Watchful-Wilderness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.82K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

736

Trades

2,032

lifetime

Volume

$28.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 10-30 11:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 179 days

Categories

Other

100% 46% -$1,825

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 1?	73	$1.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	-$588	05-01 19:20
highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 74 75f	2	$875	500	495	+5	No	+$91	04-23 20:11
highest temperature in los angeles on april 7 2026 74 75f	12	$846	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$154	04-07 15:49
highest temperature in miami on april 14 2026 82 83f	11	$789	849	114	+735	No	+$40	04-14 20:58
highest temperature in nyc on april 1 2026 78 79f	34	$714	1,172	380	+792	Yes	-$646	04-01 18:56
highest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 66forhigher	19	$650	838	0	+838	No	+$189	04-24 18:53
highest temperature in dallas on april 8 2026 76 77f	6	$601	658	0	+658	No	+$57	04-08 17:16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 13?	14	$515	400	400	+0	Yes	-$174	05-13 22:17
highest temperature in los angeles on april 20 2026 70 71f	23	$495	600	599	+1	Yes	-$441	04-20 20:09
highest temperature in seattle on april 11 2026 56 57f	14	$450	509	0	+509	No	+$60	04-11 23:34
highest temperature in los angeles on april 21 2026 66 67f	12	$426	500	196	+304	No	-$248	04-21 20:45
highest temperature in los angeles on april 24 2026 74forhigher	13	$425	496	0	+496	No	+$70	04-24 18:56
highest temperature in miami on april 21 2026 80 81f	19	$423	548	195	+354	Yes	+$113	04-21 15:53
highest temperature in nyc on april 14 2026 86 87f	6	$403	449	0	+449	No	+$46	04-14 18:48
highest temperature in miami on april 15 2026 80 81f	15	$353	500	199	+301	Yes	+$54	04-15 17:47
highest temperature in seattle on april 11 2026 53forbelow	6	$349	395	81	+314	No	+$70	04-11 23:28
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 27?	3	$346	200	200	+0	Yes	-$24	04-27 20:06
highest temperature in los angeles on april 21 2026 68 69f	11	$334	424	0	+424	No	+$90	04-21 20:44
highest temperature in los angeles on april 24 2026 72 73f	16	$330	300	298	+2	Yes	-$58	04-24 18:24
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	5	$326	400	397	+3	Yes	-$309	04-27 23:07
highest temperature in seattle on april 13 2026 56 57f	11	$306	340	32	+308	No	+$43	04-13 23:52
highest temperature in dallas on march 28 2026 64 65f	1	$300	333	0	+333	No	+$33	03-28 18:19
highest temperature in los angeles on april 22 2026 68 69f	34	$286	200	197	+3	No	+$17	04-22 02:15
highest temperature in nyc on march 30 2026 68forhigher	4	$284	315	0	+315	Yes	+$32	03-30 16:35
highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 58 59f	4	$277	200	199	+1	No	-$42	04-23 20:57
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on April 29?	18	$274	200	200	+0	No	+$102	04-29 21:45
highest temperature in miami on april 15 2026 82 83f	11	$270	300	0	+300	No	+$30	04-15 17:42
highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 82 83f	7	$260	200	199	+1	Yes	-$60	04-24 15:40
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on April 28?	12	$247	200	200	+0	No	-$80	04-28 19:25
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on April 27?	12	$246	287	0	+287	No	+$41	04-27 20:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 31?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd9a709…
10-30 07:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 31?	No	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x5725bd…
10-29 15:47:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 30?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x181a31…
10-29 14:58:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 30?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb931ed…
10-29 14:57:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 30?	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xe334fc…
10-29 14:57:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 30?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xeb49b5…
10-29 12:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 30?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x74ea20…
10-29 05:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd50fef…
10-27 08:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 28?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x801638…
10-27 07:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 28?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8fb794…
10-27 07:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 28?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3724a2…
10-26 22:01:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 27?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x259a62…
10-26 18:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 27?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd5590c…
10-26 07:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 27?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xce6832…
10-25 19:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 25?	No	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x41f396…
10-25 14:35:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x783e41…
10-25 14:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x0384e2…
10-25 10:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 26?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3becfa…
10-25 09:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 26?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5dd41c…
10-25 08:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 26?	No	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x84e20b…
10-25 00:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 25?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x19bf2d…
10-24 22:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 24?	No	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x4acdcf…
10-24 11:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 25?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9da3c0…
10-24 08:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 25?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9ff42d…
10-24 05:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 24?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x19c697…
10-24 03:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 24?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd22d26…
10-24 01:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 24?	No	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x96d034…
10-24 01:14:05	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 24?	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xa95cf0…
10-24 00:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 24?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaf3b05…
10-21 08:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 21?	No	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x8522e1…
10-21 08:30:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 21?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x177e32…
10-21 06:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 20?	No	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x0a393f…
10-21 03:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 20?	No	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xe4ed6c…
10-20 21:36:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 20?	No	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x116cbb…
10-20 21:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 20?	No	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0xd3059b…
10-20 03:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 20?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xac37f6…
10-20 03:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 20?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7a777c…
