Arid-Scope — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$734

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.2%

Resolved

24,349

Trades

54,375

lifetime

Volume

$133.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-27 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 269 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 78% -$728

Other

0% 59% -$8

Sports

0% 100% +$6

Politics

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 13:00 UTC	15	$173	126	114	+12	Down	-$5	03-04 13:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 13:15 UTC	19	$141	105	91	+14	Up	-$20	03-08 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$140	98	98	+0	Down	+$52	05-08 09:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 01:15 UTC	13	$103	58	58	+0	Up	+$3	03-04 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$97	60	60	+0	Down	+$20	05-09 17:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 17:00 UTC	3	$93	99	0	+99	Down	+$7	02-03 17:12
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 23:30 UTC	5	$91	46	46	+0	Down	+$1	03-08 23:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 23:30 UTC	5	$90	46	46	+0	Down	+$1	03-08 23:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 23:15 UTC	7	$90	46	46	+0	Up	+$1	03-08 23:30
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 06:30 UTC	6	$90	47	46	+0	Down	+$2	03-09 06:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 07:30 UTC	7	$85	47	40	+7	Up	+$2	03-09 07:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 05:30 UTC	6	$84	43	43	+0	Up	+$2	03-09 05:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 19:45 UTC	5	$83	42	42	+0	Down	+$1	03-07 19:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 06:30 UTC	6	$83	47	39	+7	Down	+$2	03-09 06:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 18:00 UTC	20	$83	70	36	+34	Down	-$5	03-04 18:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 10:15 UTC	6	$83	42	42	+0	Up	+$1	03-08 10:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 12:15 UTC	6	$83	42	42	+0	Up	+$0	03-08 12:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 09:00 UTC	6	$82	48	48	+0	Up	-$1	03-08 09:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 14:00 UTC	12	$80	62	57	+5	Down	+$7	04-13 14:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 05:30 UTC	6	$79	45	38	+7	Up	+$4	03-09 05:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 06:30 UTC	7	$78	59	33	+26	Down	$0	03-11 06:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 09:45 UTC	6	$76	39	39	+0	Down	+$2	03-09 10:00
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 09:45 UTC	6	$76	39	39	+0	Down	+$2	03-09 10:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 19:30 UTC	6	$76	42	35	+7	Up	+$1	03-07 19:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 21:00 UTC	7	$76	39	39	+0	Down	+$1	03-08 21:15
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 09:15 UTC	6	$76	39	39	+0	Up	+$1	03-09 09:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 11:15 UTC	6	$76	38	38	+0	Down	+$1	03-09 11:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 08:45 UTC	4	$76	39	39	+0	Up	+$1	03-09 08:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 09:30 UTC	6	$76	38	38	+0	Up	+$1	03-09 09:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 09:45 UTC	6	$76	38	38	+0	Down	+$1	03-09 10:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 14:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x003e2b…
10-27 14:13:18	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x363499…
10-27 14:13:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcb5602…
10-27 14:13:09	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x480146…
10-27 14:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfe72eb…
10-27 14:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xda39c4…
10-27 14:00:56	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xbe824a…
10-27 14:00:56	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x633d0e…
10-27 14:00:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x21ff7c…
10-27 12:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xee55eb…
10-27 11:55:35	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0a600d…
10-27 11:46:56	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4b00a3…
10-27 11:42:12	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x878de8…
10-27 11:40:59	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x492d3a…
10-27 11:26:08	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa20004…
10-27 11:25:08	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd17b77…
10-27 11:05:06	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x45e826…
10-27 11:02:23	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1fb52b…
10-27 10:53:14	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x770cb8…
10-27 10:46:03	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x73b01e…
10-27 10:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0814b4…
10-27 10:38:56	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1229f0…
10-27 10:33:21	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7a7d1d…
10-27 10:26:17	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4ab2f8…
10-27 10:23:41	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe98cd1…
10-27 10:06:48	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfd4280…
10-27 10:06:48	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x185edb…
10-27 10:06:00	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x675e5f…
10-27 10:04:09	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9a4c05…
10-27 09:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbd8369…
10-27 09:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5d26ab…
10-27 08:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9ef292…
10-27 08:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x548f58…
10-27 07:50:32	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1ea3c3…
10-27 07:50:30	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb9ae30…
10-27 07:49:56	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb78b3b…
10-27 07:48:06	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb70e3f…
10-27 07:38:32	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x5c28ae…
10-27 07:22:06	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd1ab45…
10-27 07:17:11	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xdf69fd…
10-27 07:12:53	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x031fa7…
10-27 07:11:20	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x00eefe…
10-27 07:10:00	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xab264d…
10-27 07:09:30	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe349a3…
10-27 06:42:51	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x66afee…
10-27 06:42:51	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0aba7b…
10-27 06:33:51	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd9dae7…
10-27 06:32:00	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x069b91…
10-27 06:26:18	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfd4db5…
10-27 06:21:26	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6d58a5…
10-27 06:11:48	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb282e8…
10-27 06:11:48	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x59ad55…
10-27 06:03:44	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x203605…
10-27 06:01:53	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd506b3…
10-27 01:41:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x96bec8…
10-27 01:41:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6cd80b…
10-27 01:41:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6fbff1…
10-27 01:39:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x205275…
10-27 01:21:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa35bdd…
10-27 01:17:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x04a284…
10-27 01:11:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbead26…
10-27 01:06:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x81e3d7…
10-26 20:34:47	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x330696…
10-26 20:32:54	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x50f50e…
10-26 20:27:42	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7b3416…
10-26 20:27:42	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x260838…
10-26 20:22:59	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xfd78cc…
10-26 20:21:08	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc912c5…
10-26 20:09:09	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8f1c8a…
10-26 20:09:09	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x63b9df…
10-26 20:04:08	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x674392…
10-26 20:02:15	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa7c6f5…
10-26 19:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x27b555…
10-26 19:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf3e359…
10-26 18:56:03	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb35795…
10-26 18:56:03	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x944350…
10-26 18:51:48	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf5ebe9…
10-26 18:49:57	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf0c0bb…
10-26 18:42:50	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x80da66…
10-26 18:40:47	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x029e54…
10-26 18:25:54	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf3d73a…
10-26 18:24:17	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd008dc…
10-26 18:12:36	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc4813d…
10-26 18:12:36	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x85dc56…
10-26 18:12:11	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x21150e…
10-26 18:10:20	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd3b9a7…
10-26 18:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe34968…
10-26 17:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x307471…
10-26 16:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb9ab23…
10-26 16:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9f7281…
10-26 16:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf3b8ee…
10-26 16:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x05d6ce…
10-26 15:43:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf05952…
10-26 15:43:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x30cc08…
10-26 15:37:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x173684…
10-26 15:36:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf674c8…
10-26 15:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3a4f0c…
10-26 15:21:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa9eabf…
10-26 15:20:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x434a8b…
10-26 15:13:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc504aa…