Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$846

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$36

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-04 12:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 61% -$37

Politics

7% 100% +$6

Other

4% 67% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	+11	$10	92¢	$10	+$0	10-27 19:35
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+23	$10	40¢	$9	-$1	10-29 04:27
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+7	$5	91¢	$6	+$1	10-27 19:44
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	+6	$5	92¢	$5	+$0	10-27 19:39
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	+5	$5	95¢	$5	+$0	10-27 19:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$71	63	41	+22	Down	+$11	11-03 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$49	29	29	+0	Down	+$9	11-03 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	5	$46	43	16	+27	Down	-$14	11-04 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	6	$45	31	31	+0	Up	+$3	11-04 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$42	29	29	+0	Down	+$3	11-04 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	11-04 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$41	30	30	+0	Up	+$1	11-04 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$41	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	11-03 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	11-03 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$40	21	21	+0	Up	+$0	11-04 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$40	20	20	+0	Up	+$0	11-04 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$38	40	40	+0	Down	-$22	11-04 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$36	29	16	+13	Down	-$4	11-03 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	4	$33	24	24	+0	Down	+$3	11-04 12:38
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	2	$27	6,667	6,667	+0	No	-$13	01-03 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	3	$26	36	28	+8	Up	-$4	11-04 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	4	$25	23	3	+20	Down	+$1	11-04 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$23	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	11-04 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$17	17	9	+8	Up	-$3	11-04 12:47
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	+$4	10-29 04:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$10	28	0	+28	Up	-$10	11-03 23:12
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	10-29 04:27
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	10-27 19:35
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	1	$10	16	0	+16	Yes	+$6	01-03 07:26
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	10-29 04:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$8	10	7	+4	Down	-$4	11-04 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$7	8	2	+6	Down	-$5	11-04 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	3	$7	8	0	+8	Up	-$7	11-04 07:17
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	10-27 19:31
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	10-27 19:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 12:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0xa3a273…
11-04 12:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x76e820…
11-04 12:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x8b4d5a…
11-04 12:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	84¢	$7	0x17740a…
11-04 12:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x1c2902…
11-04 12:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x6de10e…
11-04 12:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x72a796…
11-04 12:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2e3c12…
11-04 12:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	14	60¢	$8	0xd083af…
11-04 12:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xef0382…
11-04 12:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	40	19¢	$8	0x5a1792…
11-04 12:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xe8f34a…
11-04 12:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	28	38¢	$11	0x5564c5…
11-04 12:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xdfbd69…
11-04 12:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x648da2…
11-04 12:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x67a68c…
11-04 12:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x075677…
11-04 11:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xf7d5e5…
11-04 11:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9f374c…
11-04 11:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x6306dd…
11-04 11:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x9b6b34…
11-04 11:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	17	75¢	$13	0xd5001a…
11-04 11:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x4b4079…
11-04 11:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	30	72¢	$21	0x765582…
11-04 11:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x25b559…
11-04 11:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0x44d3be…
11-04 11:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x59797a…
11-04 11:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	77¢	$12	0xb3c94c…
11-04 11:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xe98111…
11-04 07:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0xec79d4…
11-04 07:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x513892…
11-04 07:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xce9cbd…
11-04 07:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x16433c…
11-04 07:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb5225b…
11-04 07:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1442dd…
11-04 07:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xf804a4…
11-04 07:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4edec8…
11-04 07:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xabab26…
11-04 07:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9e5822…
11-04 07:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8afef5…
11-04 07:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0d1973…
11-04 07:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe65974…
11-04 07:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4b2a7e…
11-04 07:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6e2d9f…
11-04 07:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x725187…
11-04 06:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x36389e…
11-04 06:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x12b4d0…
11-04 06:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2f3a9d…
11-04 06:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe2f6c9…
11-04 06:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3664da…
11-04 06:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x980d19…
11-04 06:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe0875a…
11-04 06:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfdc9f8…
11-04 06:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x1a0739…
11-04 06:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe5fa39…
11-04 06:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x961551…
11-04 06:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xdf6c99…
11-04 06:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x8ad04a…
11-04 06:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xfe57ce…
11-04 06:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xe3c13c…
11-03 23:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x7c1b59…
11-03 23:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x6a7fb4…
11-03 23:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x14f0f0…
11-03 23:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xb07e44…
11-03 23:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x9e3d85…
11-03 23:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xac0e1c…
11-03 23:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x51fd0a…
11-03 23:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x4b4503…
11-03 23:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x26df5b…
11-03 23:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x136344…
11-03 22:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x55e5c9…
11-03 22:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xd882e8…
11-03 22:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x3a968c…
11-03 22:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x44be97…
11-03 22:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0d3f24…
11-02 14:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xf557d5…
11-02 14:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x677eae…
10-29 04:32:37	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4a74da…
10-29 04:32:02	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x35a70c…
10-29 04:27:56	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb91ebb…
10-29 04:23:10	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xd7e819…
10-27 19:44:18	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x2142b9…
10-27 19:40:56	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x991ed3…
10-27 19:39:12	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x4f3a9c…
10-27 19:35:21	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x93f698…
10-27 19:32:06	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xce2c1c…
10-27 19:31:29	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xeb5f19…
01-03 07:26:05	maduro out by january 31 2026 318	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x45e20b…
01-03 06:56:57	us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	Yes	SELL	6,667	0¢	$7	0x10e14b…
01-03 06:52:51	us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	Yes	BUY	6,667	0¢	$20	0x81fd6e…
01-03 06:52:19	us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xbd71e5…