Muted-Epee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.23K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.3%

Resolved

2,444

Trades

4,034

lifetime

Volume

$977.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$242

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 10-22 09:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 90% -$6,165

Sports

5% 91% -$1,311

Other

5% 79% -$1,750

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 262 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 23:50 UTC	141	$3.2K	2,155	2,155	+0	Down	+$339	08-05 23:54
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	3	$2.3K	1,166	1,166	+0	Timberwolves	+$57	05-01 04:15
lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08 game2	11	$2.2K	1,238	1,238	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$242	08-08 09:38
76ers vs. Knicks	3	$2.2K	1,125	1,125	+0	Knicks	+$39	05-07 01:52
lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	2	$2.1K	1,104	1,104	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$103	08-08 10:39
lol wb lng 2026 08 08 game2	2	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$99	08-08 09:09
lol wb lng 2026 08 08 game1	2	$2.0K	1,082	1,082	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$161	08-08 08:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:40 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,031	0	+2,031	Up	+$51	08-27 00:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 21:05 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,033	0	+2,033	Down	-$982	08-27 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:50 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,007	0	+2,007	Down	+$27	08-27 00:54
lol jdg edg 2026 08 07 game2	2	$1.9K	1,003	1,002	+0	JD Gaming	+$82	08-07 09:07
lol kt gen 2026 08 07 game2	2	$1.9K	1,005	1,005	+0	Gen.G	+$104	08-07 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$1.9K	2,216	0	+2,216	Up	-$454	09-04 19:44
lol kt gen 2026 08 07 game1	2	$1.9K	959	959	+0	Gen.G	+$38	08-07 08:40
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	6	$1.9K	944	944	+0	New York Yankees	+$17	05-06 01:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 05:25 UTC	2	$1.8K	1,917	0	+1,917	Down	-$881	08-27 05:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 22:30 UTC	2	$1.8K	1,820	0	+1,820	Down	+$20	08-07 22:41
lol jdg edg 2026 08 07 game1	2	$1.8K	992	992	+0	JD Gaming	+$207	08-07 08:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 20:50 UTC	19	$1.8K	1,232	644	+588	Up	+$40	08-29 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 05:05 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,767	0	+1,767	Down	+$47	08-27 05:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:10 UTC	84	$1.7K	1,194	1,194	+0	Up	+$573	09-18 07:14
lol ns fox1 2026 04 15 game2	5	$1.7K	849	848	+1	Nongshim Red Force	+$28	04-15 09:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 19:00 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,773	0	+1,773	Up	+$158	08-28 19:04
lol we tt 2026 08 07 game1	3	$1.6K	834	834	+0	ThunderTalk Gaming	+$56	08-07 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$1.6K	1,124	535	+589	Down	-$525	09-03 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$1.6K	1,244	673	+571	Down	-$575	09-16 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:40 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,189	1,189	+0	Down	+$82	09-01 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$1.5K	1,657	0	+1,657	Up	-$1,500	08-05 23:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 23:05 UTC	1	$1.5K	1,571	0	+1,571	Up	+$71	08-05 23:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:35 UTC	1	$1.5K	1,569	0	+1,569	Down	+$69	08-05 22:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 09:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	124	97¢	$120	0x26ded4…
10-17 00:44:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x10969e…
10-17 00:41:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x18cd31…
10-17 00:41:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xf46888…
10-17 00:40:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x0f9b92…
10-17 00:40:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	229	44¢	$100	0x74af43…
10-17 00:36:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xf4c0ba…
10-17 00:36:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x5d3593…
10-17 00:36:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x223d5f…
10-17 00:36:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x30ce17…
10-17 00:29:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0xf880e7…
10-17 00:29:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x0b9510…
10-17 00:26:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	594	17¢	$100	0xfe506c…
10-08 00:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x0fc777…
10-08 00:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	149	47¢	$70	0x669813…
10-08 00:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	149	47¢	$70	0xc45be4…
10-08 00:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	135	52¢	$70	0x741f21…
09-30 06:21:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9b3c80…
09-30 06:20:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc80789…
09-30 06:20:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	48	44¢	$21	0x0b34a6…
09-30 06:19:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	29	89¢	$26	0x5dff6d…
09-30 06:12:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xbec191…
09-30 06:08:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x01d37d…
09-30 06:08:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xb3a97a…
09-30 06:00:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	45	73¢	$33	0xf3a5ef…
09-30 05:58:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	543	7¢	$38	0x53a1f2…
09-30 05:50:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x8d65b7…
09-30 05:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x4b1f2c…
