Realized P&L
+$15.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$178
Hit rate
92.2%
Resolved
370
Trades
1,959
lifetime
Volume
$94.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$5.66K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-27 19:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
55% 78% +$1,199
Politics
35% 85% +$14,215
Sports
10% 89% +$358
Tech
0% 100% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 502 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,005 $1,004 100¢ $1.0K -$1 10-22 06:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +725 $690 96¢ $696 +$6 10-26 14:50
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +505 $487 99¢ $502 +$14 10-25 01:27
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +437 $431 99¢ $433 +$3 10-22 03:11
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +392 $389 99¢ $390 +$0 10-26 12:14
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +342 $340 100¢ $340 +$0 10-26 03:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +256 $207 83¢ $212 +$5 10-25 12:58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +206 $206 100¢ $206 $0 10-26 11:10
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +208 $58 97¢ $202 +$144 10-27 19:35
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +175 $148 88¢ $155 +$7 10-25 03:45
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +154 $154 100¢ $154 +$0 10-25 20:14
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +128 $128 100¢ $128 $0 10-21 22:20
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? No +117 $111 94¢ $110 -$1 10-24 23:56
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026? No +109 $108 99¢ $108 +$0 10-23 15:47
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +108 $107 100¢ $107 $0 10-21 03:25
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +106 $105 99¢ $105 $0 10-25 21:08
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 10-22 14:15
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +99 $98 99¢ $98 $0 10-21 05:48
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +97 $94 95¢ $92 -$2 10-25 01:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +90 $74 94¢ $84 +$10 10-23 22:48
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +80 $80 100¢ $80 $0 10-26 09:23
Will Zuby Ejiofor win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +80 $79 100¢ $79 $0 10-21 17:57
Will Chris Cenac Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +55 $55 100¢ $55 +$0 10-21 08:48
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +44 $44 99¢ $44 $0 10-26 11:20
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? No +32 $32 99¢ $32 $0 10-20 14:30
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +36 $32 90¢ $32 $0 10-25 14:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? No +90 $34 36¢ $32 -$2 10-22 15:53
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +28 $28 100¢ $28 $0 10-26 08:54
Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 $0 10-25 21:24
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +43 $28 56¢ $24 -$4 10-25 03:46