Stark-Pocket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.27K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

960

Trades

1,962

lifetime

Volume

$19.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-31 14:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 58% -$1,246

Other

1% 21% -$18

Politics

1% 0% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	6	$595	527	511	+16	Down	-$12	04-27 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$304	320	0	+320	Down	+$16	04-28 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:45 UTC	1	$300	369	0	+369	Up	-$300	04-24 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$233	139	139	+0	Up	+$33	05-13 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$223	131	128	+2	Up	+$26	04-27 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:20 UTC	1	$200	225	0	+225	Down	+$25	04-24 17:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:45 UTC	1	$200	227	0	+227	Down	+$27	04-24 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:55 UTC	1	$200	222	0	+222	Up	+$22	04-24 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:25 UTC	1	$200	242	0	+242	Up	+$42	04-24 17:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:35 UTC	1	$200	235	0	+235	Up	+$35	04-24 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:40 UTC	1	$200	235	0	+235	Up	+$35	04-24 17:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:10 UTC	1	$200	218	0	+218	Up	+$18	04-24 17:13
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	28	$171	328	0	+328	Up	-$87	05-10 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	7	$169	194	189	+5	Up	+$49	05-13 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$161	200	0	+200	Up	+$40	04-28 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$156	161	0	+161	Down	+$5	04-28 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$145	99	99	+0	Up	+$25	05-13 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$140	253	0	+253	Up	+$113	04-28 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$137	105	105	+0	Up	+$17	05-13 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	10	$128	0	200	-200	Up	+$28	05-03 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	7	$124	0	200	-200	Up	+$24	05-03 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$123	0	200	-200	Up	+$23	05-03 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$122	0	200	-200	Down	+$22	05-03 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$122	135	19	+116	Up	+$18	04-27 20:34
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	9	$116	0	200	-200	Up	+$16	05-03 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$114	0	200	-200	Up	+$14	05-03 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$111	0	150	-150	Down	+$61	05-03 11:39
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	13	$110	0	200	-200	Down	+$10	05-03 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	13	$107	0	200	-200	Up	+$7	05-03 12:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	12	$106	0	200	-200	Up	+$6	05-03 02:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 14:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x6cc531…
05-31 14:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9049ba…
05-31 11:45:51	Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xc482cf…
05-31 11:45:51	Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xb3daeb…
05-31 09:41:35	Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x781c30…
05-31 09:41:24	Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0bae1e…
05-31 09:41:10	Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0xdaebc8…
05-31 09:40:39	Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xa47222…
05-31 09:40:39	Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0x10eab8…
05-31 09:22:55	Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x83dd83…
05-31 09:22:41	Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0xd30390…
05-31 08:52:01	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?	Yes	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0xac8971…
05-31 08:44:49	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?	Yes	SELL	33	34¢	$11	0x935663…
05-31 08:42:52	Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?	Yes	SELL	26	48¢	$12	0xf5f7a7…
05-31 08:42:52	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xf4ae23…
05-31 08:42:52	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x9ba262…
05-31 08:42:52	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?	No	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0x85daca…
05-31 08:38:21	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xb5906a…
05-31 08:38:21	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x148ac1…
05-31 08:38:14	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0xdf8e2c…
05-31 08:22:11	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x79ca5f…
05-31 08:20:16	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xcfdda5…
05-31 06:55:25	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x68c2d9…
05-31 06:44:11	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x19c429…
05-31 05:56:51	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x8e4996…
05-31 03:50:05	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xe766a0…
05-31 03:48:55	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	15	17¢	$2	0x5c7554…
05-30 23:50:41	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?	Yes	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x314565…
05-30 23:50:31	Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?	Yes	BUY	26	49¢	$12	0x9c2857…
05-30 23:50:15	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0x0ca1c5…
05-30 23:45:46	Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?	Yes	SELL	26	47¢	$12	0x993ed4…
05-30 23:45:44	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?	Yes	SELL	26	45¢	$11	0xf9a539…
05-30 23:45:44	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0xd1ffc0…
05-30 23:39:22	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?	Yes	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0xf963bf…
05-30 23:39:10	Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?	Yes	BUY	26	49¢	$12	0x0f278c…
05-30 23:38:58	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0xb4b331…
05-30 23:35:23	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0x146c2b…
05-30 23:20:11	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0xb050cb…
05-30 23:15:47	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0xb72cd3…
05-30 22:55:58	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0x402a9a…
05-30 19:14:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	155	3¢	$5	0xf4521e…
05-30 19:01:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	155	3¢	$5	0x661e47…
05-30 18:50:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	205	3¢	$6	0x09445e…
05-30 18:14:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x94794b…
05-30 14:25:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	105	4¢	$4	0xe4b708…
05-30 14:17:20	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	105	4¢	$4	0x4876df…
05-30 14:14:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	105	4¢	$5	0x2842e3…
05-30 12:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x219c61…
05-30 12:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xcaecae…
05-30 11:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xe74861…
05-30 11:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x432b3f…
05-30 11:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x4c5fdc…
05-30 11:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x88442f…
05-30 11:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4db51b…
05-30 11:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x06ee6f…
05-30 11:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x618c52…
05-30 11:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xed0f46…
05-30 10:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xd6820d…
05-30 10:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x753b8d…
05-30 10:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x8db4fc…
05-30 10:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xdfbe9e…
05-30 10:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7db8ae…
05-30 10:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x711a50…
05-30 10:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x26a2f6…
05-30 10:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xaf7f97…
05-30 10:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0b5fdf…
05-30 10:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0xf2666e…
05-30 10:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x7a6e15…
05-30 10:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xa50c78…
05-30 10:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x959b06…
05-30 10:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x43df94…
05-25 23:52:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x2a99d0…
05-25 23:48:05	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x33d0d8…
05-25 23:46:24	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xf79d9b…
05-25 23:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x317c4d…
05-25 21:48:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe09a1f…
05-25 21:47:36	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x4ece74…
05-25 21:43:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x8f04eb…
05-25 21:07:16	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x43dcd7…
05-25 21:06:34	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xe8080a…
05-25 21:01:05	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xabd4ef…
05-25 20:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x60d8d0…
05-25 20:52:13	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xffdbb9…
05-25 20:46:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x48f9db…
05-25 20:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x673478…
05-25 20:34:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x623e35…
05-25 20:32:28	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x64e10d…
05-25 20:32:02	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xb5eb46…
05-25 20:18:52	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x18136e…
05-25 20:14:07	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x1b7563…
05-25 20:08:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x4ddd62…
05-25 20:07:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd9b2dd…
05-25 18:59:34	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0xfaf5cd…
05-25 18:53:39	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd0ed08…
05-25 18:53:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8f1ad0…
05-25 18:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xaca601…
05-25 18:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xac5a6e…
05-25 18:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xf77a95…
05-25 18:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x0f9f1d…
05-25 18:43:39	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb47465…