Agonizing-Recommendation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$66

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-20

last 05-20 15:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 33% -$11

Politics

9% 0% -$1

Other

8% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-20).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes		+15	$5	26¢	$4	-$1	05-20 13:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-20 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	05-20 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$6	24	0	+24	Down	-$6	05-20 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	-$5	05-20 15:01
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-20 13:41
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$5	15	0	+15	No	-$5	05-20 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	-$5	05-20 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	05-20 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-20 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-20 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	$0	05-20 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Up	-$1	05-20 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$1	9	0	+9	Down	-$1	05-20 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$1	11	0	+11	Up	-$1	05-20 14:28
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	-$1	05-20 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	-$1	05-20 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Up	-$1	05-20 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Up	-$1	05-20 14:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 15:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3233bc…
05-20 15:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xcd5be9…
05-20 15:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x2ade7c…
05-20 15:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x114059…
05-20 14:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x794b40…
05-20 14:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x23b010…
05-20 14:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x706b55…
05-20 14:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf37aa5…
05-20 14:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc268d9…
05-20 14:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x37b670…
05-20 14:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9acc81…
05-20 14:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xce2a49…
05-20 14:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5d2990…
05-20 14:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x72ab13…
05-20 14:17:55	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x03a9c7…
05-20 14:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7c8dc5…
05-20 14:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7cff80…
05-20 14:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x181969…
05-20 14:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7544cd…
05-20 13:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x051168…
05-20 13:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xf099c8…
05-20 13:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x56f71e…
05-20 13:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x00fddd…
05-20 13:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x26b96a…
05-20 13:41:22	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc4990d…
05-20 13:39:32	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x67cb8a…