Timely-Certainty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$381

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved

878

Trades

2,517

lifetime

Volume

$192.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-26 17:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Other

97% 72% -$556

Sports

2% 88% +$184

Crypto

1% 50% -$9

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	7	$2.4K	1,972	1,972	+0	PARIVISION	+$151	10-09 18:28
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	11	$2.0K	1,538	1,538	+0	Sharks	-$95	05-27 20:11
cs2 lgc bb3 2026 10 16 game1	9	$1.6K	1,469	1,241	+228	BetBoom Team	+$5	10-16 18:06
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	14	$1.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	G2	+$25	06-15 20:32
LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	3	$1.4K	810	710	+100	Top Esports	-$31	10-25 18:49
lol blg dk 2026 07 17	14	$1.4K	1,678	0	+1,678	Dplus KIA	-$1,360	07-17 14:06
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner	5	$1.3K	970	670	+300	Team Liquid	+$27	10-26 15:13
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	5	$1.3K	701	701	+0	G2 Esports	+$73	05-16 17:21
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	4	$1.2K	824	824	+0	Team Spirit	+$165	05-21 18:07
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka	6	$1.2K	769	636	+133	Sri Lanka	+$40	06-14 03:49
Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 265.5	12	$1.2K	675	675	+0	Under	+$9	10-25 23:33
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	15	$1.2K	721	721	+0	9z	+$57	05-28 18:20
cs2 fut g2 2026 06 12	3	$1.2K	735	607	+128	G2	+$35	06-12 14:52
Valorant: Global Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B	4	$1.2K	649	649	+0	Global Esports	+$34	10-02 10:36
cs2 ast10 mibr 2026 10 16	13	$1.2K	1,005	726	+279	MIBR	-$39	10-16 17:18
val edg1 fut1 2026 06 13	18	$1.1K	795	557	+239	EDward Gaming	-$222	06-13 16:22
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	13	$1.1K	1,200	800	+400	TYLOO	+$36	10-26 13:58
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 243.5	6	$1.1K	820	600	+220	Under	+$88	10-24 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	42	$1.1K	760	560	+200	Down	+$3	10-24 00:59
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	2	$1.1K	660	660	+0	Vitality	+$172	06-13 17:14
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	4	$1.1K	780	660	+120	magic	+$46	05-28 19:42
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	4	$1.1K	600	600	+0	Dplus KIA	+$24	05-29 10:07
lol al lgd 2026 06 05	7	$1.0K	674	574	+100	Anyone's Legend	+$10	06-05 09:51
lol fly tl2 2026 06 06	7	$1.0K	822	822	+0	Team Liquid	+$79	06-06 23:24
LoL: CCG Esports vs Conviction (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs	2	$1.0K	521	521	+0	Conviction	+$20	05-29 22:55
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	2	$1.0K	507	507	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$6	05-15 12:55
LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO5) - LIT Playoffs	2	$1.0K	505	505	+0	HMBLE	+$5	05-29 18:30
lol hrts ucam1 2026 06 05	6	$1.0K	517	517	+0	Team Heretics Academy	+$29	06-05 19:22
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	7	$989	760	500	+260	Galions	+$10	10-22 16:49
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	5	$987	640	490	+150	9z	-$8	10-15 13:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 17:46:05	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x5bf508…
10-26 17:36:11	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xfe58c0…
10-26 17:08:50	Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group A	Zero Tenacity	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0xe204e3…
10-26 16:54:36	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x7662f8…
10-26 15:53:42	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xfa1e73…
10-26 15:20:14	Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group A	Zero Tenacity	BUY	190	72¢	$137	0xb5b268…
10-26 15:13:24	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	SELL	670	100¢	$669	0x637395…
10-26 15:12:14	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf215d7…
10-26 15:02:39	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	270	77¢	$208	0x95470e…
10-26 15:00:11	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner	Liquid	SELL	130	75¢	$98	0x4db934…
10-26 14:57:09	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	400	62¢	$248	0x49e960…
10-26 14:45:57	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner	Liquid	BUY	130	92¢	$120	0x375fa9…
10-26 14:41:12	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x3a0e98…
10-26 14:40:48	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner	Legacy	BUY	90	41¢	$37	0xabc87e…
10-26 14:14:35	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0x4ff20e…
10-26 14:06:08	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xa67bfd…
10-26 13:59:18	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x2866cd…
10-26 13:58:50	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TYLOO	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0x37e984…
10-26 13:35:14	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	200	74¢	$147	0xbeebe2…
10-26 13:33:45	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xb43129…
10-26 13:33:36	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	BUY	262	12¢	$31	0x174143…
10-26 13:33:35	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	BUY	38	12¢	$5	0x743019…
10-26 13:26:39	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TYLOO	BUY	400	57¢	$228	0xde44a4…
10-26 13:26:09	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xd288a3…
10-26 13:26:09	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	SELL	35	44¢	$15	0x4973d8…
10-26 13:26:09	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	SELL	49	44¢	$22	0x0f19e1…
10-26 13:26:08	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	SELL	80	44¢	$35	0x15a00f…
10-26 13:26:06	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	SELL	90	44¢	$40	0xe351d8…
10-26 13:26:06	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x7f2ade…
10-26 13:26:05	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	SELL	126	44¢	$55	0xe42463…
10-26 13:20:39	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	BUY	400	66¢	$264	0x1f3d95…
10-26 13:14:33	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FUT Esports	SELL	33	91¢	$29	0x4c76a0…
10-26 13:14:32	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FUT Esports	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xb83d83…
10-26 13:14:30	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FUT Esports	SELL	53	90¢	$48	0x7daf5b…
