Nimble-Analogy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved

694

Trades

879

lifetime

Volume

$3.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 05-31 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 84% -$20

Other

0% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	13	$31	45	15	+30	Down	-$5	05-31 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	10	$29	40	20	+20	Down	+$1	05-31 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	10	$29	40	20	+20	Down	+$1	05-31 20:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 21:30 UTC	3	$25	15	14	+0	Down	+$3	04-19 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	15	$22	40	10	+30	Down	+$3	05-31 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	11	$21	35	10	+25	Up	+$4	05-31 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	5	$18	15	10	+5	Down	+$2	05-31 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	Up	$0	05-31 19:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:30 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	04-20 17:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 22:50 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-19 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	7	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	05-31 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 22:25 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-19 22:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 18:10 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-22 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 22:45 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	04-19 22:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 13:00 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	04-21 13:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 21:20 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-20 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:20 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	04-20 17:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 23:05 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	04-20 23:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 23:30 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	04-19 23:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:50 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	04-20 17:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 22:50 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-20 22:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 22:05 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	04-20 22:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 17:35 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-22 17:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 22:40 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-19 22:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 18:15 UTC	2	$9	8	7	+0	Up	-$1	04-16 18:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 06:00 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	04-14 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:40 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	04-16 17:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 21:20 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	04-16 21:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 16:15 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	04-12 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 20:10 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	04-16 20:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 21:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa60a5a…
05-31 20:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8fe373…
05-31 20:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x96f60b…
05-31 20:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd1b721…
05-31 20:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x32c3f2…
05-31 20:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x88bf7c…
05-31 20:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x27bd3c…
05-31 20:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x6e5e72…
05-31 20:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x12dc4d…
05-31 20:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa396b9…
05-31 20:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x572867…
05-31 20:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x354d25…
05-31 20:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x172207…
05-31 20:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe7086a…
05-31 20:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5efa9a…
05-31 20:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3b8dc9…
05-31 20:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x2f795c…
05-31 20:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xd13910…
05-31 20:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x64e62f…
05-31 20:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x27226d…
05-31 20:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x320c6b…
05-31 20:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbe73a8…
05-31 20:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe4c354…
05-31 20:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x2865c9…
05-31 20:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfd1df7…
05-31 20:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc7731c…
05-31 20:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0xc0006b…
05-31 20:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb6602b…
05-31 20:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xee2d61…
05-31 20:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xdcf5c3…
05-31 20:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x75fe42…
05-31 20:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xfe2a20…
05-31 20:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa878b9…
05-31 20:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xdde06d…
05-31 20:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8e76f2…
05-31 20:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xd2fad0…
05-31 20:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0xc4a003…
05-31 20:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd56c5c…
05-31 20:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x9555f2…
05-31 20:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x405930…
05-31 20:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xea45a2…
05-31 20:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3fc150…
05-31 20:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xfc40ca…
05-31 20:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xe81ded…
05-31 20:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xe229e7…
05-31 20:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe6e35d…
05-31 20:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0xd9c825…
05-31 20:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xa44a05…
05-31 20:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8f3c08…
05-31 20:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x0659db…
05-31 20:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf2b099…
05-31 20:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xced9c1…
05-31 20:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x49ec1b…
05-31 20:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x1a6052…
05-31 20:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xed137a…
05-31 20:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x9d860c…
05-31 20:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x0810bb…
05-31 20:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xe1b54e…
05-31 20:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x979852…
05-31 20:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb5ad5d…
05-31 20:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x53fe8b…
05-31 20:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x094d1e…
05-31 20:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xca9d38…
05-31 19:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x793bbd…
05-31 19:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x387c56…
05-31 19:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7905c5…
05-31 19:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6dc493…
05-31 19:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x555040…
05-31 19:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x135657…
05-31 19:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0x5c92ed…
05-31 19:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x118844…
05-31 19:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4a5260…
05-31 19:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x627361…
05-31 19:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8abf7f…
05-31 19:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xefedd1…
05-31 19:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0xaf0a61…
05-31 19:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8c1610…
05-31 19:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5b9447…
05-31 19:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x02e12b…
05-31 19:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0d317e…
05-31 19:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0f2148…
05-31 19:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xea7e34…
05-31 19:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc0cde5…
05-31 19:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb419bc…
05-31 19:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc0979d…
05-31 19:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xa02f42…
05-31 19:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x60855d…
05-31 19:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4ffc70…
05-31 19:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x43ac59…
05-31 19:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8725cb…
05-31 19:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe95173…
05-31 18:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2ecd99…
05-31 18:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xcfc8e3…
05-31 18:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x52ecfe…
05-31 18:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa154d5…
05-31 18:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x78047e…
05-31 18:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7741fb…
05-31 17:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x185111…
04-25 13:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0x4dc241…
04-25 11:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe0ba1a…