09-30 05:44:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0xf74fed…
09-30 05:43:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe711fb…
09-30 05:39:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x9ac250…
09-30 05:39:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x958156…
09-30 05:39:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x69edaa…
09-30 05:35:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xa349ae…
09-30 05:31:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x3e5f03…
09-30 05:30:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x95a6b4…
09-30 05:30:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb02f2e…
09-30 05:28:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe280be…
09-30 05:27:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x8e3f24…
09-27 20:39:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	328	85¢	$280	0x1a2499…
09-27 20:39:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	358	84¢	$300	0xec631b…
09-26 10:30:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xf00487…
09-26 10:30:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	209	43¢	$90	0xb44110…
09-20 02:22:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x970d7e…
09-20 02:13:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	410	98¢	$400	0x8a3937…
09-20 02:09:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	429	93¢	$400	0x714f2c…
09-20 02:02:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	241	10¢	$25	0x9f6bb9…
09-20 01:56:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x1e3da6…
09-20 01:53:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:50 UTC	Up	SELL	113	61¢	$69	0x1399c7…
09-20 01:52:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	226	11¢	$25	0x7d8958…
09-20 01:47:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	527	95¢	$500	0x4a1ef6…
09-20 01:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	513	97¢	$500	0x1f0855…
09-20 01:39:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:35 UTC	Up	SELL	311	90¢	$280	0x9e5eb2…
09-20 01:37:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x977229…
09-20 01:36:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x389927…
09-20 01:32:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	377	11¢	$40	0x539f3f…
09-20 01:28:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	412	97¢	$400	0x61ba2f…
09-20 01:24:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:20 UTC	Up	SELL	531	3¢	$15	0x404eab…
09-20 01:24:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	627	63¢	$397	0x994927…
09-20 01:24:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	153	67¢	$103	0x0f8af4…
09-20 01:22:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	531	94¢	$500	0xc82222…
09-20 01:19:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	493	97¢	$480	0xfee06b…
09-20 01:19:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	561	89¢	$500	0xab9a0c…
09-20 01:11:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0x1d51ec…
09-20 01:04:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	507	99¢	$500	0x794305…
09-20 00:58:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0x6c48b3…
09-20 00:37:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0x194069…
09-20 00:27:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	508	98¢	$500	0xe9aa23…
09-19 01:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	72	55¢	$40	0x851d21…
09-19 01:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x7789bd…
09-19 01:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0xd9f7d4…
09-19 01:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0xe092b5…
09-19 01:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0xad0b9f…
09-19 01:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	413	55¢	$227	0xad737d…
09-19 01:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	509	90¢	$460	0xeab9d5…
09-19 01:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	471	98¢	$460	0xc84af4…
09-19 01:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	434	99¢	$430	0xf0043e…
09-19 01:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	436	99¢	$430	0xa7354f…
09-19 01:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	438	98¢	$430	0x63cdc7…
09-19 01:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	436	99¢	$430	0x06531c…
09-19 01:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	460	94¢	$430	0x3c4e68…
09-19 00:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	448	96¢	$430	0x6373bb…
09-19 00:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	492	75¢	$370	0x262b4e…
09-18 20:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x23f6ab…
09-18 20:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	839	48¢	$400	0xa819f5…
09-18 20:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	968	11¢	$108	0xefa47b…
09-18 20:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2,486	6¢	$146	0xa8ec33…
09-18 20:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,168	9¢	$101	0x7569d7…
09-18 20:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3,198	1¢	$44	0x67a29e…
09-18 20:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	515	13¢	$67	0x287979…
09-18 20:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,155	4¢	$44	0x0d0c96…
09-18 20:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	525	95¢	$500	0xa22e8b…
09-18 19:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	538	93¢	$500	0x33ee1c…
09-18 19:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	386	98¢	$380	0x654b78…
09-18 19:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	543	92¢	$500	0x400cee…
09-18 19:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	390	97¢	$380	0x802d14…
09-18 19:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0xff015b…
09-18 19:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	875	96¢	$840	0x73ffbb…
09-18 19:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	849	93¢	$790	0xb1672c…
09-18 19:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	788	99¢	$780	0xacad34…