10-26 13:14:27	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FUT Esports	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0x69c806…
10-26 13:01:00	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FUT Esports	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x79e136…
10-26 13:00:17	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0x3a5246…
10-26 07:00:24	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x7ddc9b…
10-25 23:35:18	Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 257.5	Under	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x83603f…
10-25 23:33:38	Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 265.5	Under	SELL	94	89¢	$84	0xff5124…
10-25 23:33:38	Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 265.5	Under	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xd93857…
10-25 23:33:38	Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 265.5	Under	SELL	81	89¢	$72	0xd16c6c…
10-25 23:33:38	Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 265.5	Under	SELL	64	89¢	$57	0xb9286f…
10-25 23:33:38	Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 265.5	Under	SELL	16	89¢	$14	0x9e2ce1…
10-25 23:33:38	Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 265.5	Under	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x9c1aef…
10-25 23:33:38	Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 265.5	Under	SELL	23	89¢	$21	0x316c23…
10-25 23:33:36	Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 265.5	Under	SELL	127	89¢	$113	0xcc5213…
10-25 23:33:36	Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 265.5	Under	SELL	135	89¢	$120	0x91d85a…
10-25 23:33:36	Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 265.5	Under	SELL	34	89¢	$30	0x0d5cab…
10-25 23:31:23	Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 265.5	Under	BUY	150	88¢	$132	0xc69021…
10-25 23:31:23	Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 265.5	Under	BUY	525	88¢	$462	0x42c4f9…
10-25 23:18:18	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xd828c5…
10-25 23:09:38	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	300	69¢	$207	0xd770bf…
10-25 22:25:50	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	SELL	510	100¢	$509	0xeb7fe2…
10-25 22:04:09	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	510	71¢	$362	0xfa1896…
10-25 21:59:54	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	368	100¢	$368	0x9e1c1b…
10-25 21:52:02	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	368	75¢	$276	0xbe878c…
10-25 21:42:42	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	350	75¢	$262	0x684156…
10-25 21:09:32	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xb6f906…
10-25 18:53:00	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xe09fa8…
10-25 18:49:27	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	SELL	710	100¢	$709	0xa67cd6…
10-25 18:45:36	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	710	97¢	$689	0xbe7e16…
10-25 18:44:20	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x9efa75…
10-25 18:14:12	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xb65280…
10-25 17:55:59	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x6a4f11…
10-25 17:10:30	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x404626…
10-25 01:11:03	LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0xee04c1…
10-25 00:32:27	LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xd8933c…
10-25 00:23:51	LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x2b7331…
10-24 23:46:18	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xc125cf…
10-24 22:58:59	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa81502…
10-24 22:53:42	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	39	92¢	$35	0x8d4dcc…
10-24 22:15:44	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x740950…
10-24 21:50:48	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x9a055d…
10-24 21:32:54	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x7a6ce1…
10-24 20:00:50	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x225655…
10-24 19:59:00	Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	Astra Invicta	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x5d074c…
10-24 18:43:33	Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	Astra Invicta	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xf1e1be…
10-24 18:42:24	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xd4ace0…
10-24 18:37:45	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xe7112c…
10-24 18:14:42	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x29df48…
10-24 17:55:06	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner	DENDELE CS	BUY	340	8¢	$27	0x13ea88…
10-24 17:42:29	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0x17421d…
10-24 17:40:32	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x58536b…
10-24 17:40:24	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x90b9fa…
10-24 17:20:24	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	180	59¢	$106	0x686d20…
10-24 16:23:41	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0xdde6af…
10-24 16:21:33	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x2afeff…
10-24 16:20:15	Valorant: FUT Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Monsters Reloaded Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8a9d15…
10-24 16:20:11	Valorant: FUT Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Monsters Reloaded Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xee7612…
10-24 16:20:08	Valorant: FUT Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Monsters Reloaded Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x8e095c…
10-24 16:20:08	Valorant: FUT Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Monsters Reloaded Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x13dc14…
10-24 04:29:15	Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 250.5	Under	BUY	70	89¢	$62	0xa448c2…
10-24 02:59:50	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x0a4b47…
10-24 02:38:35	Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 243.5	Under	SELL	600	100¢	$599	0x6da2e5…
10-24 02:29:41	Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 243.5	Over	BUY	220	38¢	$84	0xfcb444…
10-24 02:26:30	Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 243.5	Under	BUY	92	72¢	$66	0xf22cf3…
10-24 02:26:30	Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 243.5	Under	BUY	373	71¢	$265	0x88acb6…
10-24 02:26:30	Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 243.5	Under	BUY	92	72¢	$66	0x2917be…
10-24 02:26:30	Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 243.5	Under	BUY	43	72¢	$31	0x2697db…