Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$264

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.6%

Resolved

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$804

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-14

last 11-05 21:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 16% -$201

Other

44% 22% -$49

Politics

9% 0% -$8

Sports

1% 0% -$5

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	2	$63	86	86	+0	Yes	+$23	09-14 14:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:55 UTC	1	$50	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	-$50	09-17 22:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 13:15 UTC	1	$50	5,000	0	+5,000	Up	-$50	09-14 13:19
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	2	$45	3,213	3,213	+0	No	-$6	09-14 13:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 14?	2	$40	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	09-14 13:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$40	23	23	+0	Yes	$0	09-16 11:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	2	$38	200	200	+0	open	—	10-08 14:06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	3	$35	47	47	+0	No	+$5	09-21 05:26
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?	6	$34	289	112	+176	No	-$18	09-26 13:30
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-08-30?	2	$29	23	23	+0	Yes	-$1	09-15 09:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:00 UTC	2	$27	18	18	+0	Down	+$9	09-17 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 15:45 UTC	1	$20	854	0	+854	Down	-$20	09-14 15:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:10 UTC	1	$20	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	-$20	09-21 15:15
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?	1	$20	333	0	+333	No	-$20	09-16 18:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:25 UTC	1	$20	30	0	+30	Down	-$20	09-15 08:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$16	2,143	1,143	+1,000	No	-$2	10-28 01:45
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:15 UTC	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$6	09-27 20:19
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$15	17	17	+0	No	-$1	10-08 14:06
Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$14	12	12	+0	Up	+$10	10-04 01:35
Guangzhou: Luca Castelnuovo vs Omar Jasika	1	$12	15	0	+15	Luca Castelnuovo	-$12	09-15 09:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:20 UTC	1	$12	30	0	+30	Up	-$12	09-17 21:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 19?	2	$10	57	57	+0	No	-$6	09-19 05:13
Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?	3	$10	30	30	+0	open	—	09-21 05:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:40 UTC	1	$9	9,413	0	+9,413	Up	-$9	09-16 18:44
Rennes: Matisse Bobichon vs Tristan Schoolkate	1	$9	41	0	+41	Tristan Schoolkate	-$9	09-18 14:35
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	2	$9	56	56	+0	No	-$1	09-20 16:38
cs2 bsta quin 2026 09 17	1	$7	7	0	+7	QUINTESSÊNCIA	+$0	09-17 22:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$7	115	115	+0	open	—	10-07 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$6	10	4	+5	Down	-$2	09-26 16:58
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	$0	09-22 17:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 21:02:34	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x561b15…
11-01 17:56:45	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4f4a4b…
11-01 17:56:03	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x6fa0c9…
10-28 01:50:57	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1303ac…
10-28 01:49:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xe0e83b…
10-28 01:49:35	Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 World Series MVP?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8ea6bf…
10-28 01:48:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1ac54d…
10-28 01:47:36	Kings vs. Spurs	Kings	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x6f3c24…
10-28 01:45:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0f061a…
10-28 01:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x53b637…
10-09 17:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5d7af2…
10-09 12:22:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7ce9ef…
10-09 12:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe2ab5e…
10-08 23:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xc66be4…
10-08 23:42:02	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	67	2¢	$2	0xc38372…
10-08 23:23:36	Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xddb9e9…
10-08 14:07:03	Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$1	0x7290be…
10-08 14:06:56	Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x4d4983…
10-08 14:06:45	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x58d649…
10-08 14:06:36	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	17	41¢	$7	0x098eaa…
10-08 14:06:23	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0x5f0b9d…
10-08 14:06:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0xe75c46…
10-07 08:41:09	XRP Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x83fb4d…
10-07 08:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x85f564…
10-07 08:40:53	Ethereum Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x97907f…
10-07 08:32:15	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	3¢	$4	0x84984f…
10-05 12:18:23	Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x424017…
10-05 12:17:49	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x161bf9…
10-05 12:16:19	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x30d5bf…
10-05 12:14:10	HYPE Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd5ad0f…
10-05 12:13:53	Will XRP dip to $1.45 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x23379d…
10-05 12:13:40	Dogecoin Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc8a10c…
10-04 01:39:04	Canadiens vs. Penguins	Canadiens	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xf49197…
10-04 01:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x1337e9…
10-04 01:35:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x726a2d…
10-04 01:34:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xf01f79…
10-04 01:34:01	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x90b62c…
10-04 01:33:37	Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x14333b…
10-04 01:33:14	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	3¢	$3	0x545ef7…
10-04 01:32:41	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	San Diego Padres	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xff8e39…
10-04 01:32:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xe3c594…
10-04 01:31:07	Washington vs. USC	Washington	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xe8e7fc…
10-03 18:51:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5d6ba2…
10-02 19:57:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xb6f797…
10-01 19:57:23	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x0b3aae…
09-30 18:50:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x3991d0…
09-30 18:31:09	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x2aeff0…
09-30 18:26:24	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4a8dce…
09-30 18:23:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x546e8a…
09-30 18:17:33	dota2 lvlup1 xtreme 2026 09 30	Level UP	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7b0cdd…
09-28 09:55:02	bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	854	0¢	$1	0xe3d5a7…
09-27 20:49:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x73577f…
09-27 20:47:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd3dd45…
09-27 20:35:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x0bcec3…
09-27 20:26:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x093967…
09-27 20:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x108af5…
09-27 20:21:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xea7826…
09-27 20:19:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x85cac7…
09-27 20:16:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x416092…
09-27 20:12:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x9b2a8b…
09-27 20:09:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x1729dc…
09-27 20:08:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xee5dc0…
09-27 20:08:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x678bec…
09-26 18:26:03	atp dias mena 2026 09 26	Facundo Mena	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2872a2…
09-26 18:17:17	atp alcaraz fritz 2026 09 26	Taylor Fritz	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1be976…
09-26 16:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x20ba1b…
09-26 16:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x37d0fc…
09-26 16:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x8fa798…
09-26 16:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 16:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x91d9b6…
09-26 16:50:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x01451c…
09-26 13:30:17	will openais valuation hit high 975b by september 30 20260829011000014	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x945432…
09-26 13:30:05	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xbbce40…
09-25 18:55:47	Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x804932…
09-25 18:52:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfe76bf…
09-25 12:43:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	80	3¢	$2	0xa0d15f…
09-25 04:11:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x372807…
09-24 21:01:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 20:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdf94a6…
09-24 20:32:06	Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x487e20…
09-24 20:30:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8bc6bd…
09-24 20:30:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1a86b5…
09-24 20:29:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x83b46c…
09-24 19:39:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8e8a28…
09-24 19:18:50	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?	Yes	BUY	64	11¢	$7	0x5a6fd1…
09-24 19:13:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xaab3a8…
09-23 11:49:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb2a05e…
09-22 17:02:45	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x81d077…
09-22 17:01:16	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x7ed4df…
09-22 13:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x96bb51…
09-22 13:12:06	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x1d51a4…
09-22 13:11:51	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.275T by September 30?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0x85d8d9…
09-22 13:11:45	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?	Yes	SELL	112	7¢	$8	0x66f161…
09-22 13:10:34	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd414e1…
09-22 11:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0xc5749e…
09-21 22:43:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x4cb7f9…
09-21 22:38:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 22:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xf9c475…
09-21 22:35:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa1ce04…
09-21 22:06:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x061a03…
09-21 19:56:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x10e24a…
09-21 15:47:58	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by September 30?	Yes	BUY	157	0¢	$1	0x1d2928…
09-21 15:47:47	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.275T by September 30?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x4d93be…