Nimble-Analogy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.6%

Resolved

693

Trades

866

lifetime

Volume

$3.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 05-31 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 84% $-14

Other

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	10	$29	40	20	+20	Down	+$1	05-31 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	10	$29	40	20	+20	Down	+$1	05-31 20:36
btc updown 5m 1776634200	3	$25	15	14	+0	Down	+$3	04-19 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	15	$22	40	10	+30	Down	+$3	05-31 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	11	$21	35	10	+25	Up	+$4	05-31 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	5	$18	15	10	+5	Down	+$2	05-31 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	Up	$-0	05-31 19:56
btc updown 5m 1776706200	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	04-20 17:35
btc updown 5m 1776639000	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-19 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	7	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	05-31 19:40
btc updown 5m 1776776400	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	04-21 13:05
btc updown 5m 1776720000	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-20 21:25
btc updown 5m 1776637500	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-19 22:31
btc updown 5m 1776638700	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	04-19 22:50
btc updown 5m 1776881400	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-22 18:15
btc updown 5m 1776705600	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	04-20 17:25
btc updown 5m 1776726300	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	04-20 23:10
btc updown 5m 1776707400	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	04-20 17:56
btc updown 5m 1776641400	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	04-19 23:36
btc updown 5m 1776722700	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	04-20 22:10
btc updown 5m 1776725400	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-20 22:55
btc updown 5m 1776879300	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-22 17:41
btc updown 5m 1776638400	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-19 22:47
btc updown 5m 1776363300	2	$9	8	7	+0	Up	$-1	04-16 18:16
btc updown 5m 1776146400	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	04-14 06:04
btc updown 5m 1776361200	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	04-16 17:43
btc updown 5m 1776374400	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	04-16 21:22
btc updown 5m 1776010500	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	04-12 16:19
btc updown 5m 1776370200	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	04-16 20:11
btc updown 5m 1776376800	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	04-16 22:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 21:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa60a5a…
05-31 20:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8fe373…
05-31 20:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x96f60b…
05-31 20:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd1b721…
05-31 20:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x32c3f2…
05-31 20:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x88bf7c…
05-31 20:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x27bd3c…
05-31 20:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x6e5e72…
05-31 20:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x12dc4d…
05-31 20:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa396b9…
05-31 20:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x572867…
05-31 20:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x354d25…
05-31 20:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x172207…
05-31 20:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe7086a…
05-31 20:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5efa9a…
05-31 20:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3b8dc9…
05-31 20:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x2f795c…
05-31 20:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xd13910…
05-31 20:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x64e62f…
05-31 20:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x27226d…
05-31 20:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x320c6b…
05-31 20:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbe73a8…
05-31 20:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xd2fad0…
05-31 20:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0xc4a003…
05-31 20:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd56c5c…
05-31 20:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x9555f2…
05-31 20:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x405930…
05-31 20:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xea45a2…
05-31 20:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3fc150…
05-31 20:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xfc40ca…
05-31 20:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xe81ded…
05-31 20:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xe229e7…
05-31 20:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe6e35d…
05-31 20:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0xd9c825…
05-31 20:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xa44a05…
05-31 20:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8f3c08…
05-31 20:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x0659db…
05-31 20:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf2b099…
05-31 20:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xced9c1…
05-31 20:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x49ec1b…
05-31 20:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x1a6052…
05-31 20:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xed137a…
05-31 20:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x9d860c…
05-31 20:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x0810bb…
05-31 20:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xe1b54e…
05-31 20:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x979852…
05-31 20:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb5ad5d…
05-31 20:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x53fe8b…
05-31 20:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x094d1e…
05-31 20:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xca9d38…
05-31 19:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x793bbd…
05-31 19:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x387c56…
05-31 19:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7905c5…
05-31 19:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6dc493…
05-31 19:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x555040…
05-31 19:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x135657…
05-31 19:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0x5c92ed…
05-31 19:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x118844…
05-31 19:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4a5260…
05-31 19:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x627361…
05-31 19:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8abf7f…
05-31 19:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xefedd1…
05-31 19:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0xaf0a61…
05-31 19:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8c1610…
05-31 19:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5b9447…
05-31 19:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x02e12b…
05-31 19:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0d317e…
05-31 19:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0f2148…
05-31 19:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xea7e34…
05-31 19:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc0cde5…
05-31 19:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb419bc…
05-31 19:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc0979d…
05-31 19:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xa02f42…
05-31 19:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x60855d…
05-31 19:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4ffc70…
05-31 19:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x43ac59…
05-31 19:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8725cb…
05-31 19:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe95173…
05-31 18:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2ecd99…
05-31 18:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xcfc8e3…
05-31 18:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x52ecfe…
05-31 18:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa154d5…
05-31 18:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x78047e…
05-31 18:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7741fb…
05-31 17:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x185111…
04-25 13:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0x4dc241…
04-25 11:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe0ba1a…
04-25 06:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x09bc62…
04-25 01:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x781f94…
04-25 00:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2daf3f…
04-25 00:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x58eb80…
04-24 23:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x6d4a95…
04-24 23:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x80e933…
04-24 22:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x764b2e…
04-24 22:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x91dad2…
04-24 22:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xdb166a…
04-24 21:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc34365…
04-24 15:49:40	btc updown 5m 1777045500	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x804db1…
04-24 07:59:38	btc updown 5m 1777017300	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xdef7d3…
04-24 07:39:40	btc updown 5m 1777016100	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd14d0f…