3344b7…
10-28 13:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xcfbf70…
10-28 13:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x644010…
10-28 13:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xa72206…
10-28 13:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xae40c1…
10-28 13:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x0f0a02…
10-28 13:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x208651…
10-28 13:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x8fa90e…
10-28 13:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x0aa620…
10-28 12:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x409615…
10-28 12:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x125b43…
10-28 12:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xc49ef3…
10-28 12:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2d2adc…