Frilly-Lyrics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.94K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

459

lifetime

Volume

$2.66M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$5.79K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-26 02:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

75% 100% +$6,834

Other

13% 100% +$1,342

Crypto

6% 100% +$554

Sports

5% 100% +$139

Tech

1% 100% +$69

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	48	$142.3K	79,511	79,511	+0	open	—	05-14 04:34
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	2	$141.7K	141,918	0	+141,918	Yes	+$177	10-23 19:50
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	95	$140.3K	140,452	0	+140,452	Yes	+$140	09-21 12:42
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	7	$139.8K	140,166	0	+140,166	Yes	+$321	08-09 20:43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$139.5K	139,610	0	+139,610	No	+$140	07-28 21:20
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	4	$138.9K	139,431	0	+139,431	Yes	+$538	07-22 08:27
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$138.8K	139,123	0	+139,123	Yes	+$278	10-26 02:03
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	1	$138.6K	138,763	0	+138,763	Yes	+$139	07-07 21:06
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	27	$137.6K	138,596	0	+138,596	No	+$958	06-25 07:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	27	$135.6K	137,625	0	+137,625	Yes	+$2,050	06-16 12:10
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	1	$135.4K	135,570	0	+135,570	No	+$136	06-14 10:47
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	1	$135.2K	135,359	0	+135,359	No	+$135	06-08 04:27
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$134.7K	135,210	0	+135,210	No	+$541	06-02 05:47
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$133.7K	134,665	0	+134,665	Yes	+$943	05-27 12:08
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$131.4K	131,662	0	+131,662	No	+$263	04-28 05:13
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	11	$130.6K	130,949	0	+130,949	Yes	+$393	04-07 12:06
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	41	$112.9K	112,966	0	+112,966	Yes	+$113	09-17 23:56
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	67	$46.3K	46,352	0	+46,352	Yes	+$93	08-16 23:20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	2	$45.5K	45,643	0	+45,643	No	+$137	08-26 18:27
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	11	$39.7K	39,810	0	+39,810	Yes	+$114	08-06 02:12
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	2	$37.0K	37,137	0	+37,137	No	+$111	08-26 18:24
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	5	$30.2K	30,311	0	+30,311	No	+$91	08-26 18:25
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	1	$26.2K	26,213	0	+26,213	No	+$52	08-29 07:40
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	1	$26.1K	26,154	0	+26,154	No	+$26	08-27 22:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	24	$21.7K	22,000	0	+22,000	No	+$294	05-19 02:16
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	19	$16.1K	16,099	0	+16,099	Yes	+$28	09-15 17:38
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$14.7K	15,000	0	+15,000	No	+$315	05-18 23:29
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$14.7K	15,000	0	+15,000	No	+$315	05-18 20:48
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$13.5K	13,476	0	+13,476	No	+$13	05-26 19:59
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	35	$9.0K	4,608	4,608	+0	No	+$21	05-14 11:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 02:03:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	139,123	100¢	$138,845	0x3d2814…
10-26 02:02:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	462	100¢	$461	0x232724…
10-26 02:02:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3a684c…
10-26 02:02:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,378	100¢	$1,375	0x2efa51…
10-26 02:01:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd102ef…
10-26 02:00:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,248	100¢	$1,246	0xe01acd…
10-23 19:50:51	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106,918	100¢	$106,811	0x3119d2…
10-23 19:50:00	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35,000	100¢	$34,930	0x5e84e4…
09-21 12:42:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x8b56f2…
09-21 12:42:14	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	296	100¢	$296	0xb5d7d2…
09-21 12:41:29	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a5e63…
09-21 12:36:30	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2,716	100¢	$2,713	0x8b7007…
09-21 12:31:35	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc2dada…
09-21 12:30:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,609	100¢	$1,607	0x201821…
09-21 12:29:32	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xa881fe…
09-21 12:29:26	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd7417b…
09-21 12:29:08	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	337	100¢	$337	0xeef197…
09-21 12:25:26	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xacc3fc…
09-21 12:22:30	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x24a2b7…
09-21 12:13:20	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe3dcbd…
09-21 12:12:59	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x3f5e71…
09-21 12:12:18	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x52eb66…
09-21 12:09:44	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x876957…
09-21 12:06:00	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	251	100¢	$251	0x11111a…
09-21 12:04:00	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x6e7c56…
09-21 12:03:24	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	809	100¢	$808	0x16095a…
09-21 12:02:39	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x25e264…
09-21 12:01:57	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,274	100¢	$1,273	0x45f39e…
09-21 12:01:23	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xa18e22…
