Sociable-Storey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$367

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 05-13 16:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

97% — —

Other

2% — —

Crypto

0% 20% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$9.3K	9,018	9,018	+0	open	—	02-28 22:37
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$500	3,388	0	+3,388	open	—	03-06 07:38
will iran strike israel on march 6	8	$485	11,750	0	+11,750	open	—	03-11 07:18
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	2	$334	1,881	1,881	+0	open	—	04-12 20:20
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	1	$300	6,710	0	+6,710	open	—	02-13 21:48
us evacuates beirut embassy by march 31	1	$300	1,700	0	+1,700	open	—	03-07 23:55
will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	2	$282	6,326	6,326	+0	open	—	02-19 11:59
will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et	2	$255	11,919	11,919	+0	open	—	02-19 11:59
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	2	$238	3,073	3,073	+0	open	—	04-11 08:25
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$200	5,206	0	+5,206	open	—	03-06 07:37
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	1	$200	1,757	0	+1,757	open	—	01-15 21:33
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$100	6,527	0	+6,527	open	—	03-06 07:40
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$100	12,526	0	+12,526	open	—	02-28 02:46
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$100	5,023	0	+5,023	open	—	03-04 06:42
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$100	138	0	+138	open	—	02-28 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$12	38	25	+13	Down	+$15	05-12 13:09
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	03-25 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$5	100	0	+100	Down	$-5	05-13 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$5	250	0	+250	Up	$-5	05-12 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$5	167	0	+167	Up	$-5	05-12 20:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$5	165	0	+165	Up	$-5	05-12 13:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 16:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x2db413…
05-12 20:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x51bb5c…
05-12 15:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xacbac6…
05-12 13:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0x1f3369…
05-12 13:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x7c1202…
05-12 13:03:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	165	3¢	$5	0x88978d…
04-12 20:20:19	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	Yes	SELL	1,881	2¢	$34	0xeec582…
04-12 13:18:45	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	Yes	BUY	1,881	16¢	$300	0x379e2a…
04-11 08:25:33	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	SELL	3,073	1¢	$38	0xf12cb1…
04-10 21:59:25	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	BUY	3,073	7¢	$200	0x804e43…
03-25 08:00:43	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x22b7e0…
03-11 07:18:59	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xf5f4ab…
03-10 17:18:19	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0xda79d4…
03-10 14:25:17	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$10	0xcd8276…
03-10 12:53:13	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$10	0x28e7de…
03-10 12:49:27	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	769	1¢	$10	0x362e82…
03-10 12:47:21	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0xa0fcef…
03-10 08:11:23	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	1,312	2¢	$30	0xb41c68…
03-07 23:55:11	us evacuates beirut embassy by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,700	18¢	$300	0xa04b33…
03-06 08:28:43	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	502	80¢	$400	0xe0223a…
03-06 07:40:11	Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	6,527	2¢	$100	0xda779e…
03-06 07:38:41	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	3,388	15¢	$500	0xfa8e30…
03-06 07:37:11	Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5,206	4¢	$200	0x3993cc…
03-04 06:42:51	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5,023	2¢	$100	0xb8a766…
02-28 22:37:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	9,018	96¢	$8,702	0x98be1a…
02-28 06:41:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	3,966	13¢	$500	0xc91594…
02-28 02:49:25	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0xcbbb61…
02-28 02:48:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	5,052	2¢	$100	0xb92722…
02-28 02:46:47	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	12,526	1¢	$100	0x8ca75f…
02-19 11:59:48	will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	Yes	SELL	6,326	3¢	$182	0xa21cb4…
02-19 11:59:02	will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et	Yes	SELL	11,919	1¢	$155	0x9f5e13…
02-14 10:42:33	will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	Yes	BUY	6,326	2¢	$100	0xba6389…
02-13 21:52:27	will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et	Yes	BUY	11,919	1¢	$100	0xda0c8e…
02-13 21:48:03	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	Yes	BUY	6,710	4¢	$300	0x43f875…
01-15 21:33:46	us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	Yes	BUY	1,757	11¢	$200	0xa03d46…