Total-Subcomponent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.57K

Unrealized P&L

-$129

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

4,443

Trades

232,682

lifetime

Volume

$1.66M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$811

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-21 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 54% +$16,345

Other

2% 17% -$8,149

Politics

1% 50% -$160

Sports

0% 0% -$1,465

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 3236 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+2,000	$940	41¢	$811	-$129	10-19 12:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	30	$18.2K	75,000	74,875	+125	No	-$2,501	03-28 13:12
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	112	$10.7K	22,537	17,878	+4,658	No	-$3,087	04-07 19:49
bitcoin above 70k on march 10	536	$6.4K	12,752	0	+12,752	Yes	+$1	03-10 15:20
bitcoin above 70k on march 11	553	$6.3K	12,641	0	+12,641	Yes	+$55	03-11 15:19
bitcoin above 70k on march 12	551	$6.1K	12,166	0	+12,166	Yes	-$61	03-12 15:28
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	96	$5.1K	50,500	36,891	+13,609	No	-$2,822	03-29 22:12
bitcoin above 66k on february 23	394	$4.4K	8,441	0	+8,441	No	-$133	02-23 16:19
will the us invade iran by march 31	13	$3.5K	17,000	8,000	+9,000	No	-$1,249	03-26 01:07
bitcoin above 74k on march 16	306	$3.5K	7,015	0	+7,015	No	-$11	03-16 15:20
bitcoin above 64k on february 24	293	$3.4K	6,811	0	+6,811	Yes	-$101	02-24 08:48
bitcoin above 72k on march 13	281	$3.4K	6,794	0	+6,794	No	+$27	03-13 15:27
bitcoin above 74k on march 18	332	$3.3K	6,619	0	+6,619	No	-$20	03-18 12:42
bitcoin above 66k on february 24	285	$3.1K	5,884	0	+5,884	No	-$43	02-24 08:34
bitcoin above 66k on february 25	290	$3.0K	5,937	0	+5,937	Yes	-$65	02-24 08:47
bitcoin above 70k on march 14	258	$2.9K	5,832	0	+5,832	Yes	-$42	03-14 14:08
bitcoin above 70k on march 13	251	$2.8K	5,552	0	+5,552	Yes	-$57	03-13 14:45
bitcoin above 68k on march 9	227	$2.7K	5,426	0	+5,426	Yes	+$13	03-09 15:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 17:15 UTC	233	$2.6K	5,203	0	+5,203	Up	+$29	01-31 17:28
bitcoin above 72k on march 14	252	$2.5K	5,097	0	+5,097	No	+$21	03-14 13:27
bitcoin above 72k on march 16	214	$2.4K	4,763	0	+4,763	Yes	+$12	03-16 14:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 14:45 UTC	198	$2.3K	4,526	0	+4,526	Down	+$10	02-06 14:58
bitcoin above 62k on february 24	206	$2.2K	4,679	0	+4,679	Yes	+$39	02-24 08:45
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	12	$2.1K	1,379	1,370	+9	No	+$440	03-07 15:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 20:30 UTC	226	$2.0K	4,177	0	+4,177	Down	-$25	02-05 20:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:15 UTC	158	$1.9K	3,798	0	+3,798	Up	-$94	02-05 21:29
bitcoin above 72k on march 12	157	$1.8K	3,716	0	+3,716	No	+$36	03-12 14:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 07:15 UTC	248	$1.8K	3,847	0	+3,847	Up	+$43	02-07 07:29
bitcoin above 74k on march 13	152	$1.8K	3,655	0	+3,655	No	+$20	03-13 15:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 14:30 UTC	205	$1.8K	3,677	0	+3,677	Up	+$94	01-21 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 15:00 UTC	165	$1.8K	3,517	0	+3,517	Down	-$124	02-06 15:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 17:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x6a9eb0…
10-21 17:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x50a2a0…
10-21 17:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe4290a…
10-21 17:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x89f3c8…
10-21 17:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x026353…
10-21 17:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x6ef0bb…
10-21 17:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb6a1c8…
10-21 17:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb10ba6…
10-21 17:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xeaf205…
10-21 17:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x3d5ee3…
10-21 17:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcd698a…
10-21 17:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x87e97a…
10-21 17:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2b0a60…
10-21 17:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x018431…
10-21 17:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x4e3c88…
10-21 17:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x028577…
10-21 17:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x485fda…
10-21 17:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x20ab73…
10-21 17:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xc355dc…
10-21 17:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xe12cca…
10-21 17:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb4f11f…
10-21 17:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x94eed9…
10-21 17:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xd0321e…
10-21 17:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xe05919…
10-21 17:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x59007a…
10-21 17:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x461920…
10-21 17:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xb491f1…
10-21 17:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x701921…
10-21 17:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x9a9e45…
10-21 17:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xad9ffe…
10-21 17:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x331c8f…
10-21 17:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x22ae18…
10-21 17:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xb4fa7e…
10-21 17:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9f4212…
10-21 17:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x625790…
10-21 17:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4f5838…
10-21 17:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe4b632…
10-21 17:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0x7df425…
10-21 17:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x78047b…
10-21 17:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0x6937d1…
10-21 17:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6b6d3d…
10-21 17:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x6d8b8f…
10-21 17:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb15667…
10-21 17:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xfdedf1…
10-21 17:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xfae63d…
10-21 17:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x284a43…
10-21 17:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x84d210…
10-21 17:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x34dd46…
10-21 17:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x748154…
10-21 17:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x04b2c9…
10-21 17:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x20a4ad…
10-21 17:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfc2177…
10-21 17:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3bae31…
10-21 17:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7b96dd…
10-21 17:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x29051a…
10-21 17:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd676d8…
10-21 16:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x02bd99…
10-21 16:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xe5dcd3…
10-21 16:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x711886…
10-21 16:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc91b42…
10-21 16:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1aea4d…
10-21 16:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa920bc…
10-21 16:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xec87bd…
10-21 16:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xae54bd…
10-21 16:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x732f54…
10-21 16:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x600488…
10-21 16:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x38b5e9…
10-21 16:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x325baa…
10-21 16:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x315c5e…
10-21 16:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x20caee…
10-21 16:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xfef39f…
10-21 16:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xb95902…
10-21 16:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x25d567…
10-21 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfdcb43…
10-21 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x388ec2…
10-21 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x2f56b8…
10-21 16:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3f1db8…
10-21 16:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x10c518…
10-21 16:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xe5df32…
10-21 16:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xdbe217…
10-21 16:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xcb984b…
10-21 16:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x36c530…
10-21 16:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x632fab…
10-21 16:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xb0b31d…
10-21 16:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd363e6…
10-21 16:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x3b324f…
10-21 16:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xc81a6c…
10-21 16:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1cf19a…
10-21 16:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfbf357…
10-21 16:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7c2094…
10-21 16:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x413d81…
10-21 16:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc6680c…
10-21 16:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x7c12e7…
10-21 16:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1808b5…
10-21 16:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc0bca7…
10-21 16:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x5c3f1d…
10-21 16:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x28afca…
10-21 16:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf94077…
10-21 16:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x86528b…
10-21 16:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xeeaef2…