Optimistic-Flare — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.8%

Resolved

Trades

101

lifetime

Volume

$209

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 05-16 19:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 83% -$10

Other

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$13	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-15 14:09
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	6	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-15 13:49
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-15 21:34
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$4	5	2	+3	Up	-$2	05-15 15:09
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$4	40	0	+40	Down	-$4	05-16 17:45
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-16 16:23
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$4	12	0	+12	Up	-$4	05-16 19:35
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-16 02:39
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	-$4	05-16 18:49
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-16 17:33
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-16 16:13
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-16 16:09
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-16 15:54
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-16 17:29
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-16 19:29
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-16 16:54
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-16 15:08
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-16 15:48
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-15 14:58
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-16 15:19
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-16 16:48
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$4	8	6	+2	Up	+$0	05-15 21:04
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$4	3	2	+1	Up	+$0	05-15 19:09
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	Up	+$0	05-15 14:13
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$3	2	1	+1	Up	+$0	05-15 14:04
Will the Democratic Party win the WY-AL House seat?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-14 21:43
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-15 15:26
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-15 13:57
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-15 13:19
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	-$2	05-15 14:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 19:35:00	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x890b77…
05-16 19:29:17	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x000598…
05-16 18:49:51	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xde059e…
05-16 17:45:01	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x0fe9e5…
05-16 17:33:51	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x90a396…
05-16 17:29:37	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x428d52…
05-16 17:24:57	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2b1789…
05-16 16:54:51	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x48baa9…
05-16 16:48:17	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xe37dfe…
05-16 16:34:57	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd7c57e…
05-16 16:23:07	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xdc75c6…
05-16 16:13:49	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x810607…
05-16 16:09:00	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf9617c…
05-16 15:54:07	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7e329d…
05-16 15:48:28	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xbf64fc…
05-16 15:44:25	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x71abc7…
05-16 15:19:58	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xba595e…
05-16 15:14:13	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2252bc…
05-16 15:08:20	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x779afc…
05-16 14:58:44	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd9ab50…
05-16 14:53:57	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8cf8a2…
05-16 02:49:48	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1905ff…
05-16 02:39:55	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xde2c1a…
05-15 22:49:23	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x0960eb…
05-15 22:09:22	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9db0ed…
05-15 21:44:36	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xee43e7…
05-15 21:39:54	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x02d199…
05-15 21:34:57	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x106205…
05-15 21:34:24	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x115ed8…
05-15 21:19:54	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x7afe46…
05-15 21:14:00	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf7df5c…
05-15 21:09:13	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x062d45…
05-15 21:04:14	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf01269…
05-15 21:03:55	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x51967d…
05-15 21:03:30	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8c95ec…
05-15 20:59:57	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf11320…
05-15 20:49:46	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x459468…
05-15 20:44:19	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x949125…
05-15 20:34:20	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x346912…
05-15 20:29:16	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd27784…
05-15 20:24:36	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x7087f3…
05-15 19:59:24	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xba4733…
05-15 19:54:21	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x200c9a…
05-15 19:49:22	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1479f6…
05-15 19:35:03	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd59a8b…
05-15 19:29:37	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x056ede…
05-15 19:24:26	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6d04a3…
05-15 19:09:47	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x719ab4…
05-15 19:09:33	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x67c558…
05-15 18:49:59	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc5c025…
05-15 18:14:19	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x974511…
05-15 16:14:51	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9a4f95…
05-15 16:09:37	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xcffa09…
05-15 15:59:37	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x549106…
05-15 15:54:20	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf91136…
05-15 15:49:37	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x46585c…
05-15 15:38:09	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9a15e8…
05-15 15:34:09	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3b9ad1…
05-15 15:26:33	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0xd89b9f…
05-15 15:25:45	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe2bdbe…
05-15 15:23:43	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xae16a0…
05-15 15:23:32	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8c41ca…
05-15 15:18:26	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x12d7ab…
05-15 15:11:00	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa3822d…
05-15 15:09:22	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x6737c5…
05-15 15:06:50	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x43c2af…
05-15 15:05:38	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4f0d8e…
05-15 15:04:56	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x84a116…
05-15 14:58:47	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x1be21f…
05-15 14:51:12	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa9218b…
05-15 14:45:15	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8ef4fa…
05-15 14:41:06	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2fcfe5…
05-15 14:31:16	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xb27245…
05-15 14:23:55	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc99603…
05-15 14:13:32	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd891ff…
05-15 14:12:12	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x0736d2…
05-15 14:10:08	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe6f01d…
05-15 14:09:33	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x304d9b…
05-15 14:09:05	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3e88f1…
05-15 14:08:21	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x827ccd…
05-15 14:07:39	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc03e7e…
05-15 14:04:18	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xaae3a1…
05-15 14:02:20	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4520ec…
05-15 14:01:38	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xace556…
05-15 13:57:39	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf1284b…
05-15 13:56:46	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x980669…
05-15 13:54:44	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xa4f267…
05-15 13:54:03	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6c4bec…
05-15 13:49:43	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc76bd4…
05-15 13:49:01	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xed43b5…
05-15 13:48:12	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x58585f…
05-15 13:47:09	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf479e9…
05-15 13:46:56	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0x2f4b50…
05-15 13:46:41	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x437de4…
05-15 13:29:19	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa8ca18…
05-15 13:23:36	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x92d989…
05-15 13:19:02	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe764ab…
05-15 13:17:45	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x97fbd6…
05-15 13:12:10	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xdaf114…
05-14 21:43:08	Will the Democratic Party win the WY-AL House seat?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x0e9699…