09-21 12:01:15	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6,729	100¢	$6,722	0x68993d…
09-21 11:59:12	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x195908…
09-21 11:58:56	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	351	100¢	$350	0xb90d41…
09-21 11:58:48	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	13,486	100¢	$13,473	0x1bd2db…
09-21 11:57:32	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	619	100¢	$618	0x914633…
09-21 11:57:26	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x904a00…
09-21 11:57:05	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0x558c3b…
09-21 11:56:32	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	522	100¢	$521	0x131a2b…
09-21 11:55:50	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,330	100¢	$1,329	0x8777ed…
09-21 11:53:57	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc9b4ef…
09-21 11:50:20	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf2bec4…
09-21 11:50:08	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	315	100¢	$315	0xd561a9…
09-21 11:44:06	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x80ca28…
09-21 11:38:44	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfcd097…
09-21 11:37:30	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	941	100¢	$940	0xe6f9c0…
09-21 11:37:20	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0xc25818…
09-21 11:34:21	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	424	100¢	$424	0x2b8736…
09-21 11:33:27	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x864c1d…
09-21 11:28:57	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdf6ce1…
09-21 11:27:35	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x662ff3…
09-21 11:26:27	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbda624…
09-21 11:25:38	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	358	100¢	$358	0x18a9ab…
09-21 11:24:17	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2,205	100¢	$2,203	0xecaca7…
09-21 11:24:09	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,693	100¢	$1,692	0xb54505…
09-21 11:21:18	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c5157…
09-21 11:19:03	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	12,098	100¢	$12,086	0xe9a1a5…
09-21 11:16:14	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,490	100¢	$1,488	0xe7cc5b…
09-21 11:14:23	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	207	100¢	$206	0xf1f1a8…
09-21 11:12:32	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc84978…
09-21 11:12:12	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x5c78c8…
09-21 11:08:30	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x016d6f…
09-21 11:06:00	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	757	100¢	$757	0x6de473…
09-21 10:59:30	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa938a2…
09-21 10:51:45	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	375	100¢	$375	0xe61f6d…
09-21 10:51:41	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0x147e0c…
09-21 10:42:59	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb5783d…
09-21 10:40:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x463a71…
09-21 10:40:23	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,740	100¢	$1,738	0x51cde5…
09-21 10:33:57	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,553	100¢	$1,551	0x8dd370…
09-21 10:30:15	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x140b0a…
09-21 10:29:44	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x16b417…
09-21 10:26:23	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	305	100¢	$304	0x19f027…
09-21 10:26:21	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x32aff0…
09-21 10:22:44	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26f393…
09-21 10:22:21	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,561	100¢	$1,559	0x770035…
09-21 10:20:05	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	309	100¢	$309	0xce4706…
09-21 10:18:02	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5,660	100¢	$5,655	0xce5a3b…
09-21 10:17:17	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf4e3a6…
09-21 10:16:27	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x7a1231…
09-21 10:14:35	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbcd4f3…
09-21 10:14:17	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	278	100¢	$277	0x5776f2…
09-21 10:13:23	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x3841dd…
09-21 10:12:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	667	100¢	$666	0x9ced44…
09-21 10:09:18	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xcfded6…
09-21 10:03:59	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xeccff9…
09-21 10:02:51	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf78e3e…
09-21 10:02:29	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6,371	100¢	$6,365	0x8b6465…
09-21 10:00:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe49547…
09-21 09:59:12	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	14,415	100¢	$14,401	0x922d73…
09-21 09:55:20	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x55f825…
09-21 09:55:14	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xd28555…
09-21 09:55:11	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0x659d63…
09-21 09:52:29	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5f2ad…
09-21 09:47:15	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x89c6d1…
09-21 09:46:20	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$58	0x27e40c…
09-21 09:45:21	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	273	100¢	$272	0xc63e3e…
09-21 09:44:59	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x6ffd67…
09-21 09:44:24	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9ae380…
09-21 09:42:23	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x752c69…
09-21 09:41:00	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x972333…
09-21 09:40:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	263	100¢	$262	0xfc1a5c…