10-19 22:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 20?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xbbecb7…
10-19 20:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 19?	No	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x333593…
10-19 20:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 19?	No	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xcea39b…
10-19 20:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 19?	No	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0x132b1b…
10-19 19:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 20?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x31e6f4…
10-19 09:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 20?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4b52a0…
10-19 09:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 20?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x25c8c1…
10-19 02:01:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 19?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc8dcf6…
10-18 21:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 19?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5a5ab7…
10-18 20:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 18?	No	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x317be4…
10-18 18:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 19?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x447af5…
10-18 18:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 19?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x59e39e…
10-18 11:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 19?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x5c298d…
10-18 11:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 19?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9c311a…
10-18 09:01:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 19?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xcd6ce3…
10-17 22:14:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 17?	No	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xeaa88f…
10-17 21:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 18?	No	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0xde6996…
10-17 20:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 18?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6d202c…
10-17 18:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 17?	No	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x61a94f…
10-17 17:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 17?	No	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0xc03103…
10-17 10:01:32	highest temperature in austin on october 18 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xdabec1…
10-17 09:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 18?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf1f24f…
10-17 02:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 17?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x86dda3…
10-17 02:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 17?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0bbf2d…
10-17 02:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 17?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc0f500…
10-16 16:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 16?	No	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xe4a46d…
10-16 16:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 16?	No	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x582d7e…
10-16 10:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 17?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x22bff0…
10-16 09:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 17?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa87101…
10-16 08:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 17?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe6ccf2…
10-16 03:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 16?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x98fc15…
10-15 11:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 16?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xde9688…
10-14 22:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 15?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2eb243…
10-01 22:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 2?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8a249e…
09-30 02:21:11	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 30?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfe75de…
09-29 20:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 29?	No	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x85f545…
09-29 15:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 30?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x00d08b…
09-29 05:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 29?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x63cd0b…
09-29 01:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 29?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xcbfc90…
09-28 21:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 28?	No	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x126035…
09-28 15:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x87f056…
09-28 10:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 29?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7b0b04…
09-28 08:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 29?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc3f935…
09-28 03:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 28?	No	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xd112ac…
09-28 01:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 28?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x64763d…
09-27 17:31:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 28?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x52e902…
09-27 09:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 28?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x52d471…
09-26 22:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 26?	No	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0xdb0a73…
09-26 14:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 27?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe98239…
09-26 14:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 27?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa49b7b…
09-26 13:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 27?	No	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xd0698b…
09-26 12:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 27?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xec0695…
09-26 11:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 27?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbf38f4…
09-26 09:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 27?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0dcb78…
09-26 08:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 27?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xae9524…
09-25 20:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 26?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9b8fed…
09-25 13:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 26?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf3da13…
09-25 08:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 26?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8a46dc…
09-25 07:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 26?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4d528a…
09-24 16:30:59	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 25?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x555ca4…
09-24 12:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 25?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xaedc51…
09-23 18:52:29	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 23?	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xa9819e…
09-23 14:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 24?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7469b1…